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KEY NOTE SNACK FOODS PLUS : JANUARY 2003
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This report covers: bagged snacks,crisps, other savory sanacks, nuts, baked snacks, plain & savoury biscuits, eating habits, sociable sharing, product innovation, spicyflavours, health issues, fat content, calorie intake, additives, salt, potato crisps, potato sticks etc.

Companies covered include: The Jacob's Bakery, Kettle Foods, Proctor & Gamble, Red Mill Snack Foods, Seabrook Factory, United Biscuits, Walkers Snack Foods,

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary 1
1. Market Definition 7
REPORT COVERAGE 7
MARKET SECTORS 7
Bagged Snacks 7
Crisps 7
Other Savoury Snacks 7
Nuts 8
Baked Snacks 8
Plain and Savoury Biscuits 8
Savoury Snack Biscuits 8
MARKET TRENDS 8
Eating Habits 8
Sociable Sharing 9
Product Innovation 9
Spicy Flavours 9
Health Issues 9
Fat Content 9
Calorie Intake 10
Additives 10
Salt 10
MARKET POSITION 10
Household Expenditure on Food and Non-Alcoholic Drink 10
Table 1: Household Expenditure on Food and Non-Alcoholic Drink, and Share Taken by Snack Foods (£m and percent), 1997-2001 11
A European Perspective 11
2. Market Size 12
THE TOTAL MARKET 12
Table 2: The UK Market for Snack Foods by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 12
BY MARKET SECTOR 12
Table 3: The UK Market for Snack Foods by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2002 13
Bagged Snacks 13
Crisps 13
Other Savoury Snacks 14
Nuts 14
Baked Snacks 14
Plain and Savoury Biscuits 14
Savoury Snack Biscuits 14
3. Industry Background 15
HISTORICAL BACKGROUND 15
NUMBER OF COMPANIES 15
By Turnover 15
Table 4: Number of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Involved in the Processing and Preserving of Potatoes by Turnover (£000 and number), 2002 16
By Number of Employees 16
Table 5: Number of UK VAT-Based Local Units Involved in the Processing and Preserving of Potatoes by Number of Employees, 2002 17
REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE 17
RETAIL DISTRIBUTION 18
HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET? 18
LEGISLATION 19
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS 19
European Snacks Association 19
Snack Food Association 19
Snack, Nut & Crisp Manufacturers' Association 20
ADVISORY AND INFORMATION SERVICES 20
European Food Safety Authority 20
The Food Commission 20
Food Standards Agency 20
4. Competitor Analysis 21
THE MARKETPLACE 21
Table 6: Selected Leading UK-Registered Snack-Food Companies by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2000/2001 21
MARKET LEADERS 22
The Jacob's Bakery Ltd 22
Financial Results 22
Kettle Foods Ltd 22
Financial Results 22
Procter & Gamble Ltd 22
Financial Results 23
Red Mill Snack Foods Ltd 23
Financial Results 23
Seabrook Potato Crisps Ltd 24
Financial Results 24
The Snack Factory Ltd 24
Financial Results 24
United Biscuits (UK) Ltd 24
Financial Results 25
Walkers Snack Foods Ltd 25
Financial Results 25
OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS 26
Raw Materials 26
Flavourings 26
Processing Equipment 26
Packaging 27
ADVERTISING AND PROMOTION 27
Main Media Expenditure 27
Table 7: Main Media Expenditure on Potato Crisps and Snacks (£000), Years to June 2001 and 2002 28
Recent Promotions 30
Goalden Balls 30
KP 30
Pringles 30
Thai Bites 30
Twiglets 30
Walkers 30
5. Brand Strategy 32
LEADING BRAND NAMES 32
Own Brands 32
BRAND VALUES 33
Bagged Snacks 33
Table 8: The Leading Brands of Bagged Snacks by Sales Value (£000), 2000 and 2001 33
Baked Snacks 34
BRAND PENETRATION 34
Table 9: Penetration of Selected Brands of Snack Food by Sex ( percent of adults), 2002 34
By Sex 35
By Age 35
Table 10: Penetration of Selected Brands of Snack Food by Age ( percent of adults), 2002 36
By Social Grade 36
Table 11: Penetration of Selected Brands of Snack Food by Social Grade ( percent of adults), 2002 37
By Region 37
Table 12: Penetration of Selected Brands of Snack Food by Region — the South of England and Wales ( percent of adults), 2002 38
Table 13: Penetration of Selected Brands of Snack Food by Region — the Midlands, the North of England and Scotland ( percent of adults), 2002 39
BRAND NEWS 39
6. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats 40
STRENGTHS 40
WEAKNESSES 40
OPPORTUNITIES 41
THREATS 41
7. Buying Behaviour 42
CONSUMER PENETRATION 42
Potato Crisps 42
Table 14: Penetration of Potato Crisps ( percent of adults/users), 2002 42
Potato Sticks and Other Crisp Savoury Snacks 43
Table 15: Penetration of Potato Sticks and Other Crisp Savoury Snacks ( percent of adults/users), 2002 44
Packeted and Tinned Nuts 44
Table 16: Penetration of Packeted and Tinned Nuts ( percent of adults/users), 2002 45
8. Current Issues 46
CLOSURES, MERGERS AND ACQUISITIONS 46
Golden Wonder Ltd 46
John Lusty Group PLC 46
Quaker Trading Ltd 46
Snackhouse PLC 47
BOARD CHANGES 47
Golden Wonder 47
Kettle Foods 47
Ryvita 47
United Biscuits 47
NEW PRODUCTS 48
KP 48
Ryvita 48
Snacks Unlimited 48
Walkers Snack Foods 48
9. The Global Market 49
INTRODUCTION 49
MARKET PROFILE 49
OVERSEAS MARKET LEADERS 49
C&C Group PLC 49
Groupe Danone 50
The Intersnack Group 50
Keebler Foods Company 50
Kettle Foods 50
Kraft Foods Incorporated 51
Lance Incorporated 51
PepsiCo Incorporated 51
10. Forecasts 52
INTRODUCTION 52
Population Trends 52
Table 17: The Projected Size of the UK Population by Age Group (000 persons), 2002, 2007 and 2012 52
Health Advice 53
FORECASTS 2003 TO 2007 53
Table 18: The Forecast UK Market for Snack Foods by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 2003-2007 54
Bagged Snacks 54
Baked Snacks 54
MARKET GROWTH 55
Figure 1: The UK Market for Snack Foods by Value at Current Prices (£m at rsp), 1998-2007 55
11. Company Profiles 56
The Jacob's Bakery Ltd 57
Kettle Foods Ltd 59
Red Mill Snack Foods Ltd 61
Seabrook Potato Crisps ltd 63
The Snack Factory Ltd 65
United Biscuits (uk) Ltd 67
Walkers Snack Foods Ltd 69
12. Company Financials 71
13. Further Sources 73
Associations 73
Publications 73
General Sources 74
Bonnier Information Sources 74
Government Publications 75

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

For the purposes of this report, snack foods are defined as bagged snacks (crisps, other savoury snacks and nuts) and baked snacks (plain and savoury biscuits, and savoury snack biscuits). Their combined retail value reached an estimated £2.29bn in 2002, having increased by just 2 percent from the previous year. The ongoing trend towards snacking in place of the traditional three meals a day has benefited the market, but it has also led to the development of snack products by other food sectors, such as fruit, cheese and cereals. Some of these latter products are considerably healthier than many of their competitors, provoking manufacturers to provide more varied and more nutritional ranges of savoury snacks. Nevertheless, crisps continue to take the largest share of sales and were eaten by 89.4 percent of adults (aged 15 or over) in 2002, according to BMRB International. Penetration is higher among young people than among those who are older, but the difference is likely to become less marked with the ageing of the post-war generation, which grew up with crisps and similar products.

Snacks may be eaten in addition to traditional meals or as a substitute for them. People without the time, inclination or skill to prepare meals from scratch want convenient food that can be eaten `on the go' or at the desk. However, those in the industry appear to be in agreement that the main growth area is social snacking, where groups of people share large bags or tubes. Adults are more likely to choose premium products for such occasions, and it is noticeable that flavours are becoming spicier.

Supply is dominated by a handful of global companies. The UK market leaders are Walkers Snack Foods (part of PepsiCo Incorporated) and KP (part of United Biscuits), although the second-largest brand is Pringles, which represents Procter & Gamble's only foray into the snack-foods market. The most important corporate development in 2002 was the change in ownership of Golden Wonder, one of the best-known names in the industry. Walkers Snack Foods has acquired the Wotsits brand and Golden Wonder's direct-sales operation, while The Snack Factory has taken on Golden Wonder's other brands, plus its head office, factories and equipment. Some manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers expressed concern about the power the deal would give the two acquiring companies, and the Office of Fair Trading (OFT) was asked to investigate. In the event, however, the OFT decided that it was unnecessary to refer the matter to the Competition Commission, and the deal was duly completed in July 2002. Other recent corporate developments have included the appointment of receivers for Snackhouse (the holding company for Benson's Crisps) and John Lusty Group (importers and distributors).

Hundreds of new products are launched in any year, but the majority of sales are accounted for by a few brands. Considerable advertising expenditure is required to maintain the profiles of these top brands - let alone to launch new ones - and it could be argued that there are too many products in the market, serving only to confuse retailers and consumers alike. If a winning formula is introduced, other manufacturers rush to copy it and a price war ensues, doing the value of the market no favours. However, Key Note forecasts that sales of snack foods will continue to grow slowly but surely over the period to 2007.

Text © 2003 Key Note

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Last updated by Amanda Porteous July 2003

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