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KN20024
KEY NOTE Market Report ACCESS CONTROL : FEBRUARY 2004
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This report covers: audio entry systems, video entry systems, keypad systems, card systems, proximity access control, long range access control, hands-free access control, biometric systems, barium ferrite, wiegand cards, magnetic stripe, barcode cards, smart cards, dual function cards, infra-red cards, commercial sector, local government, residential locations, universities, airports, docks, hotels, leisure, crime level,

Companies covered include: Abloy Security, Assa,Bewator, CEM, Group 4 Technology, HID Corporation, Kaba UK, Newmark Security, PAC International, TDSi Group, Assa Abloy Hospitality, Bell Group, Bell System (Telephones), BPT Security Systems UK, G2 Integrated Solutions, Honeywell International, Johnson Controls Inc., MR Access, Paxton Access, ADT Fire and Security, Bell Group, Chubb Electronic Security, Initial Electronic Security Systems, SECOM, trade exhibitions, ASIS International Exhibition and Conference, IFSEC, International Security Exhibition, Securex,

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Executive Summary
 
Growth in the access control market was slow in 2002 and 2003. Key Note estimates that the value of the market at end-user prices was £226m for 2002, rising to £232m in 2003. Several manufacturers reported better growth in exports than in the UK market in 2002.
 
The market includes system design; equipment supply, installation and maintenance; and the ongoing sales of new cards and tokens where appropriate. The products included in this market are audio- and video-entry systems, keypad entry systems, card access systems, proximity systems,
long-range and hands-free systems, and biometric systems. Systems may also include more than one technology for added security.
 
Market growth has been held back by falling output of new industrial buildings and a slowing of the UK's economic growth. On the other hand, demand for access control has been strong in the public sector, from schools and universities, local and national government buildings and hospitals. Private Finance Initiative (PFI) contracts have changed the nature of this market sector. There is a trend away from multiple small contracts to a smaller number of very large security contracts, encompassing several sites.
 
The high crime level and the threat from international terrorists continue to encourage upgrading of access control systems. At the same time, some customers are choosing smart-card systems to future-proof the system, as they believe that they will add other kinds of information to the system at a
later date.
 
Proximity technology continues to show growth but is thought to be fast approaching its peak. Competition is coming from smart cards and
hands-free systems.
 
Key Note expects the market to show annual growth running at between 3% and 4% from 2004 to 2008, in terms of constant 2003 prices. Prospects for output of new building work in 2004 and 2005 are not favourable in the important commercial and industrial sectors, although growth is expected for
public sector non-housing projects.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1
 
1. Market Definition 9
 
REPORT COVERAGE 9
 
PRODUCT SECTORS 10
 
Entryphones and Video Entryphones 10
 
Keypads 10
 
Card Systems 10
 
Wiegand Cards 10
 
Magnetic Stripe Cards 10
 
Barcode Cards 11
 
Proximity Systems 11
 
Long-Range/Hands-Free Systems 11
 
Systems to Control Vehicle Access 11
 
Smart Cards 11
 
Dual-Function Cards 12
 
Biometric Systems 12
 
MARKET TRENDS 12
 
Growth in Construction Output 12
 
Table 1: Volume of Construction Output in Great Britain
by Sector (£m at constant 2000 prices), 1999-2003 13
 
Private Finance Initiatives Change the Structure
of Public Sector Demand 14
 
Increased Demand for Higher-Level Systems 14
 
ECONOMIC TRENDS 14
 
Population 14
 
Table 2: UK Resident Population Estimates
by Sex (000), Mid-Years 1998-2002 15
 
Gross Domestic Product 15
 
Table 3: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and
Constant 1995 Prices (£m), 1998-2002 16
 
Inflation 16
 
Table 4: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 1998-2002 16
 
Unemployment 16
 
Table 5: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons
in the UK (million), 1998-2002 17
 
MARKET POSITION 17
 
The UK 17
 
Table 6: Estimated Breakdown of the UK Market for Electronic Security Systems by Value at Current Prices (%), 1999-2003 18
 
Overseas 18
 
2. Market Size 19
 
THE TOTAL MARKET 19
 
Industry Statistics 19
 
Table 7: The Estimated UK Market for Access Control
Products and Systems at Current End-User Prices
(£m and %), 1999-2003 19
 
SECTOR TRENDS 19
 
Audio- and Video-Entry Systems 20
 
Keypad Systems 20
 
Proximity Systems 20
 
Hands-Free Systems 21
 
Magnetic Stripe Cards 21
 
Barcode Systems 21
 
Smart Cards 21
 
Biometric Systems 21
 
OVERSEAS TRADE 22
 
Table 8: Imports of Entryphone Systems by Value
(£m and %), 1998-2002 22
 
Table 9: Exports of Entryphone Systems by Value
(£m and %), 1998-2002 23
 
3. Industry Background 24
 
INTRODUCTION 24
 
Recent History 24
 
Number of Companies 24
 
Employment 24
 
Table 10: Employment by BSIA's Access Control Members, 1998-2002 25
 
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 25
 
Table 11: Top Ten† Police Authority Areas for
Number of Access Control Installations
(% of total installations), Year to 31st December 2003 26
 
DISTRIBUTION 27
 
Table 12: Number of Access Control Systems Installed
by NSI-Approved Installers (number and %), 1999-2003 27
 
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 28
 
LEGISLATION 28
 
Standards 28
 
BSIA Grading Document 28
 
Electromagnetic Compatibility Directive 29
 
Disability Discrimination Act 29
 
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 29
 
Association for Biometrics 29
 
Association of Police and Public Security Suppliers 29
 
British Security Industry Association 29
 
National Security Inspectorate 30
 
Security Systems and Alarms Inspection Board 30
 
4. Competitor Analysis 31
 
THE MARKETPLACE 31
 
MARKET LEADERS 31
 
Table 13: Selected UK Operations Involved in the
Access Control Market, 2003 32
 
Abloy Security Ltd 33
 
Company Structure 33
 
Current and Future Developments 33
 
Financial Results 33
 
Assa Ltd 33
 
Company Structure 33
 
Current and Future Developments 33
 
Financial Results 34
 
Bewator Ltd 34
 
Company Structure 34
 
Current and Future Developments 34
 
Financial Results 35
 
CEM Systems 35
 
Company Structure 35
 
Current and Future Developments 35
 
Financial Results 36
 
Group 4 Technology Ltd 36
 
Company Structure 36
 
Current and Future Developments 37
 
Financial Results 37
 
HID Corporation Ltd 37
 
Company Structure 37
 
Current and Future Developments 37
 
Financial Results 39
 
Kaba (UK) Ltd 39
 
Company Structure 39
 
Current and Future Developments 39
 
Financial Results 40
 
Newmark Security PLC 40
 
Company Structure 40
 
Current and Future Developments 41
 
Financial Results 41
 
PAC International Ltd 41
 
Company Structure 41
 
Current and Future Developments 42
 
Financial Results 43
 
TDSi Group Ltd 43
 
Company Structure 43
 
Current and Future Developments 44
 
Financial Results 44
 
OTHER COMPANIES 44
 
Assa Abloy Hospitality Ltd 44
 
Bell Group PLC 45
 
Bell System (Telephones) Ltd 45
 
BPT Security Systems (UK) Ltd 45
 
G2 Integrated Solutions 45
 
Honeywell International Inc. 46
 
Johnson Controls Inc. 46
 
MR Access Ltd 46
 
Paxton Access Ltd 47
 
SECURITY INSTALLERS 47
 
ADT Fire and Security PLC 47
 
Company Structure 47
 
Financial Results 47
 
Bell Group PLC 47
 
Company Structure 47
 
Financial Results 48
 
Chubb Electronic Security Ltd 48
 
Company Structure 48
 
Financial Results 48
 
Initial Electronic Security Systems Ltd 48
 
Company Structure 48
 
Financial Results 48
 
SECOM PLC 49
 
Company Structure 49
 
Financial Results 49
 
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 49
 
Lock Manufacturers 49
 
Manufacturers of Security Doors, Turnstiles and Barriers 49
 
Smart Cards 50
 
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION 50
 
Trade Exhibitions 50
 
Airport, Port + Terminal Security 50
 
ASIS International Exhibition and Conference 50
 
IFSEC 50
 
IIPSEC 51
 
International Security Exhibition 51
 
Securex 51
 
5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 52
 
THE TOTAL ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 52
 
Strengths 52
 
Weaknesses 53
 
Opportunities 53
 
Threats 54
 
AUDIO- AND VIDEO-ENTRY SYSTEMS 54
 
Strengths 54
 
Weaknesses 54
 
Opportunities 55
 
Threats 55
 
KEYPAD SYSTEMS 55
 
Strengths 55
 
Weaknesses 55
 
Opportunities 56
 
Threats 56
 
TRADITIONAL CARD READER SYSTEMS 56
 
Strengths 56
 
Weaknesses 56
 
Opportunities 57
 
Threats 57
 
PROXIMITY-CARD OR TOKEN SYSTEMS 57
 
Strengths 57
 
Weaknesses 57
 
Opportunities 57
 
Threats 57
 
HANDS-FREE/LONG-RANGE SYSTEMS 58
 
Strengths 58
 
Weaknesses 58
 
Opportunities 58
 
Threats 58
 
CONTACTLESS SMART-CARD SYSTEMS 58
 
Strengths 58
 
Weaknesses 59
 
Opportunities 59
 
Threats 59
 
BIOMETRIC SYSTEMS 59
 
Strengths 59
 
Weaknesses 59
 
Opportunities 60
 
Threats 60
 
6. Buying Behaviour 61
 
COMMERCIAL SECTOR 61
 
LOCAL GOVERNMENT 61
 
RESIDENTIAL LOCATIONS 61
 
UNIVERSITIES 61
 
AIRPORTS 62
 
DOCKS 62
 
HOTELS 62
 
LEISURE 62
 
7. Current Issues 63
 
THE CRIME LEVEL 63
 
Table 14: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded
by the Police in England and Wales (000 cases and %),
Years to March 1998/1999-2002/2003 63
 
Table 15: Number of Notifiable Criminal Offences Recorded
by the Police in Scotland (000 cases and %), 1998-2002 64
 
LEGISLATION BRINGS BETTER ACCESS FOR THE DISABLED 64
 
OPEN SECURITY EXCHANGE 65
 
8. The Global Market 66
 
THE WORLD ACCESS CONTROL MARKET SHOWED ONLY GRADUAL GROWTH IN 2002 66
 
THE US BIOMETRICS MARKET ACCELERATES 66
 
THE SUPPLY INDUSTRY BOOMS IN THE FAR EAST 66
 
9. Forecasts 67
 
INTRODUCTION 67
 
The Economy 67
 
Population 67
 
Table 16: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex
(000 and %), 2003-2007 67
 
Gross Domestic Product 67
 
Table 17: Forecast UK Gross Domestic Product
in Real Terms (%), 2003-2007 68
 
Inflation 68
 
Table 18: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2003-2007 68
 
Unemployment 68
 
Table 19: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed
Persons (million and %), 2003-2007 68
 
Building Output 69
 
FORECASTS 69
 
Table 20: Forecast UK Access Control Market at Constant 2003 End-User Prices (£m and %), 2004-2008 69
 
FUTURE TRENDS 70
 
10. Company Profiles 71
 
Abloy Security Ltd 72
 
Assa Ltd 74
 
Bewator Ltd 76
 
Controlled Electronic Management Systems Ltd 78
 
Group 4 Technology Ltd 80
 
HID Corporation Ltd 82
 
Kaba (UK) Ltd 84
 
Newmark Security PLC 86
 
PAC International Ltd 88
 
TDSi Group Ltd 90
 
11. Further Sources 92
 
Associations 92
 
Publications 92
 
Government Publications 93
 
Bonnier Information Sources 94

Text © 2004 Key Note

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