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AM45017 AMA SHOWER MARKET SEPTEMBER 1997

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 5
2. SUMMARY 6
2.1 OVERALL MARKET 6
2.2 PRODUCT MIX 7
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11
3.1 GDP 11
3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 11
3.3 INVESTMENT 12
3.4 UNEMPLOYMENT & CONSUMER SPENDING 12
4. SHOWER CONTROLS 13
4.1 MARKET DEFINITION 13
4.2 MARKET SIZE 1990-2000 14
4.3 MARKET TRENDS & INFLUENCING FACTORS 19
4.4 PRODUCT MIX 25
4.5 KEY SUPPLIERS & MARKET SHARES 41
4.6 DISTRIBUTION 56
4.7 INSTALLATION & SPECIFICATION 66
4.8 FUTURE PROSPECTS 69
5. SHOWER ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS 70
5.1 MARKET DEFINITION 70
5.2 MARKET SIZE 1990-2000 71
5.3 MARKET TRENDS & INFLUENCING FACTORS 77
5.4 PRODUCT MIX 82
5.5 KEY SUPPLIERS & MARKET SHARES 91
5.6 DISTRIBUTION 102
5.7 FUTURE TRENDS 107
6. ACCESSORIES 109
6.1 MARKET DEFINITION 109
6.2 MARKET SIZE 110
6.3 PRODUCT MIX 112
6.4 KEY SUPPLIERS AND MARKET SHARES 121
6.5 DISTRIBUTION 126
6.6 FUTURE PROSPECTS 129
7. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 131
7.1 THE HOUSING MARKET 131
7.2 POPULATION PROFILE 134
7.3 PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME 135
7.4 CONSUMER RETAIL EXPENDITURE 137
7.5 HOUSEHOLDS 138
LIST OF TABLES AND CHARTS
TABLE 1: TOTAL UK SHOWER EQUIPMENT MARKET SIZE 1990-2000 £M MSP
TABLE 2: PRODUCT MIX IN SHOWER EQUIPMENT 1996 £M MSP
TABLE 3: UK SINGLE POINT SHOWER CONTROL MARKET 1990-2000
CHART 4: UK SHOWER CONTROL MARKET 1990-2000 BY VALUE £M (MSP)
CHART 5: UK SHOWER CONTROLS MARKET 1990-2000 BY VALUE £M MSP - CONSTANT PRICES
CHART 6: UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SHOWERS 1990-1996
CHART 7: MIX IN SHOWER MARKET BY PURCHASING SECTOR 1996 BY VOLUME
CHART 8: UK HOUSEHOLD SHOWER PENETRATION BY PRODUCT 1996 VOLUME - MILLIONS
TABLE 9: PRODUCT MIX TRENDS IN SINGLE POINT ELECTRIC SHOWERS 1990-2000 BY VOLUME
CHART 10: UK ELECTRIC SHOWERS MARKET 1990-2000 VOLUME 000
CHART 11: MIX OF ELECTRIC SHOWERS BY POWER RATING 1996
TABLE 12: MARKET SIZE OF MIXER/POWER SHOWER SECTOR 1996 (VOLUME)
CHART 13: MIXER VALVE MIX - MANUAL VS THERMOSTATIC 1996 BY VOLUME
TABLE 14: UK POWER SHOWER MARKET SIZE 1996 BY VOLUME (000)
TABLE 15: SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES - SINGLE POINT SHOWER MARKET 1996 (BY VOLUME)
CHART 16: UK MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE FOR SHOWER CONTROLS
TABLE 17: TRADE CHANNELS - DISTRIBUTION SHARES OF SINGLE POINT SHOWERS 1996
TABLE 18: END-USER CHANNELS - DISTRIBUTION SHARES OF SINGLE POINT SHOWERS 1996
CHART 19: PRODUCT MIX IN ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS MARKET 1996
TABLE 20: UK ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS MARKET 1990-2000 (MSP = £M)
CHART 21: THE UK ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS MARKET AT CONSTANT 1990 PRICES £M
TABLE 22: UK ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS MARKET 1996 - BY VOLUME
TABLE 23: AVERAGE PRICES IN ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS 1996
TABLE 24: NEW BUILD SECTOR - ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS 1995 (VOLUME 000)
TABLE 25: MAIN SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES IN SHOWER ENCLOSURES, SCREENS & TRAYS MARKET 1996
TABLE 26: CHANNELS IN THE SHOWER ENCLOSURES & SCREENS MARKET 1996
TABLE 27: UK SHOWER ACCESSORIES AND BATHROOM FITTINGS MARKET 1990-2002
TABLE 28: PRODUCT MIX IN UK BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET 1996
CHART 29: MATERIALS MIX IN BATHROOM FITTINGS MARKET 1996
TABLE 30: MARKET SHARES IN UK BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET 1996
TABLE 31: DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL SHARES SHOWER ACCESSORIES & BATHROOM FITTINGS MARKET 1996
TABLE 32: HOUSING COMPLETIONS IN GREAT BRITAIN 1988-1996 (000)
TABLE 33: NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND
CHART 34: AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 1996 ('000)
CHART 35: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO
CHART 36: CONSUMER DURABLE EXPENDITURE AS A percent OF TOTAL CONSUMER EXPENDITURE
TABLE 37: STOCK OF DWELLINGS GREAT BRITAIN - 1983-1996
CHART 38: MIX OF PEOPLE PER HOUSEHOLD: 1971 VS 1995/96

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In 1996, the shower equipment market was worth an estimated £251m at manufacturers' selling prices. Following a period of slow growth in most product markets in the early-mid 1990s, these markets have now returned to more buoyant growth figures. The outcome for 1997 is expected to be particularly buoyant, due to the health of the economy generally and high levels of consumer confidence and spending.

Shower controls continue to account for the greatest proportion of market share. However, both of the other product sectors - enclosures, screens, trays and shower accessories - have been experiencing substantial growth in recent years.

The shower controls market has grown from a value of £100m (MSP) in 1995 to £129m in 1996. This growth has been stimulated by a number of factors including increasing levels of household penetration, wider exposure and awareness of showers and increasing replacement levels. 1997 is expected to be more buoyant than recent years, with the market returning to more modest growth rates up to the turn of the century.

Power showers, particularly integrated power showers, continue to experience significant growth. Thermostatic showers are likely to continue growing share, rather than manual models. Electric showers continue to hold their dominant market position, with increasing sales volumes for the immediate future. Growth in this product sector is motivated by high levels of replacement sales and improving product technology. The share held by bath/shower mixers continues to decline.

The two main suppliers, Triton and Caradon Mira, continue to lead the market. However, Newmond with Gainsborough, Aqualisa and Heatrae Sadia, continue to take a significant share. Suppliers are likely to become more niche-orientated, with specific products designed and marketed into particular sectors e.g. for the elderly and disabled.

In terms of distribution, builders' merchants continue to hold the dominant share of sales to the trade, and have improved their share position. The DIY multiples sector is also considered to have increased its share of volume sales in the showers market in recent years.

While bath/shower wholesalers have maintained distribution share, many other channels have experienced some loss of share position e.g. electrical wholesalers.

The market for enclosures, screens and trays has experienced more buoyant growth in recent years than the shower controls market. Factors such as increasing replacement levels, shower penetration and growth of en suites and shower facilities in new build housing, are sustaining underlying market growth.

With a current estimated household penetration of non-bath shower installations at some 15 percent, the market has considerable potential for future development. In terms of product trends, many of the trends in the upper-market, such as clear glass and larger enclosures, are considered to be moving to the mid-market. In the trays market, acrylic products are currently reported to be experiencing stronger growth than resin alternatives. Manufacturers in these market sectors have also been making technical improvements to their products.

Ram have a strong market position, both in volume and value terms. Showerlux, Coram, and Daryl are amongst the most significant competitors. Ram are considered to be leaders in the tray sector, while Selecta is the major supplier of screens. Other leading companies include Armitage Shanks, Aqualux and British Home Doors.

The two main distribution channels in this product sector are the DIY multiples and builders merchants. Both sectors are considered to have grown their share marginally in recent years.

The shower accessories and bathroom fittings markets have been experiencing good growth in recent years. Factors such as more extensive product choice, increasing shower penetration and greater consumer awareness are helping to stimulate market growth.

Product trends in the shower accessories sector include the influence of style and fashion on product design, with a greater choice of colour and styles. In the bathroom fittings product sector, the trend away from plastic continues. Other materials are benefiting from this and suppliers have opportunities to add value in the current climate of buoyant consumer spending.

The leading suppliers of shower accessories are Croydex, Aqualona and Gelson. The bathroom fittings product market is more fragmented, with a large number of suppliers. The main suppliers include Croydex (now incorporating Jacques Marisa), Newteam, Metlex, Marleton Cross and Allibert. Others include Samuel Heath, Thomas French, Longmead Ceramics, Ceramart and Hadida.

The DIY multiples are the most important channels for distribution in this product sector, currently accounting for some 58 percent share. Builders' merchants, the bathroom specialists mail order, catalogue shops and department stores account for the balance.

This comprehensive report represents a detailed assessment of the market, reviewing major trends, key factors influencing developments and future prospects for the sector. Analysis is both quantitative and qualitative, based on our substantial experience of the building and home improvement markets.

Text © 1997 AMA Research

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