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KEY NOTE Market Report : ACCESS CONTROL : January 2005

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This report covers: security systems, audio & video systems, keypad entry systems, card systems, Wiegand cards, magnetic-strip cards Barcode cards, proximity systems, long-range/hands free systems, systems to control vehicle access, smart cards, dual-function cards, biometric systems,

Companies covered include: Assa, Bewator, BPT Security Systems UK, Group 4 Technology, HID Corporation, Kaba UK, Newmark Security, PAC International, TDSi Group, ADT Fire & Security, Bell Group, Bell System (telephones), Blick UK, Chubb Electronic Security, Initial Electronic Security Systems, trade exhibitions, Air&Port Security Expo, ASIS, IFSEC, IIPSEC, Intersec, Securex, Security Essen, Techsec,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

After a period of fairly slow growth since 2000, the UK access control market showed signs of picking up in 2004. Key Note estimates that the value of the market increased by 6.8% to £251m in 2004.

The market includes installation and maintenance, as well as the supply of hardware and software, and is segmented into the following product sectors: audio and video entry systems; keypad entry systems; card access systems, such as Wiegand, magnetic stripe and barcode; radio frequency (RF) proximity systems; long-range/hands-free systems; systems to control vehicle access; smart-card systems; dual-function cards; and biometric systems. Some systems include more than one technology for added security.

The high crime level and fears of terrorism continue to be driving forces for all areas of the security market. The new building sector is of particular importance to the access control market and building output trends play a major role in determining market growth. Although the trends in building output in 2003 were fairly good, there was a downturn in the important commercial sector, following several years of growth. However, construction figures for the first half of 2004 show some improvement in this sector, as well as in the depressed industrial sector, and very strong growth in the output of housing and public-sector non-residential buildings.

The enforcement of the final part of the Disability Discrimination Act (DDA) in October 2004 means that customers must take into account the access needs of disabled people when choosing access control systems. Products adapted for disabled people have been launched by most of the major suppliers in 2004.

Proximity technology systems still account for the largest share of the market, but the need to cater for wheelchair users and people with manual disabilities is tending to favour hands-free systems. At the same time, the market for contactless smart-card technology is beginning to take off as customers `future-proof' their systems in anticipation of needing the extra capabilities offered by smart cards at a later date.

New building output picked up in 2004 and orders for new construction work increased. Economic forecasts at the end of November 2004 were favourable to investment in corporate premises. Key Note forecasts that the UK access control market will continue to show real growth between 2005 and 2009.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary

1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE

PRODUCT SECTORS

Audio and Video Entry Systems

Keypad Entry Systems

Card Systems

Wiegand Cards

Magnetic-Stripe Cards

Barcode Cards

Proximity Systems

Long-Range/Hands-Free Systems

Systems to Control Vehicle Access

Smart Cards

Dual-Function Cards

Biometric Systems

MARKET TRENDS

Growth in Construction Output

Table 1: Volume of Construction Output in Great Britain by Type of Work by Value at Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 2000-2004

Effect of the Disability Discrimination Act

Increased Demand for Higher Level Systems

ECONOMIC TRENDS

Population

Table 2: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1999-2003

Gross Domestic Product

Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 1999-2003

Inflation

Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1999-2003

Unemployment

Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons in the UK (million), 1999-2003

MARKET POSITION

The UK

Table 6: Estimated Breakdown of the UK Market for Electronic Security Systems by Value at Current Prices (%), 2000-2004

Overseas

2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET

Table 7: The UK Access Control Market by Value at Current End-User Prices (£m), 2000-2004

SECTOR TRENDS

Audio and Video Entry Systems

Keypad Systems

Card Systems

Magnetic-Stripe Cards

Barcode Systems

Proximity Systems

Hands-Free Systems

Smart Cards

Biometric Systems

OVERSEAS TRADE

Table 8: Imports of Entryphone Systems by Value (£m), 2000-2004

Table 9: Exports of Entryphone Systems by Value (£m), 2000-2004

3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY

NUMBER OF COMPANIES

EMPLOYMENT

Table 10: Number of Staff Employed by Members of the BSIA's Access Control Section, 1999-2003

REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE

Table 11: NSI-Approved Access Control Installations by Police Authority Area (% of total installations), 2003

DISTRIBUTION

Table 12: Number of Access Control Systems Installed by NSI-Approved Installers in the UK, 2000-2004

HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?

LEGISLATION

Standards

Publications of the British Security Industry Association

Electromagnetic Compatibility Directive

The Disability Discrimination Act 1995

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS

Association for Biometrics

Association of Police and Public Security Suppliers

British Security Industry Association

National Security Inspectorate

Security Systems and Alarms Inspection Board

4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

MARKET LEADERS

Table 13: Selected UK Suppliers in the Access Control Market, 2004

Abloy Security Ltd

Company Structure