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AM45019 AMA SHOWER MARKET SEPTEMBER 1999

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THIS REPORT HAS BEEN UPDATED IN JULY 2000 - SEE AM45010

KEY AREAS

The report contains over 120 pages and 30 tables of ORIGINAL research and comment on the UK Shower Industry and provides an independent and incisive view into these fast growing markets. The report content includes:-

SHOWER CONTROLS

SHOWER ENCLOSURES, SCREENS AND TRAYS

SHOWER ACCESSORIES

REVIEW OF FUTURE PROSPECTS

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall Market

In 1998, the shower equipment market was worth an estimated £264 million at manufacturers’ selling prices. Following a period of steady growth in the early-mid 1990s, the market expanded rapidly in 1997 and early 1998. However, reduced levels of consumer confidence and spending resulted in a decline in market value for 1998.

The following table illustrates the development of the market between 1990-2002:

Total UK Shower Equipment Market Size 1990-2002 £m MSP

Year

Value

Change ( percent)

1990

188.0

-

1991

194.0

+ 5

1992

201.5

+ 4

1993

219.0

+ 9

1994

239.0

+ 8

1995

244.0

+ 3

1996

254.0

+ 4

1997

278.0

+ 10

1998

264.0

( 5 )

1999 Fcst

277.0

+ 5

2000 Fcst

292.0

+ 5

2001 Fcst

308.0

+ 6

2002 Fcst

325.0

+ 6

Note: Includes Shower Accessories.

Source: AMA Research/Trade Estimates

Product Mix

Shower controls continue to account for the greatest proportion of market share, however, the enclosures, screens and trays sector has been experiencing substantial growth in recent years.

Shower Controls

The shower controls market experienced a decline in value from £140 million (MSP) in 1997 to £131 million in 1998, which was the result of a general decline in consumer confidence primarily due to the uncertain economic climate. The market is expected to resume growth in 1999, due to a number of factors including increasing levels of household penetration, wider exposure and awareness of showers, increasing replacement levels and growing installation in new-build homes. In particular, this growth is likely to be due to an improved level of consumer confidence, and increased expenditure on home improvements and the relevant products.

General trends are towards more powerful showers, in both the mixer and electric product sectors. Thermostatically controlled showers have also continued to grow share, at the expense of manual models. Electric showers continue to hold their dominant market position, with increasing sales volumes expected in the medium term future. Mixer showers are also expected to increase their share in both volume and value terms, with bath/shower mixers continuing to decline. As consumers trade-up to more powerful/luxurious products, replacement sales are becoming a major factor motivating market growth, along with increasing quantities of installations in new homes.

The leading suppliers of shower controls in terms of volume are Triton, who have strengthened their position in both the mixer and electric sectors of the market. Mira continue to lead the market in terms of value, however, they have lost some share in terms of volume. Newmond with Gainsborough, Aqualisa and Heatrae Sadia, continue to take an increasingly significant share, while Masco have recently enhanced their position through a series of acquisitions.

In terms of distribution, Builders Merchants continue to hold the dominant share of sales, although they have lost share overall, due to increasing pressure from DIY multiples. Bathroom specialists have also become increasingly popular with consumers, mainly due to the trend towards higher quality/value products, and the improvement in consumer confidence and expenditure on home improvements such as bathroom refurbishment.

Enclosures, Screens & Trays

The market for enclosures, screens and trays has experienced more buoyant growth in recent years than the shower controls market, however, this sector also suffered a moderate decline in sales during the second half of 1998. The market is expected to make a recovery in 1999 and onwards, with factors such as increasing replacement levels and growth of en-suites and shower facilities in new build housing, generating underlying increases.

Current sales volumes in 1998 are estimated at 395,000 enclosures, 412,000 screens and 485,000 trays.

With a current estimated household penetration of non-bath shower installations at some 18 percent, the market has considerable potential for future development. Product quality is generally improving, as consumers demand higher value/featured products. In the trays market, acrylic products are currently reported to be experiencing stronger growth than resin alternatives. Manufacturers in these market sectors have also been making technical improvements to their products.

Spring Ram continue to be market leaders, although their share has been eroded in both volume and value terms. Showerlux, British Home Doors, and Daryl are amongst the most significant competitors. Showerlux, Daryl and Matki have experienced the strongest growth levels in the last two years, which is indicative of the increasing consumer demand for higher value products.

The two main distribution channels in this product sector are Builders Merchants with 43 percent volume share and 53 percent share by value and the DIY multiples, with 41 percent share by volume and 28 percent by value. The bathroom specialists sector has increased its share in the last two years, as consumer demand in times of increasing levels of personal disposable income has favoured higher quality/value products, and has facilitated a trend towards overall bathroom renovation.

Shower Accessories

The shower accessories market has experienced good growth in recent years, however, it too experienced a slight decline in the second half of 1998, as sales of other shower products dropped. Factors such as more extensive product choice, increasing shower penetration and greater consumer awareness are helping to stimulate a market recovery.

The market is currently valued at £36 million (1998 MSP), with further growth expected in the medium term. Product trends in the shower accessories market are increasingly influenced by styles and fashion, which should stimulate underlying value increases in the medium term.

The leading suppliers of shower accessories are Croydex/Gelson, while the majority of products are distributed via DIY multiples and department/variety stores.

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THE UK SHOWER MARKET 1997 - CONTENTS
Page
1. INTRODUCTION 6
2. SUMMARY 7
2.1 Overall Market 7
2.2 Product Mix 8
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11
3.1 GDP 11
3.2 Inflation & Interest Rates 11
3.3 Unemployment & Consumer Spending 11
4. SHOWER CONTROLS 13
4.1 Market Definition 13
4.2 Market Size 1990-2002 13
4.3 Market Trends & Influencing Factors 19
4.3.1 Household Penetration 19
4.3.2 Share by Sector 21
4.3.2 Trends in Use of Showers in New Build 23
4.3.3 Environmental Concerns & Legislation 24
4.4 Product Mix 25
4.4.1 Product Definition 25
4.4.2 Product Mix 26
4.4.3 Electric Showers - Trends & Developments 28
4.4.4 Mixer Showers - Trends & Developments 31
4.4.5 Bath/Shower Mixers 38
4.4.6 Non-Domestic Sector - Multi-Point Showers 39
4.5 Key Suppliers & Market Shares 40
4.5.1 Electric & Mixers Product Sector 40
4.5.2 Bath / Shower Mixer Product Sector 43
4.5.3 Imports & Exports 43
4.5.4 Company Profiles 44
4.6 Distribution 52
4.6.1 Channel Structure 52
4.6.2 Channel Shares 54
4.6.3 Key Companies in the Distribution Channels 57
4.6.4 Own Branding 60
4.7 Installation & Specification 61
4.8 Future Prospects 63
5. SHOWER ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS 65
5.1 Market Definition 65
5.2 Market Size 1990-2002 65
5.2.1 Market Value 65
5.2.2 Market Volume 70
5.3 Market Trends & Influencing Factors 72
5.3.1 Price Levels 72
5.3.2 Market Penetration 74
5.3.3 New House Build - Product Trends 75
5.4 Product Mix 77
5.4.1 Product Definition 77
5.4.2 Material Trends 78
5.4.3 Design Trends 79
5.4.4 Installation 82
5.5 Key Suppliers & Market Shares 84
5.5.1 Market Shares 84
5.5.2 Company Profiles 86
5.5.3 Imports and Exports 92
5.6 Distribution 93
5.7 Future Trends 96
6. SHOWER ACCESSORIES 98
6.1 Market Definition 98
6.2 Market Size 98
6.3 Product Trends & Developments 101
6.3.1 Replacement Products 101
6.3.2 Style Products 101
6.3.3 Functional Products 103
6.4 Key Suppliers and Market Shares 104
6.4.1 Market Shares 104
6.4.2 Company Profiles 105
6.5 Distribution 107
6.6 Future Prospects 109
7. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 110
7.1 The Housing Market 110
7.1.1 New House Build 110
7.1.2 House-Moving 111
7.2 Population Profile 112
7.3 Personal Disposable Income 114
7.4 Households 115
LIST OF TABLES AND CHARTS
Table 1: Total UK Shower Equipment Market Size 1990-2002 £m MSP 7
Table 2: Product Mix in Shower Equipment 1998 £m MSP 8
Table 3: UK Single Point Shower Control Market 1990-2002 14
Chart 4: UK Shower Control Market 1990-2002 By Value £m (MSP) 16
Chart 5: UK Shower Controls Market 1990-2002 By Value £m MSP - Constant 1998 Prices 18
Chart 6: UK Household Penetration of Showers 1990-1998 19
Chart 7: UK Household Shower Penetration by Product 1998 Volume - Millions 20
Chart 8: Mix In Shower Market By Purchasing Sector 1998 By Volume 21
Table 9: Product Mix Trends in Single Point Showers 1990-2002 By Volume 26
Chart 10: UK Electric Showers Market 1990-2002 Volume 000 28
Chart 11: Mix of Electric Showers by Power Rating 1998 30
Table 12: Market Size of Mixer/Power Shower Sector 1998 (Volume) 32
Chart 13: Mixer Valve Mix - Manual vs Thermostatic 1998 By Volume 33
Table 14: UK Power Shower Market Size 1998 By Volume (000) 35
Table 15: Supplier Market Shares - Single Point Shower Market 1998 (By Volume) 41
Chart 16: UK Market Infrastructure for Shower Controls 53
Table 17: Trade Channels - Distribution Shares of Single Point Showers 1998 54
Table 18: End-User Channels - Distribution Shares of Single Point Showers 1998 56
Chart 19: Product Mix in Enclosures, Screens & Trays Market 1998 66
Table 20: UK Enclosures, Screens & Trays Market 1990-2002 (MSP = £m) 67
Chart 21: The UK Enclosures, Screens & Trays Market At Constant 1998 Prices £m 70
Table 22: UK Enclosures, Screens & Trays market 1998 - By Volume 71
Table 23: Average Prices in Enclosures, Screens & Trays 1998 72
Table 24: New Build Sector - Enclosures, Screens & Trays 1998 (Volume 000) 75
Table 25: Main Supplier Market Shares in Shower Enclosures, Screens & Trays Market 1998 85
Table 26: Channels in the Shower Enclosures, Screens & Trays Market 1998 By Volume & Value 93
Table 27: UK Shower Accessories Market 1990-2002 By Value (MSP) 99
Table 28: Market Shares In UK Bathroom Accessories Market 1998 104
Table 29: Distribution Channel Shares For Shower Accessories 1998 107
Table 30: New Housing Completions 1990-1998 Great Britain (000) 110
Table 31: Number of Property Transactions in England and Wales 1990-1998 111
Chart 32: Age Distribution of the Resident UK Population 1997 (‘000) 112
Chart 33: PDI & Savings Ratio 114
Table 34: Stock of Dwellings Great Britain - 1983-1998 115
Table 35: Average Household Size For Great Britain 1971-1996 116

Text © 1999 AMA Research

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