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The apparent UK market for machine tools was
estimated to be worth £967m in 1996, although this figure excludes parts
and accessories, and the closely linked cutting tools market value. The machine
tools market has always been highly cyclic, driven as it is by other capital
goods demand cycles. Market growth for 1996 was 25.9 percent, although it is expected
to fall to 3 percent in 1997.
The market consists of three main sections.
These are classified as: conventional metal cutting machine tools (such as
machining centres, lathes, milling machines and grinders); unconventional metal
cutting machine tools (such as laser, physico-chemical and water jet machines);
and metal forming machine tools. The large parts and accessories market is
considered as a separate sector to these three main markets. Ancillary to these
sectors is the cutting tools market, which supplies changeable cutting tools to
the production users of machine tools.
The machine tools industry
supplies all manufacturing sectors with the tools that enable them to
manufacture industrial and consumer goods. Thus, the machine tools industry is
severely affected by changes in demand for all manufactured goods and is thus
highly cyclic. The industry cannot react to high swings in demand sufficiently
quickly, therefore, imports make up the shortfall.
The major users of
machine tools are vehicle manufacturers and the aerospace industry. A new
automotive plant will create a sudden demand for machine tools, both from the
plant and from their subcontractors, as has been seen with recent export orders
from Spain and China. In 1996, the semiconductor sector in the UK required
physico-chemical machinery which caused a sharp rise in imports from the US.
Strong sterling has improved the purchasing value of the pound and has
contributed to the rise in imports.
The market for machine tools is
predicted to grow to £1.26bn by the year 2001, although it is
subsequently expected to fall again as it passes the peak of the next cycle.
This figure will be affected by various uncertain factors, such as whether new
car plants are created in the UK, the progress on the Airbus 3XX 850 seater
aircraft, the consequences of a single European currency, changes in the base
interest rate, and tax incentives on capital investment in plant and equipment
by the new Labour Government.
Text © 1997 Key Note
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Last updated by Duncan Nottage 5th March 1999