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KN22093
KEY NOTE GREETINGS CARDS PLUS : SEPTEMBER 2003
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This report covers: greetings cards, humerous, cute/whimsical, contemporary, art, photographic, multi-cultural and religious, handmade, hand finished, traditional cards,

Companies covered include: Carlton Cards, Hallmark Cards, International Greetings, Kingsley Cards, The Paper House Group, Cardfair Ltd, Clinton Cards,Greeting Card Group, Lightweight Designs, Athena, Greeting Card Company, Birthdays, Card Connections, Paper Rose, Carte Blanche Greetings, Gemma International,W H Smith,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary
1. Market Definition
report coverage
MARKET SECTORS
Birthday Cards
Christmas and New Year Cards
Spring Season Cards
Other Everyday Cards
MARKET TRENDS
New Occasions
Production in the Far East
ECONOMIC TRENDS
Population
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000 and percent), Mid-Years 1998-2002
Gross Domestic Product
Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1998-2002
Inflation
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation ( percent), 1998-2002
Unemployment
Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million and percent), 1998-2002
Household Disposable Income
Table 5: Household Disposable Income (£ and percent), 1998-2002
Market Position
The UK
Table 6: Household Expenditure on Newspapers, Books and Stationery by Value at Current Prices (£m), 1998-2002
Overseas
2. Market Size
THE TOTAL MARKET
Table 7: The Estimated Total UK Greetings Card Market by Value by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002
By Market Sector
Birthday Cards
Table 8: The Estimated Total UK Birthday Cards Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001 and 2002
Christmas and New Year Cards
Table 9: The Estimated Total UK Christmas and New Year Cards Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001 and 2002
Spring Season Cards
Table 10: The Estimated Total UK Spring Season Cards Sector by Subsector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001 and 2002
Other Everyday Cards
Table 11: The Estimated Total UK Other Everyday Cards Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2001 and 2002
Overseas Trade
Table 12: Overseas Trade in Greetings Cards and Illustrated Postcards (£m at msp), 1998-2002
Imports
Table 13: Imports of Greetings Cards and Illustrated Postcards by Value (£000 at msp), 2002
Principal Sources
Table 14: The Import of Greetings Cards and Illustrated Postcards into the UK by Country of Origin by Value (£000 at msp), 2001 and 2002
Exports
Table 15: Exports of Greetings Cards and Illustrated Postcards by Value (£000 at msp), 2002
Principal Destinations
Table 16: The Exports of Greetings Cards and Illustrated Postcards by Country of Destination from the UK by Value (£000 at msp), 2001 and 2002
3. Industry Background
RECENT HISTORY
number of companies
Table 17: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in Publishing by Turnover Sizeband (£000 and percent), 2003
By Employment
Table 18: Number of UK VAT-Based Local Units Engaged in Publishing by Employment Sizeband (number of employees and percent), 2003
Regional Variations in the Marketplace
DISTRIBUTION
From the Publisher
Wholesale or Direct to Retail
Franchises
Own Label
Card Buying Groups
Other Business-to-Business
Direct to the Consumer
From the Retailer
Specialist Greetings Cards Multiples
Multiple Retailers
Grocery Multiples
Confectioners, Tobacconists and Newsagents
The Post Office
Charity Shops
Others
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?
LEGISLATION
The Commercial Agents (Council Directive) Regulations 1993
The Green Claims Code 1998
Registered Design Protection Directive 2001
Waste Electrical and Electronic Directive
key TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
The Giftware Association
Greeting Card Association
4. Competitor Analysis
THE MARKETPLACE
MARKET LEADERS
Table 19: Financial Results for Leading Companies in the UK Greetings Card Industry by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£000)
PUBLISHERS
Carlton Cards Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Hallmark Cards (Holdings) Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
International Greetings PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Kingsley Cards Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
The Paper House Group PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Simon Elvin Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
UK Greetings Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
RETAILERS
Birthdays Group Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Cardfair Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results of Cardfair Ltd
Clinton Cards PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Table 20: Financial Results for Clinton Cards PLC† by Turnover Size and Pre-Tax Profit (£000), Years Ending February 2002 and 2003
Outside Suppliers
Paper and Board Suppliers
Printers
Specialist Greeting Card Envelope Manufacturers
Display Equipment and Shopfitting
Administrative Services
MARKETING ACTIVITY
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
Exhibitions
UK Exhibitions
Spring and Autumn Fairs
Top Drawer
Brand Licensing London
Overseas Exhibitions
The National Stationery Show
Paperworld
Publications
Progressive Greetings Worldwide
Greetings Today
5. Brand Strategy
categories
Humorous
Cute/Whimsical
Traditional
Contemporary
Art
Photographic
Multi-Cultural and Religious
Handmade/Hand-Finished
Licensed
The Henries Awards
Table 21: The Henries Awards Winners by Category by Publisher, 2002
6. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats
STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS
7. Buying Behaviour
HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE
By Gross Income Decile Group
Table 22: Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Books, Greeting Cards, Stationery, Diaries, Address Books, etc. by Gross Income Decile Group (£), 2002
By Age of Head of Household
Table 23: Average Weekly Household Expenditure on Books, Greeting Cards, Stationery, Diaries, Address Books, etc. by Age of Head of Household, 2002
Consumer Penetration
Traditional Cards
Variation by Age and by Sex
Table 24: Penetration of Categories of Greetings Cards by Age and Sex ( percent of adults), 2003
Variation by Social Grade
Table 25: Penetration of Categories of Greetings Cards by Social Grade ( percent of adults), 2003
Variations by Region
Table 26: Penetration of Categories of Greetings Cards by Geographical Region ( percent of adults), 2003
E-Mail and Text Messages
Variation by Age and by Sex
Table 27: Penetration of Categories of Electronic and Text Greetings by Age and Sex ( percent of adults), 2003
Variation by Social Grade
Table 28: Penetration of Categories of Electronic and Text Greetings by Social Grade ( percent of adults), 2003
Variations by Region
Table 29: Penetration of Categories of Electronic and Text Greetings by Region ( percent of adults), 2003
8. Current Issues
MERGERS, ACQUISITIONS AND CLOSURES
Greeting Card Group Ltd
Lightweight Designs Ltd
Athena
BOARD AND SENIOR MANAGEMENT CHANGES
Greeting Card Company Ltd
Birthdays Ltd
Card Connection
Paper Rose Ltd
Carte Blanche Greetings Ltd
Gemma International Ltd
WH Smith Ltd
OTHER MATTERS AFFECTING THE INDUSTRY
Plagiarism
Format-Based Pricing
Charity Cards
Wastage
The Impact of Technology
The Future of the Post Office
9. The Global Market
INTRODUCTION
The US Market
The Louie Awards
The European Market
10. Forecasts
INTRODUCTION
Table 30: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms ( percent), 2003-2007
Forecasts 2003 to 2007
Table 31: The Forecast Total UK Greetings Card Market by Value by Sector at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007
Market Growth
Figure 1: Forecast UK Greetings Card Market by Value (£m at rsp), 1998-2007
FUTURE TRENDS
Growth Factors
Household Size
Threats to the Industry
11. Company Profiles
Birthdays Group Ltd
Carlton Cards Ltd
Clinton Cards Plc
Greeting Card Group LTd
International Greetings Plc
Hallmark Cards (holdings) Ltd
12. Company Financials
13. Further Sources
Associations
General Sources
Bonnier Information Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK market for greetings cards, both publishing and retail, is one of maturity and intense competition. Two US companies, American Greetings Corporation and Hallmark Cards Inc. dominate the global market for publishing cards and, in recent years, their UK subsidiaries have expanded through acquisitions. Of the hundreds of `other publishers' identified by official statistics (Business Monitor PA1003), which include publishers of greetings cards, just 7.1 percent have annual turnovers in excess of £1m - a fair indication of the fragmentation of the market. Almost three-quarters of companies involved in `other publishing,' liable to pay VAT, currently have turnovers of less than £250,000 and more than a quarter have annual sales below £50,000.

The UK greeting card publishing sector is renowned for its design and innovation and enjoys a favourable trade balance. However, the value of greetings card imports into the UK has steadily risen since the mid-1990s so that the trade surplus stood at just £13.6m in 2002 compared with a peak of £45.1m in 1996. The majority (92 percent) of the value of greetings card and postcard imports into the UK was attributable to imports coming from countries outside the European Community, primarily Hong Kong and China, which, combined, accounted for 88 percent of the value of non-EC imports and 81 percent of total imports in 2002.

In May 2003, the retail side of the industry witnessed unexpected change with a surprise takeover of the chain Card Warehouse by its rival, Cardfair. It remains to be seen if this creation of a sizeable `value' chain will result in still lower prices that will do little for the value of the market, currently valued in excess of £1bn. Christmas and New Year greetings cards account for the greatest share of the market volume at around 70 percent, yet only 28 percent of the retail value in 2002.

The UK has an established card culture comprising avid buyers or those merely sending out of a sense of duty. In fact, its population sends more cards per capita than any other country and, according to a recent BMRB Access survey, only 3 percent of respondents admitted to not buying or sending any type of greetings cards. Publishers are constantly launching new designs to fuel this demand and the industry on the whole strives to introduce new occasions. In recent years there has also been a proliferation of cards conveying many more sentiments, such as `Thinking of You' and `Missing You' and cards with inspirational messages.

Potential threats to the health of the market include the introduction of format-based pricing, imposing postal surcharges on non-standard size envelopes as used for around a quarter of greetings cards is. Such regulations have had a punitive effect on the markets of other countries, such as Germany and Australia, and are being forcefully opposed by the UK's Greeting Card Association. There is an opinion that the threat of e-greetings, meanwhile, may not be as damaging as anticipated and may even have a positive effect on demand for traditional cards that are seen as more thoughtful and individual.

Text © 2003 Key Note

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