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The focus of this report is the brown goods
division of the UK household appliances market. The term `brown goods' is used
to describe products that include televisions (TVs), video cassette recorders
(VCRs), camcorders, all audio products and compact disc (CD) players. `Brown
goods' is a reference to early TVs, radios and radiograms that came packaged in
wooden, wood-coloured plastic or Bakelite cases. Brown goods are all
essentially entertainment products.
Between 1995 and 1999, the market
experienced a period of strong growth in value. By 1999, the value of the total
UK brown goods market at manufacturers' sale prices (msp) was £3.27bn, a
rise of 2.9 percent on 1998, and an increase of 14.8 percent over the period 1995 to 1999.
This growth was driven by a number of factors including the increasing strength
of the world economy generally over this period, and the development and
increasing market penetration of these products. The latter part of 1998 and
the early part of 1999 has witnessed a general slowdown in the growth of the
value of the UK brown goods market, largely due to oversupply, a tightening
economic climate and the effect of the continuing strength of sterling. Asian
and US multinationals have begun to reduce manufacturing capacity in the UK in
response to these forces.
Although the UK market is mature, the UK
Government's commitment to digital broadcasting technology and the liberalised
nature of the UK telecommunications industry offer good opportunities for
investment in consumer electronics. Nevertheless, the wide fluctuations of the
pound and indecision over European monetary union (EMU) does seem to be causing
some companies a measure of concern.
The strength of sterling since 1996
has been a serious cause for concern for both manufacturers and distributors of
electronic consumer goods. Export markets are more difficult to penetrate with
sterling at such high levels, and competition in domestic markets is
intensified by foreign competitors taking advantage of the relative weakness of
their own currencies. The collapse of some currencies, above all in South East
Asia, has exacerbated the problems for UK-based manufacturers.
During 1999,
the brown goods market in Europe is being affected both by the worldwide
imbalance between supply and demand and general economic uncertainty in the
region. Since 1997, demand for digital goods such as digital video cameras and
MiniDisc players has been strong. Production of major products such as TVs and
VCRs, however, remains sluggish.
Key Note expects the value of the brown
goods manufacturing industry in the UK to grow by 19 percent in real terms to reach
£3.9bn at constant 1999 prices by the end of 2003. Key Note expects
limited market growth in 1999 and 2000, as the current over-supply situation in
some market segments corrects itself. However, from 2001 there will be steady
growth in the overall market up to the year 2003.
Text © 1999 Key Note
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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 21th January 2000