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Executive Summary

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary

Market Definition

INTRODUCTION

MARKET SECTORS

MARKET POSITION

MARKET TRENDS

Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

BY MARKET SECTOR

OVERSEAS TRADE

Table 1: UK Paper and Board Production, Imports and Exports (000 tonnes), 1993-1997

Table 2: Apparent UK Consumption, Waste Collected and Proportion of Waste Used in UK Paper and Board Consumption and Production (000 tonnes and percent),

1993-1997

Table 3: The Apparent UK Market for Paper and Board Packaging Products (£m), 1993-1997

Table 4: End Use Markets for Cartons by Tonnage and Sales Value, ( percent) 1996

Table 5: Exports of Paper and Paperboard by Value and Volume (£m and tonnes), 1997

Table 6: Imports of Paper and Paperboard by Value and Volume (£m and Tonnes), 1997

Table 7: Summary of Exports and Imports of Paper and Paperboard for Packaging (£m, percent and tonnes), 1997

Industry Background

RAW MATERIALS

RECENT HISTORY

INTERNATIONAL PACKAGING COMPANIES

SPECIALISATION

INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION

EMPLOYMENT

TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Table 8: UK Subsidiaries of Principal Foreign-Owned Companies in the Paper and Board Packaging Industry

Table 9: Number of VAT-Based Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing Enterprises by Turnover Size, 1997

Table 10: Number of VAT-Based Paper and Paperboard Manufacturing Enterprises by Employment Size, 1997

Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

MARKET LEADERS

Table 11: Leading Companies in the Supply of Paper and Board Packaging in the UK by Turnover (£m), 1996/1997

Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats (SWOT)

STRENGTHS

WEAKNESSES

OPPORTUNITIES

THREATS

Buying Behaviour

DEMAND FOR PACKAGING

RAW MATERIAL COSTS

THE STRENGTH OF STERLING

THE GLOBAL MARKET

Outside Suppliers to the Industry

RAW MATERIAL SUPPLIERS

IMPORTERS AND DISTRIBUTORS

MANUFACTURING SUPPLIERS

Current Issues

CHANGES IN RETAIL DISTRIBUTION

SHARED PRODUCER RESPONSIBILITY

CORPORATE ISSUES

MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS

PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

Forecasts

INTRODUCTION

FORECASTS 1998 TO 2002

Table 12: Apparent UK Market for Paper and Board Packaging at Constant Prices (£m), 1998-2002

Company Profiles

INTRODUCTION

DEFINITIONS

FURTHER INFORMATION

Further Sources

ASSOCIATIONS

PERIODICALS

DIRECTORIES

GENERAL SOURCES

HBI UK INFORMATION SOURCES

GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS

OTHER SOURCES

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The total apparent UK market for paper and board packaging in 1997 is estimated at £4.45bn -- a 20.7 percent increase since 1993. This growth in consumption has been largely based on recycled waste paper, which accounted for 71.3 percent of production in 1997. It is supplied by a paper recovery industry that was established long before the introduction of the European Union (EU) directive on packaging waste recovery and recycling.

A characteristic of the paper and board industry is the large number of foreign-owned companies operating in the UK that are primarily involved in servicing a domestic market -- although important, imports and exports collectively represent less than 10 percent of UK manufacturers' sales.

Despite its dominant size within the £11.2bn total packaging market, the paper and board industry is oversupplied by a great number of producers relative to market needs. Production capacity is excessive and vulnerable to the expected imminent downturn in economic growth. Ominous developments include new packaging laws that are intended to limit growth in packaging consumption, coupled with the determination of powerful retail distributors to reduce packaging costs. There are acute pressures on packaging companies to produce new designs which minimise volume, but at the same time add value to their products.

Another key development is the globalisation of packaging, with many multinational users expanding sales in areas such as central and eastern Europe, China, etc. It is likely that the world's largest packaging companies will be exploring growth prospects in these markets, initially through export sales, but ultimately making direct investments, possibly sharing the risks and costs in joint ventures with local partners.

Consolidation of companies by acquisition or by merger has been a fairly gradual process during recent years but, as future prospects in a mature industry become less favourable, consolidation is likely to accelerate. Key Note anticipates that the total value of paper and board packaging sales over the next 5 years will, in real terms, slowly increase from around £4.58bn in 1998 to £5.11bn in 2002. The overall 11.4 percent forecast of growth in domestic sales is approximately half the rate of growth achieved between 1993 and 1997 (20.7 percent). Packaging manufacturers will, therefore, have to respond even more quickly with imaginative innovations that will meet changes in demand in their domestic markets.

Text © 1998 Key Note

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Last updated by Duncan Nottage 5th March 1999