ISBN 1-85765-770-5

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Executive Summary

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

It is estimated that total apparent demand for paper and board in the UK was £6.73bn in 1998, and that UK manufacturers' sales were £4.26bn in the same year. Sales in the UK's apparent market increased by 22.4 percent between 1994 and 1998, while UK manufacturers' sales increased by 30.2 percent in the same period.
Growth in paper and board manufacturing and consumption in the years between 1994 and 1998 was encouraged by growth in national incomes, higher living standards, faster turnover in the retail trades, and greater demand for paper packaging and graphics in their various forms. Domestic production, by tonnage, increased for all the main market sectors, to match the growth in per capita consumption from 195 kilogrammes in 1994 to 209 kilogrammes in 1997.
Operating conditions for UK manufacturers have become less buoyant since 1997, as growth prospects in the UK and overseas markets are almost negligible. UK manufacturers have to contend with a high sterling exchange rate -- which affects their export prospects and encourages cheaper imports from European competitors -- and slackening domestic demand as the national economy slowly loses its former dynamism. In addition, there was the introduction of a new European Union (EU) packaging directive in early 1998 that imposes legal obligations (and heavy costs) on producers, wholesalers, retailers and consumers to collect and return used packaging for recycling. The immediate effect has been to activate end-use customers into finding ways and means to reduce the amount and weight of packaging that is required for their supply chain. This is a very significant development for the industry, as packaging accounts for a large proportion of total paper and board sales.
Compounding the current problems of the industry is the economic crisis in South East Asia, which poses a longer term threat to stability in paper and board manufacturing in Europe. These Far East customers were developing into good markets for European exporters, but their consumption has now dropped. When these areas were rapidly growing economies, there was a strong incentive to invest in their own local production of paper and board. Consequently, many large capacity paper mills that are now surplus to local requirements were built and commissioned. However, this capacity can possibly be filled by low-cost exports to world markets and, particularly, to the main centres of consumption in the advanced countries.
The indications, from the economic factors which are likely to influence demand and supply between 1999 and 2003, are that the paper and board manufacturers will benefit from some growth, but at a much lower rate than in the preceding 5 years. It is anticipated that the apparent UK market, at constant manufacturers' prices, will increase in value by a total of 9.3 percent, from £6.83bn in 1999, to £7.47bn in 2003. UK manufacturers' sales are also predicted to increase by 9.3 percent, from £4.34bn to £4.75bn, over the same period.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary

Market Definition

INTRODUCTION

MARKET SECTORS

MARKET TRENDS

Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

BY MARKET SECTOR

EXPORTS AND IMPORTS

Table 1: Apparent UK Market for Paper and Paperboard (£m), 1994-1998

Table 2: Paper and Board Production and Consumption by Volume (000 tonnes), 1994-1998

Table 3: UK Exports and Imports of Paper and Paperboard (£m), 1996-1998

Table 4: Output and Producer Prices of the Pulp and Paper Industries (index 1995=100), 1994-1998

Industry Background

INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION

EMPLOYMENT

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Table 5: Number of VAT-Registered Manufacturers of Pulp by Turnover Size (£000), 1998

Table 6: Number of VAT-Registered Manufacturers of Paper and Paperboard by Turnover Size (£000), 1998

Table 7: Number Employed in the Pulp, Paper and Publishing Industries (000), 1994-1998

Table 8: Employment in the Pulp Industry by Size of Enterprise (number of enterprises), 1998

Table 9: Employment in the Paper and Paperboard Industry by Size of Enterprise (number of enterprises), 1998

Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

MAJOR PLAYERS

Table 10: Selected Leading Companies in the UK by Turnover (£m), 1997/1998

Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT)

PULP

PAPER AND PAPERBOARD

WASTE PAPER

Buying Behaviour

CORRUGATED CASE MATERIALS

PRINTING AND WRITINGS

NEWSPRINT

HOUSEHOLD AND SANITARY PRODUCTS

PACKAGING BOARDS

PACKAGING PAPERS

OTHER PAPER AND BOARD

Table 11: Breakdown of the Paper and Board Market by Volume Share ( percent), 1998

Table 12: Home Sales of Paper and Board by Volume (000 tonnes), 1994-1998

Outside Suppliers to the Industry

RECYCLING SERVICES

AGENTS AND DISTRIBUTORS

PAPER MILLS

MACHINERY AND CONTROL SYSTEMS

OTHER MANUFACTURERS AND SUPPLIERS

Current Issues

HIGH VALUE OF STERLING

MARKET DEMAND

CONSOLIDATION OF THE GLOBAL PAPER INDUSTRY

PAPER PACKAGING

PAPER PULP FUTURES EXCHANGE

ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES

Forecasts

FORECASTS 1999 TO 2003

Table 13: Forecast Apparent UK Market for Paper and Paperboard (£m) at Constant 1999 Prices, 1999-2003

Company Profiles

INTRODUCTION

DEFINITIONS

FURTHER INFORMATION

Further Sources

ASSOCIATIONS

PERIODICALS

DIRECTORIES

GENERAL SOURCES

HBI UK INFORMATION SOURCES

GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS

OTHER SOURCES

Text © 1999 Key Note

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