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KN15151 KEY NOTE BREAKFAST CEREALS MAY 2001

Editor: Dominic Fenn
ISBN: 1-84168-196-2

This report covers: breakfast cereals, RTE, ready to eat,cereals,hot cereals,corn flakes, wheat biscuits,puffed wheat,bran,muesli,childrens cereals,organic cereals,staples,health cereals, adult indulgence,maize-based products,rice-based products,

Companies covered include: Cereal Partners UK,Dailycer,Wessanen,The Big Cereal Company,Dorset Cereals,Doves Farm Foods,W Jordan (Cereals), Kellogg Company of Great Britain,Morning Foods,Quaker Oats,Weetabix,Whole Earth Foods,Pertwood organic Cereals Company,

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Breakfast cereals form an important and well-established grocery sector, with over 90 percent household penetration. In 2000, 414,000 tonnes of breakfast cereals were sold in the UK, at a retail value of £1.1bn.

The market can be segmented into ready-to-eat (RTE) cereals (cold cereals) and hot cereals. The latter sector includes both traditional porridge oats and the newer 'instant' varieties. Breakfast cereals can also be classified by category of product, i.e. staples, children's, health, adult indulgence and muesli. The two largest sectors are staples and children's cereals, which together accounted for an estimated 63 percent of RTE cereal sales by value in 2000.

Between 1996 and 2000, the value of the UK breakfast cereals market remained static overall, as a result of increased competition from alternative breakfast foods, such as croissants, pastries and cereal bars, and intense price-cutting initiatives by the leading multiple grocers. The leading cereal manufacturers have been diversifying into convenience and snacking products targeting breakfast 'skippers' and 'deskfasters', i.e. those who prefer to eat breakfast at the office.

In the RTE sector, the main growth has come from niche products, such as organic cereals and adult indulgence products, while growth in the hot cereals sector is being driven by 'instant', microwaveable varieties, which have attracted new users. Sales of organic cereals grew dramatically in 2000, as the products became more mainstream and well-known manufacturers entered the market. Weetabix, for example, launched its Nature's Own range of wheat biscuits and malted wheat squares, while The Enjoy Organic Company, backed by RHM, introduced a range of five organic versions of mainstream cereals. Own labels have also grown in importance, with new suppliers launching better-quality cereals.

Key Note forecasts that the breakfast cereals market will see some growth over the medium term, but at a slow rate, because of the maturity of the products and increased retail competition. New product developments will continue the current trend towards snacking and convenience, with a greater emphasis on healthy cereals in the future. In percentage terms, however, the largest growth will come from hot cereals — especially the 'instant' varieties, which have greater potential because of their relative infancy.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Executive Summary


1. Market Definition


REPORT COVERAGE
MARKET SECTORS
MARKET TRENDS
Eating Habits
Organic Products
Healthy Eating
Snacking
Taste
MARKET POSITION
The UK
and percent), 1996-2000
Overseas
KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
Association of Cereal Food Manufacturers Ltd


2. Market Size


THE TOTAL MARKET
1996-2000
Table 3: The UK Market for Breakfast Cereals by Volume (000 tonnes), 1996-2000
BY MARKET SECTOR
Ready-to-Eat Cereals
Table 4: The UK Market for Ready-to-Eat Cereals by Value (£m at rsp and percent), 1996-2000
by Value ( percent), 2000
Recent Trends
Hot Cereals
1996-2000
Recent Trends
OVERSEAS TRADE
Table 7: UK Exports of Breakfast Cereals by Value (£m), 1995-2000
1999 and 2000


3. Industry Background


RECENT HISTORY
NUMBER OF COMPANIES
Table 9: Number of VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Manufacture of Breakfast Cereals and Cereal-Based Foods by Turnover (£000), 2000
THE MARKETPLACE
DISTRIBUTION
Table 10: The UK Market for Breakfast Cereals by Distribution Channel by Value ( percent), 2000
THE MARKET?
LEGISLATION


4. Competitor Analysis


THE MARKETPLACE
Market Shares
by Volume ( percent), 2000
Table 12: The Leading UK Manufacturers of Hot Cereals by Market Share by Value ( percent), 2000
Rankings by Turnover
Table 13: The Leading UK Manufacturers of Breakfast Cereals by Turnover (£m), 1999/2000
MARKET LEADERS
Cereal Partners UK
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Dailycer Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Dorset Cereals Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Doves Farm Foods Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
W Jordan (Cereals) Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Great Britain Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Morning Foods Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Quaker Oats Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Weetabix Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Whole Earth Foods Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results
Other Companies
THE INDUSTRY
Food Flavourings and Ingredients
Specialist Machinery
Packaging
PROMOTION
Main Media Advertising Expenditure
Table 14: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Ready-to-Eat Cereals (£000), 1999 and 2000
1999 and 2000
Recent Campaigns
Kellogg
Weetabix
Jordans
Golden Grahams
Perfect Balance
The Big Cereal Company
The Enjoy Organic Company
and Threats
THE TOTAL MARKET
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
READY-TO-EAT CEREALS
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
HOT CEREALS
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats


6. Buying Behaviour


CONSUMER PENETRATION
Ready-to-Eat Cereals
1998 and 2000
Hot Cereals
1998 and 2000
CONSUMER PROFILE
( percent of female housewives), 2000
By Age
By Social Grade
By Region
THE EFFECT OF CHILDREN IN THE HOUSEHOLD
( percent of female housewives), 2000


7. Current Issues


HEALTH ISSUES
Cereal Partners UK
Co-op
Joint Health Claims Initiative
AND WITHDRAWALS
Kellogg
Doves Farm Foods
The Big Cereal Company
Jordans
Weetabix
Ennis Foods
Company
Co-op
Whole Earth Foods
Novartis
LEGISLATIVE CHANGES
Waste Directive
THE INTERNET


8. The Global Market


MARKET SIZE
1996-2000
The US
Table 21: The US Market for Ready-to-Eat Cereals by Volume and Value (billion units and $bn), Year to July 1996-2000
MARKET LEADERS
Table 22: The Top-Selling US Cereal Brands by Value ($m), Year to July 2000
CONSUMPTION
1999
Market Trends
CORPORATE ACTIVITY
Developments
Global E-Trading


9. Forecasts


INTRODUCTION
FORECASTS 2001 TO 2005
(£m at rsp), 2001-2005
FUTURE TRENDS
Demographics
Market Segmentation
Ready-to-Eat Cereals
Hot Cereals
Globalisation
Product Development
Competitor Forecasts


10. Company Profiles


Dailycer Ltd
W Jordan (Cereals) Ltd
Great Britain Ltd
Morning Foods Ltd
Quaker Oats Ltd
Weetabix Ltd


11. Further Sources


Associations
Periodicals
Directories
General Sources
Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources

Understanding TGI Data

Penetration
Social Grade
Standard Region

Key Note Research

of Reports

Text © 2001 Key Note

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Last updated by Mandy Porteous 17th July 2001