| KN20024 |
| KEY NOTE Market Report ACCESS CONTROL : FEBRUARY 2004 |
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This report covers: audio entry systems, video entry systems, keypad systems, card systems, proximity access control, long range access control, hands-free access control, biometric systems, barium ferrite, wiegand cards, magnetic stripe, barcode cards, smart cards, dual function cards, infra-red cards, commercial sector, local government, residential locations, universities, airports, docks, hotels, leisure, crime level,
Companies covered include: Abloy Security, Assa,Bewator, CEM, Group 4 Technology, HID Corporation, Kaba UK, Newmark Security, PAC International, TDSi Group, Assa Abloy Hospitality, Bell Group, Bell System (Telephones), BPT Security Systems UK, G2 Integrated Solutions, Honeywell International, Johnson Controls Inc., MR Access, Paxton Access, ADT Fire and Security, Bell Group, Chubb Electronic Security, Initial Electronic Security Systems, SECOM, trade exhibitions, ASIS International Exhibition and Conference, IFSEC, International Security Exhibition, Securex,
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| Executive Summary |
| Growth in the access control market was slow in 2002 and 2003. Key Note estimates that the value of the market at end-user prices was £226m for 2002, rising to £232m in 2003. Several manufacturers reported better growth in exports than in the UK market in 2002. |
| The market includes system design; equipment supply, installation and maintenance; and the ongoing sales of new cards and tokens where appropriate. The products included in this market are audio- and video-entry systems, keypad entry systems, card access systems, proximity systems, |
| long-range and hands-free systems, and biometric systems. Systems may also include more than one technology for added security. |
| Market growth has been held back by falling output of new industrial buildings and a slowing of the UK's economic growth. On the other hand, demand for access control has been strong in the public sector, from schools and universities, local and national government buildings and hospitals. Private Finance Initiative (PFI) contracts have changed the nature of this market sector. There is a trend away from multiple small contracts to a smaller number of very large security contracts, encompassing several sites. |
| The high crime level and the threat from international terrorists continue to encourage upgrading of access control systems. At the same time, some customers are choosing smart-card systems to future-proof the system, as they believe that they will add other kinds of information to the system at a |
| later date. |
| Proximity technology continues to show growth but is thought to be fast approaching its peak. Competition is coming from smart cards and |
| hands-free systems. |
| Key Note expects the market to show annual growth running at between 3% and 4% from 2004 to 2008, in terms of constant 2003 prices. Prospects for output of new building work in 2004 and 2005 are not favourable in the important commercial and industrial sectors, although growth is expected for |
| public sector non-housing projects. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| Executive Summary 1 |
| 1. Market Definition 9 |
| REPORT COVERAGE 9 |
| PRODUCT SECTORS 10 |
| Entryphones and Video Entryphones 10 |
| Keypads 10 |
| Card Systems 10 |
| Wiegand Cards 10 |
| Magnetic Stripe Cards 10 |
| Barcode Cards 11 |
| Proximity Systems 11 |
| Long-Range/Hands-Free Systems 11 |
| Systems to Control Vehicle Access 11 |
| Smart Cards 11 |
| Dual-Function Cards 12 |
| Biometric Systems 12 |
| MARKET TRENDS 12 |
| Growth in Construction Output 12 |
| Table 1: Volume of Construction Output in Great Britain |
| by Sector (£m at constant 2000 prices), 1999-2003 13 |
| Private Finance Initiatives Change the Structure |
| of Public Sector Demand 14 |
| Increased Demand for Higher-Level Systems 14 |
| ECONOMIC TRENDS 14 |
| Population 14 |
| Table 2: UK Resident Population Estimates |
| by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1998-2002 15 |
| Gross Domestic Product 15 |
| Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and |
| Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1998-2002 16 |
| Inflation 16 |
| Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1998-2002 16 |
| Unemployment 16 |
| Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons |
| in the UK (million), 1998-2002 17 |
| MARKET POSITION 17 |
| The UK 17 |
| Table 6: Estimated Breakdown of the UK Market for Electronic Security Systems by Value at Current Prices (%), 1999-2003 18 |
| Overseas 18 |
| 2. Market Size 19 |
| THE TOTAL MARKET 19 |
| Industry Statistics 19 |
| Table 7: The Estimated UK Market for Access Control |
| Products and Systems at Current End-User Prices |
| (£m and %), 1999-2003 19 |
| SECTOR TRENDS 19 |
| Audio- and Video-Entry Systems 20 |
| Keypad Systems 20 |
| Proximity Systems 20 |
| Hands-Free Systems 21 |
| Magnetic Stripe Cards 21 |
| Barcode Systems 21 |
| Smart Cards 21 |
| Biometric Systems 21 |
| OVERSEAS TRADE 22 |
| Table 8: Imports of Entryphone Systems by Value |
| (£m and %), 1998-2002 22 |
| Table 9: Exports of Entryphone Systems by Value |
| (£m and %), 1998-2002 23 |
| 3. Industry Background 24 |
| INTRODUCTION 24 |
| Recent History 24 |
| Number of Companies 24 |
| Employment 24 |
| Table 10: Employment by BSIA's Access Control Members, 1998-2002 25 |
| REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 25 |
| Table 11: Top Ten Police Authority Areas for |
| Number of Access Control Installations |
| (% of total installations), Year to 31st December 2003 26 |
| DISTRIBUTION 27 |
| Table 12: Number of Access Control Systems Installed |
| by NSI-Approved Installers (number and %), 1999-2003 27 |
| HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 28 |
| LEGISLATION 28 |
| Standards 28 |
| BSIA Grading Document 28 |
| Electromagnetic Compatibility Directive 29 |
| Disability Discrimination Act 29 |
| TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 29 |
| Association for Biometrics 29 |
| Association of Police and Public Security Suppliers 29 |
| British Security Industry Association 29 |
| National Security Inspectorate 30 |
| Security Systems and Alarms Inspection Board 30 |
| 4. Competitor Analysis 31 |
| THE MARKETPLACE 31 |
| MARKET LEADERS 31 |
| Table 13: Selected UK Operations Involved in the |
| Access Control Market, 2003 32 |
| Abloy Security Ltd 33 |
| Company Structure 33 |
| Current and Future Developments 33 |
| Financial Results 33 |
| Assa Ltd 33 |
| Company Structure 33 |
| Current and Future Developments 33 |
| Financial Results 34 |
| Bewator Ltd 34 |
| Company Structure 34 |
| Current and Future Developments 34 |
| Financial Results 35 |
| CEM Systems 35 |
| Company Structure 35 |
| Current and Future Developments 35 |
| Financial Results 36 |
| Group 4 Technology Ltd 36 |
| Company Structure 36 |
| Current and Future Developments 37 |
| Financial Results 37 |
| HID Corporation Ltd 37 |
| Company Structure 37 |
| Current and Future Developments 37 |
| Financial Results 39 |
| Kaba (UK) Ltd 39 |
| Company Structure 39 |
| Current and Future Developments 39 |
| Financial Results 40 |
| Newmark Security PLC 40 |
| Company Structure 40 |
| Current and Future Developments 41 |
| Financial Results 41 |
| PAC International Ltd 41 |
| Company Structure 41 |
| Current and Future Developments 42 |
| Financial Results 43 |
| TDSi Group Ltd 43 |
| Company Structure 43 |
| Current and Future Developments 44 |
| Financial Results 44 |
| OTHER COMPANIES 44 |
| Assa Abloy Hospitality Ltd 44 |
| Bell Group PLC 45 |
| Bell System (Telephones) Ltd 45 |
| BPT Security Systems (UK) Ltd 45 |
| G2 Integrated Solutions 45 |
| Honeywell International Inc. 46 |
| Johnson Controls Inc. 46 |
| MR Access Ltd 46 |
| Paxton Access Ltd 47 |
| SECURITY INSTALLERS 47 |
| ADT Fire and Security PLC 47 |
| Company Structure 47 |
| Financial Results 47 |
| Bell Group PLC 47 |
| Company Structure 47 |
| Financial Results 48 |
| Chubb Electronic Security Ltd 48 |
| Company Structure 48 |
| Financial Results 48 |
| Initial Electronic Security Systems Ltd 48 |
| Company Structure 48 |
| Financial Results 48 |
| SECOM PLC 49 |
| Company Structure 49 |
| Financial Results 49 |
| OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 49 |
| Lock Manufacturers 49 |
| Manufacturers of Security Doors, Turnstiles and Barriers 49 |
| Smart Cards 50 |
| ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION 50 |
| Trade Exhibitions 50 |
| Airport, Port + Terminal Security 50 |
| ASIS International Exhibition and Conference 50 |
| IFSEC 50 |
| IIPSEC 51 |
| International Security Exhibition 51 |
| Securex 51 |
| 5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 52 |
| THE TOTAL ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 52 |
| Strengths 52 |
| Weaknesses 53 |
| Opportunities 53 |
| Threats 54 |
| AUDIO- AND VIDEO-ENTRY SYSTEMS 54 |
| Strengths 54 |
| Weaknesses 54 |
| Opportunities 55 |
| Threats 55 |
| KEYPAD SYSTEMS 55 |
| Strengths 55 |
| Weaknesses 55 |
| Opportunities 56 |
| Threats 56 |
| TRADITIONAL CARD READER SYSTEMS 56 |
| Strengths 56 |
| Weaknesses 56 |
| Opportunities 57 |
| Threats 57 |
| PROXIMITY-CARD OR TOKEN SYSTEMS 57 |
| Strengths 57 |
| Weaknesses 57 |
| Opportunities 57 |
| Threats 57 |
| HANDS-FREE/LONG-RANGE SYSTEMS 58 |
| Strengths 58 |
| Weaknesses 58 |
| Opportunities 58 |
| Threats 58 |
| CONTACTLESS SMART-CARD SYSTEMS 58 |
| Strengths 58 |
| Weaknesses 59 |
| Opportunities 59 |
| Threats 59 |
| BIOMETRIC SYSTEMS 59 |
| Strengths 59 |
| Weaknesses 59 |
| Opportunities 60 |
| Threats 60 |
| 6. Buying Behaviour 61 |
| COMMERCIAL SECTOR 61 |
| LOCAL GOVERNMENT 61 |
| RESIDENTIAL LOCATIONS 61 |
| UNIVERSITIES 61 |
| AIRPORTS 62 |
| DOCKS 62 |
| HOTELS 62 |
| LEISURE 62 |
| 7. Current Issues 63 |
| THE CRIME LEVEL 63 |
| Table 14: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded |
| by the Police in England and Wales (000 cases and %), |
| Years to March 1998/1999-2002/2003 63 |
| Table 15: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded |
| by the Police in Scotland (000 cases and %), 1998-2002 64 |
| LEGISLATION BRINGS BETTER ACCESS FOR THE DISABLED 64 |
| OPEN SECURITY EXCHANGE 65 |
| 8. The Global Market 66 |
| THE WORLD ACCESS CONTROL MARKET SHOWED ONLY GRADUAL GROWTH IN 2002 66 |
| THE US BIOMETRICS MARKET ACCELERATES 66 |
| THE SUPPLY INDUSTRY BOOMS IN THE FAR EAST 66 |
| 9. Forecasts 67 |
| INTRODUCTION 67 |
| The Economy 67 |
| Population 67 |
| Table 16: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex |
| (000 and %), 2003-2007 67 |
| Gross Domestic Product 67 |
| Table 17: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product |
| in Real Terms (%), 2003-2007 68 |
| Inflation 68 |
| Table 18: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007 68 |
| Unemployment 68 |
| Table 19: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed |
| Persons (million and %), 2003-2007 68 |
| Building Output 69 |
| FORECASTS 69 |
| Table 20: Forecast UK Access Control Market at Constant 2003 End-User Prices (£m and %), 2004-2008 69 |
| FUTURE TRENDS 70 |
| 10. Company Profiles 71 |
| Abloy Security Ltd 72 |
| Assa Ltd 74 |
| Bewator Ltd 76 |
| Controlled Electronic Management Systems Ltd 78 |
| Group 4 Technology Ltd 80 |
| HID Corporation Ltd 82 |
| Kaba (UK) Ltd 84 |
| Newmark Security PLC 86 |
| PAC International Ltd 88 |
| TDSi Group Ltd 90 |
| 11. Further Sources 92 |
| Associations 92 |
| Publications 92 |
| Government Publications 93 |
| Bonnier Information Sources 94 |
Text © 2004 Key Note
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous June 2004