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EM74071 eMARKETER Online Advertising: Statistics, Strategies, Tools & Trends August 2001 - electronic version (pdf)


About eMarketer

This report covers: Demographics: Business, Computing, Ecommerce, Internet Finance, Internet Marketing, Internet Services, Internet Usage, IT, Telecommunications, E-Commerce: B2B, B2C, Enterprise, Internet/ Web Usage, Medium Business, Geographic: Asia, Australia, Global, North America, Europe, Mexico, Latin America, U.S., Middle East, Telecommications: General, wireless, global, cable, networks,Internet Marketing: Business, email, Internet Advertising, Internet/Web Usage, Market Forecasts, Newsletter,

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Will e-advertising survive? If so, what form will it take? How will it impact traditional media? The Online Advertising Report provides answers to these questions, the latest e-advertising figures and insightful analysis of the trends behind the numbers. The report is designed to help business professionals make strategic marketing decisions and build more effective integrated advertising campaigns.

The Report covers these issues and more:

There's no doubt that online advertising growth has slowed, but so has offline advertising. Despite the doom and gloom, eMarketer continues to predict a bright future for online advertising.

A key factor behind this anticipated growth is the fact that the market is still in its infancy. Online advertisers are experimenting with better ways to target viewers, new creative approaches and more precise means of measurement. eMarketer projects that the internet's percentage share of advertising dollars in the US will grow from 2.91 percent in 2000 to 8.24 percent by 2005.

It's also important to remember that e-advertising does not exist in a vacuum. Smart advertisers worldwide are maximizing the unique potential of each advertising medium -- offline and online. They're also seeking more efficient means of combining online media with their traditional advertising. eMarketer's Online Advertising Report is an indispensable reference tool for business professionals to use in planning and executing effective, integrated programs.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Methodology 7
I Overview 10
II US Market Size and Growth 15
A. Comparative Estimates and Recast Projections 18
B. Seasonality 35
III Slicing the Pie: Traditional Media vs. the Internet 39
A. Spending Growth 40
B. Time Spent on Various Media 47
C. Television 48
D. Radio 53
E. Newspapers 54
F. Magazines 56
G. Classifieds 57
H. Direct Marketing 61
I. New Media 62
IV Website Publishers 71
A. Universe of Websites 72
B. Top eAdvertising Publishers 74
C. Unsold Ads (Where Web Ad Dollars Don’t Go) 77
V Who Are the Web Advertisers? 79
A. Spending by Industry Category 80
B. Company Spending 83
VI Industry Trends 87
A. CPMs 88
B. Click-Through Rates 99
C. Cost Per Click Models (CPC) 106
D. Banners and Branding 107
E. Spending by Ad Formats 116
F. Rich Media Advertising 120
G. Wireless Advertising 124
H. Instant Messaging 131
VII Global Market Size and Growth 135
A. Offline Advertising 136
B. eAdvertising 137
VIII Glossary of Terms 155
Appendix: Glossary 156
Index of Charts 159

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LIST OF TABLES

Seven Barriers to US eAdvertising, 2001 14
US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1996-2005 (in billions) 15
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1996-2005 (in billions) 18
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1999-2005 (in billions) 19
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1997-2004 (in billions) 20
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1997-2003 (in billions) 21
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1997-2004 (in billions) 22
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1997-2001 (in billions) 23
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1998-2001 (in billions) 23
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2000 & 2001 (in billions) 24
Recast US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2000 & 2001 (in billions) 24
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2000 (in billions) 25
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2001 (in billions) 27
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2002 (in billions) 29
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2003 (in billions) 30
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2004 (in billions) 31
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, 2005 (in billions) 31
Comparative Estimates: Projected US eAdvertising Expenditures Growth,2001 32
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures Growth Projectedfor 2002 33
US eAdvertising Expenditures per Internet User, 1998-2004 33
Annual and Quarterly US eAdvertising Revenue Growth Comparison,1996-2000 34
US eAdvertising Expenditures in Q4, 1996-2000 (in millions andas a percent growth rate) 35
US eAdvertising Expenditures, Q1-Q4 2000 (in billions and as a quarter-to-quarter percent change) 35
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Month, 2000 (in millions) 36
US Advertisers Coming Online for the First Time, 2000 37
US Advertising Spending in Selected Media, 2000 vs. 1Q01 (in millions) 40
First Quarter Ad Spending by Top US Advertisers, 2000 vs 2001 41
US Advertising Expenditure Forecast, 2001 vs 2000 (in billions) 41
Revised 2001 Ad Spending Forecast (in billions); percent Changesfrom 2000 42
Revised US 2001 Ad Spending Forecast by Medium (in billions); percent Changes from 2000 42
Growth of US Advertising and eAdvertising Expenditures, 2001 42
US Advertising Expenditures, by Media, 1998-2006 (in billions) 43
US eAdvertising Expenditures, 1997-2005 (in billions and as a percent of total expenditures) 43
US eAdvertising Expenditures as a percent of Total Advertising Spending, 1998-2005 44
US Traditional and eAdvertising Spending Forecast, 2001-2002 45
Media Fragmentation, 1975-2005 47
Daily Use of Advertising Media among US Consumers, 1998-2003(in minutes) 47
Annual Use of Advertising Media among US Consumers, 2000 & 2004(in hours) 48
US Broadcast TV Advertising Expenditures 1998-2006 (in billions) 49
Reasons Why US TV Viewers Stay Tuned, 2000 50
Daily Use of Media by US Consumers Aged 12+, 2000 50
Consumption of Media per Day by US Households with and withoutInternet Access, 2000 (in minutes) 51
Changes in Media Consumption Since Internet Users in the US Started Going Online, March-September 2000 (as a percent of users who have increased, decreased or not changed their consumption) 52
TV Viewing and Web Surfing per Week among US Internet Users, 2000(in hours) 52
US Radio Advertising Expenditures, 1998-2006 (in billions) 53
US Daily Newspaper Circulation, 1985 - 2000 (in millions) 54
Decade-to-Decade Change in Daily US Newspaper Circulation,1960-1990 54
US Newspaper Advertising Expenditures, 1998-2006 (in billions) 55
US Newspaper Readership, By Age, 2001 55
Magazine Advertising Revenues, January - May 2001 vs. January-May 2000 (in millions) 56
US Magazine Advertising Expenditures, 1998-2006 (in billions) 57
Breakdown of eAdvertising Expenditure in the US, Q4 1999 - Q4 2000(as a percent of total web spending) 58
Cost of Recruiting an Employee Online and Offline in the US, 2000 58
US Online Recruiting Ad Spending, 1998-2005 (in millions) 59
US Yellow Pages Advertising Expenditures, 1999-2005 (in billions) 59
US Print and Internet Yellow Pages Expenditures, 1999, 2000 & 2005(in billions) 60
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Marketing Objective, 2000 61
US Advertising Expenditures, by Marketing Objective, 2000 61
US Direct Marketing Expenditures, 1998-2001 & 2005 (in billions) 62
US Interactive Direct Marketing Expenditures 1999-2001 & 2005(in millions) 62
US Cable Operator Perceptions of ITV Services, 2001 63
Projected Global Interactive TV Revenues, 2001-2005 (in millions) 63
US Interactive TV Revenues, 2000-2006 (in billions) 63
Comparative Estimates: US Households with Interactive TV, 2000-2004(in millions) 64
Global Interactive TV Households, 2000 & 2006 (in millions) 65
US Unit Sales of Personal Video Recorders, 1999 - 2005 (in millions) 65
US Enhanced Broadcast TV Expenditures, 1999 - 2004 (in millions) 65
US Web on TV Expenditures, 1999 - 2004 (in millions) 66
US Interactive TV Expenditures, 1999 - 2004 (in millions) 66
Comparative Estimates: US Interactive TV Expenditures, 2005(in millions) 66
Comparative Estimates: US Interactive TV Commerce (tCommerce)Revenues, 2000-2004 (in billions) 67
How US Media Executives View iTV Potential, 2000 67
US Online Radio Listeners, by Age, 2001 69
Internet Users Who Have Used Internet Audio or Radio in the US, 2001 69
Number of Internet Host Computers Worldwide, 1993-2000 (in millionsand as a percent change over the previous year) 72
Number of Websites Worldwide, 1997- 2001 (in millions) 73
Comparative Estimates: US Ad-Supported Websites, 2000 73
Webpages, 1997-2002 (in millions) 74
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Site Publisher, Q1 1998 - Q4 2000 75
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Content Genre, Q1 1999 - Q4 2000 76
Top 10 US Web Properties, by Audience Reach, June 2001 76
Available US eAdvertising Inventory That Goes Unsold, 1998-2000 77
Comparative Estimates: Available US eAdvertising Inventory That Goes Unsold, 2000-2001 77
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Industry Category, 1999-2000(as a percent of total expenditures) 80
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Major Consumer Category, 1999-2000(as a percent of total expenditures) 80
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Industry Segment, 1999 & 2000 81
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Industry Segment, 1999-2005 82
Advertisers and Number of Impressions for the Three Major Portals,First Quarter 2001 82
Ad Dollar Concentration among Top US eAdvertisers, 1999-2001 83
US Parent Company Internet Advertisers, by Spending, 1999 & 2000(in millions) 84
US Brand Internet Advertisers, by Spending, 1999 & 2000 (in millions) 85
US Internet Companies, by eAdvertising Expenditures, 2000 (in millions) 86
Three Degrees of Marketing and the Cost of Each in the US, 2001 91
US Average CPM Rates, 2001 92
What Drives CPMs Up (and Down) 92
US CPM, Q1 2000 - Q2 2001 93
US Average CPM, by Ad Format, 2001 94
Average Full Banner CPM Rate Card Price in the US, by Genre, Q3 &Q4 2000 vs. Q1 & Q2 2001 95
Comparative Estimates: US Internet Advertising Expenditures andImplied CPM, Q1-Q3 2000 97
Comparative Estimates: US eAdvertising Expenditures, Q1-Q4 2000(in millions) 98
Advertising Cost-per-Thousand Rates (CPMs) in the US, by Media, 2000 98
Comparison of US Media Effectiveness in Branding: TV, Magazines, Newspapers and Banners, 2000 99
Banner Click-Through Rates in the US, May 1998-December 2000 100
Banner Click-Through Rates in Selected Countries, 2001 101
The Case for eAdvertising Banners 102
The Case against eAdvertising Banners 102
Why CTRs Continue to Decline, 2001 102
US Mass Media, 1960 & 2004 103
US Consumer Marketing Messages per Day, 1999-2005 103
US Click-Through Rate, by eAdvertising Channel, 1999 & 2001 104
Daily Share of Advertising Media among US Consumers, 2000 104
Model Internet Advertising Campaign in the US, 2001 105
eAdvertising Pricing Models Used in the US, as a percent of Total Expenditures,2000 106
How Often US Internet Users Ignore Banner Ads, 2000 108
Mean Increase of US Banner Advertising: Awareness, Purchase Intent,Recall and Interest, 2001 109
Relative Brand Awareness Levels in the US, Based on Banner Exposures,2001 109
Ad Space, Existing and Revised, 2001 110
Top Online Advertisers Using New Skyscraper Size, May 2001 111
Growth of Popularity of New Skyscraper Size in the US, 2001 112
Top US Sites Hosting Skyscrapers, May 2001 113
Skyscraper Rate Analysis, 2001 114
The Pros and Cons of the IAB's New Bigger Banners, 2001 115
US eAdvertising Expenditures, by Type of Advertising, 1999-2000 116
US Consumer Attitudes Towards Online Ads: Pop-Ups Versus Banners,2001 117
eAdvertising Pricing Models Used in the US, 2000 (as a percent of totalexpenditures) 119
Rich-Media eAdvertising Facts, 2001 120
Consumer Demand for Online Rich Media, 2001-2005 121
US Household Broadband Penetration, 2000-2004 121
Streaming Media Usage in the US, 1999 & 2000 122
Advertising Agencies in the US that Will Purchase Streaming Media,2001 123
Worldwide Wireless Internet Users, 2000-2004 (in millions) 124
Global Mobile eAdvertising Spending, by Region, 2000 - 2005(in millions) 124
Global Wireless eAdvertising Expenditures in Selected Countries, 2000 &2005 (in millions) 125
Comparative Estimates: US Wireless eAdvertising Expenditures,2000-2005 (in millions) 126
Wireless Advertisement Response Rates in the US, 2000 128
Wireless Advertisement Call- or Click-Thru Rate, 2000 129
Consumer Attitudes toward Mobile Advertising, November 2000 129
Cellphones Capable of Sending/Receiving SMS, 1999-2002 (in millions) 130
Number of Instant Messaging Users at Work in the US, August 2000 &January 2001 132
Number of Instant Messaging Users at Home in the US, August 2000& January 2001 132
Profile of the Most Active Instant Messaging User, February 2001 133
US and Global Offline Ad Expenditures, 2000 (in billions) 136
US and Global Offline Advertising Expenditures, 1998-2005 (in billions) 136
US and Global Offline Ad Expenditures, 2005 (in billions) 137
eAdvertising Expenditures in Markets Outside the US, 1997-2003(in millions) 137
Comparative Estimates: Online and Offline Advertising Expendituresin Markets Outside the US, 1998-2005 (in billions) 138
US Portion of Worldwide eAdvertising Dollars, 1997-2003 138
Comparative Estimates: Global eAdvertising Expenditures, 1998-2005(in billions) 139
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Canada,1998-2005 (in millions) 139
eAdvertising Expenditures in Europe, 1998-2003 (in millions) 140
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Europe, 2000(in billions) 140
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Europe, 2001(in billions) 141
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Europe, 2004(in billions) 141
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Europe, 1998-2005(in billions) 142
percentage of Online Advertising Spent on Banner Ads in Western Europe, 2001 & 2006 142
eAdvertising Expenditure in the United Kingdom, 1998-2003(in millions) 143
eAdvertising Expenditures in the UK, 2000-2005 (in millions) 143
eAdvertising Expenditures in Germany, 2000-2005 (in millions) 144
eAdvertising Expenditures in France, 2000-2005 (in millions) 144
eAdvertising Expenditures in Scandinavia, 2000-2005 (in millions) 145
eAdvertising Expenditures in Italy, 2000-2005 (in millions) 145
eAdvertising Expenditures in Spain, 2000-2005 (in millions) 146
Ad Expenditures in Asia Pacific, 1998-2003 (in millions) 146
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Asia Pacific,1998-2005 (in millions) 147
eAdvertising Expenditures in Japan, 2000-2005 (in millions) 148
Japanese Advertising Expenditures, 1998-2000 (in billions) 148
eAdvertising Expenditures in Australia, 2000-2005 (in millions) 149
Comparative eAdvertising Expenditures in China, 2000-2005(in millions) 150
eAdvertising Expenditures in Hong Kong, 2000-2005 (in millions) 151
eAdvertising Expenditures in Taiwan, 2000-2005 (in millions) 151
eAdvertising Expenditures in South Korea, 2000-2005 (in millions) 152
eAdvertising Expenditures in Latin America, 1998-2003 (in millions) 152
Comparative Estimates: eAdvertising Expenditures in Latin America,1998-2005 (in millions) 153
Online Advertising Spending in Latin America, 2000-2005 (in millions) 153

Text © 2001 eMarketer

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Last updated by Paul Tucker 18th August 2001