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AM45007 AMA BATHROOM MARKET OCTOBER 1997

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 6
2. SUMMARY 8
2.1 THE BATHROOM PRODUCTS MARKET 8
2.2 PRODUCT MIX 9
2.3 BATHS, SANITARYWARE & BRASSWARE 10
2.4 ACCESSORIES, FURNITURE AND WHIRLPOOLS 11
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 13
3.1 GDP 13
3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 13
3.3 INVESTMENT 14
3.4 UNEMPLOYMENT & CONSUMER SPENDING 14
4. BATHS & SANITARYWARE 15
4.1 DEFINITION 15
4.2 MARKET SIZE 15
4.3 HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION 20
4.4 PRODUCTS TRENDS 21
4.4.1 Baths 21
4.4.2 Sanitaryware 24
4.4.3 Sales By Sector 26
4.5 COMMERCIAL SECTOR 28
4.6 SUPPLY MARKET STRUCTURE 29
4.6.1 Market Shares 29 4.6.2 Companies 30
4.6.3 Imports and Exports 34
4.7 DISTRIBUTION 40
4.7.1 Channel Analysis 40
4.7.2 Key Companies 42
4.8 INSTALLATION AND SPECIFICATION 43
4.8.1 Installation 43
4.8.2 Specification 44
5. BRASSWARE 45
5.1 DEFINITION 45
5.2 MARKET SIZE 45
5.3 PRODUCT TRENDS 50
5.3.1 Product Mix 50
5.3.2 Mixer Taps 51
5.3.3 Design 54
5.3.4 End User Sectors 55
5.4 SUPPLY MARKET STRUCTURE 56
5.4.1 Market Shares 56
5.4.2 Companies 58
5.4.3 Import & Export 60
5.5 DISTRIBUTION 62
5.5.1 Channel Shares 62
5.5.2 Companies 64
6. ACCESSORIES, FURNITURE AND WHIRLPOOLS 65
6.1 ACCESSORIES 65
6.1.1 Definition 65
6.1.2 Market Size 65
6.1.3 Product Mix 69
6.1.4 Products 70
6.1.5 Market Shares & Companies 78
6.1.6 Distribution 83
6.2 FURNITURE 87
6.2.1 Market Definition 87
6.2.2 Market Size 87
6.2.3 Products 91
6.2.4 Suppliers 92
6.2.5 Distribution 93
6.3 WHIRLPOOLS AND SPAS 95
6.3.1 Market Definition 95
6.3.2 Market Size 96
6.3.3 Products 97
6.3.4 Companies 99
6.3.5 Distribution & Installation 100
7. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 102
7.1 THE HOUSING MARKET 102
7.1.1 New House Build 102
7.1.2 House-Moving Levels 104
7.2 GENERAL 105
7.2.1 Intrest rates & Inflation 105
7.2.2 Personal Disposable Income and Savings Ratio 106
7.2.3 Population Profile 107
7.2.4 Employment/Unemployment 109
7.3 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL 110
7.3.1 Contractors Output 110
7.3.2 Contractors Output - Commercial Sector 111
8. FUTURE PROSPECTS 114
8.1 BATHS AND SANITARYWARE 114
8.2 BRASSWARE 115
8.3 ACCESSORIES 116
8.4 FURNITURE AND WHIRLPOOLS/SPAS 117
TABLES AND CHARTS
TABLE 1: TOTAL UK BATHROOM PRODUCT MARKT (3M MSP) 8
CHART 2: BATHROOM MARKET BY PRODUCT GROUP BY VALUE 1996 £M MSP 10
TABLE 3: THE UK BATH & SANITARYWARE MARKET BY VOLUME 15
CHART 4: UK BATH & SANITARYWARE MARKET BY VALUE £M MSP 18
CHART 5: THE UK BATHROOM & SANITARYWARE MARKET IN CONSTANT PRICES £M MSP 19
TABLE 6: UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF BATHS & SANITARYWARE 20
TABLE 7: UK BATH MARKET BY MATERIAL ( percent BYVALUE) 21
TABLE 8: THE UK SANITARYWARE MARKET BY PRODUCT BY VOLUME 24
CHART 9: BATH & SANITARYWARE MARKET SHARE BY SECTOR 1996 26
TABLE 10: MIX OF BATHROOMS, EN SUITE & CLOAKROOM 27
TABLE 11: UK BATH & SANITARYWARE MARKET SHARES 1996 29
TABLE 12: EXPORTS OF BATHS AND SANITARYWARE 1996 35
TABLE 13: IMPORTS OF BATHS AND SANITARYWARE 1996 36
CHART 14: IMPORTS OF BATHS & SANITARYWARE 1993-1996 £M 37
CHART 15: EXPORTS OF BATHS & SANITARYWARE 1993-1996 £M 38
TABLE 16: IMPORTS & EXPORTS OF SANITARYWARE £M 39
TABLE 17: DISTRIBUTION OF THE UK BATH & SANITARYWARE 40
TABLE 18: THE UK BRASSWARE MARKET 1990-2000 45
CHART 19: BRASSWARE MARKET BY VALUE £M MSP 46
CHART 20: UK BRASSWARE MARKET AT CONSTANT 1990 PRICES £M MSP 49
TABLE 21: THE UK BRASSWARE MARKET - BY PRODUCT 50
CHART 22: THE UK BRASSWARE MARKET BY SECTOR 1996 55
CHART 23: UK BRASSWARE MARKET SHARES BY VALUE 1996 57
TABLE 24: IMPORTS & EXPORTS OF BRASSWARE 1996 (£M) 61
TABLE 25: IMPORTS & EXPORTS OF BRASSWARE £M 62
TABLE 26: DISTRIBUTION OF THE UK BATHROOM BRASSWARE MARKET 1996 63
TABLE 27: THE UK BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET (£M MSP) 66
CHART 28: THE UK BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET IN CONSTANT 1990 PRICES (£M MSP) 68
TABLE 29: THE UK 1996 BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET BY PRODUCT (£M MSP) 69
CHART 30: MIX OF FITTINGS SALES BY MATERIAL BY VALUE 1996 70
TABLE 31: UK BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET SHARES 1996 78
CHART 32: BATHROOM ACCESSORIES MARKET DISTRIBUTION 1996 84
TABLE 33: THE UK BATHROOM FURNITURE MARKET 1990-1997 88
CHART 34: THE UK BATHROOM FURNITURE MARKET BY PRODUCT 1996 89
TABLE 35: UK WHIRLPOOL/SPA MARKET - £M MSP 96
TABLE 36: HOUSING COMPLETIONS 1988-1996 GREAT BRITAIN ('000) 102
TABLE 37: HOUSING STARTS 1993-1996 GREAT BRITAIN ('000) 103
TABLE 38: VALUE OF NEW UK HOUSING OUTPUT AND RMI OUTPUT (£M) 104
TABLE 39: NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND AND WALES 1990-1996 105
CHART 40: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2000 106
CHART 41: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO 107
CHART 42: AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 1996 ('000) 108
CHART 43: NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN EMPLOYMENT GB - JUNE 1981-96 (MILLIONS) 109
TABLE 44: CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£M) 110
TABLE 45: CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - COMMERCIAL SECTOR NEW WORK - CURRENT PRICES (£M) 111
TABLE 46: NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS 1990-1996 CURRENT PRICES 112

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In 1996 the bathroom products market was worth £561m at manufacturer selling prices. This represents a 4 percent increase on the previous year, reflecting the marginal improvement in the housing market and in consumer confidence.

The market deteriorated in the early 1990s motivated by the following factors:-
· Economic factors, disposable income, high interest rates etc.
· Low level of house moves and new build.
· Increasing unemployment leading to reduced consumer confidence.
· Reduced commercial investment.

A modest recovery took place during 1993 and 1994 as the UK housing market has improved slightly. New housing starts increased slightly and house moving also improved marginally. However in general, consumer confidence did not improve sufficiently to generate a significant increase in demand and trading remained difficult.

1995 and 1996 also remained difficult, with increasing interest rates late in 1994 and a very low level of consumer confidence, the overall market has shown little or no real growth in this period.

However, 1997 is a more optimistic year, with improving consumer confidence, windfall gains, the impact of a new government and a positive economic situation, all contributing to a year of good growth. More modest growth is anticipated in the medium term future reflecting the positive windfall impact in 1997. To the end of the decade is more likely to witness a modest improvement in bathroom product sales as house building and house moving markets grow at a steady rate.

Baths and sanitaryware continue to dominate the industry's sales in 1996. However, accessories in particular, is a sector of growing significance.

Acrylic baths continue to dominate followed by steel with cast iron taking a minor share. Materials for construction have changed with composites taking a small but increasing share and a number of manufacturers offering baths in different combinations of materials.

In this mature and saturated market the future growth is likely to be from an increasing number of niche sectors, such as corner baths, shaped baths, handles, 'easy access' baths for the infirm etc. The different features provide the opportunity to improve the average value of an installation.

Sanitaryware is a similar market. Domestic penetration is high, though en suites and cloakrooms offer opportunities for growth. In common with baths, an increasing number of niche sectors are likely to provide future opportunities for growth. The sanitaryware sector is supported by the increasing number of en suites and cloakrooms installed in new homes and also during refurbishment projects in existing homes.

The brassware market is worth under £100m at manufacturers prices, including kitchen brassware, estimated at around 32 percent of the total. Bath brassware, basin brassware and the small bidet sector account for the balance. There has been limited growth in mixers, reflecting the recent market orientation to price and mixers are particularly strong in kitchen brassware.

The key suppliers of baths and sanitaryware include Armitage Shanks, Caradon Bathrooms, Spring Ram, Ideal Standard and Shires. Armitage Shanks, Ideal Standard, Bristan and Pegler are the major companies in the brassware sector.

In terms of distribution, the merchants and factors continue to play a dominant part in the market with around 80 percent of bath and sanitaryware sales from manufacturers, though the merchant industry has improved their apprioach to bathrooms and kitchens with showrooms and a more retail-orientated offer.

The DIY multiple channel has maintained share over the last two years with further concentration in the industry limiting their opportunities for growth. Increasing levels of consumer confidence and spending may well offer opportunities for DIY multiples to improve their position over the short term future.

Accessories, Furniture and Whirlpools are part of the bathroom products market but offer very different opportunities and are at very different stages of development.

Household penetration of accessories is relatively high but they are generally replaced more frequently than a bathroom suite and the market can be supplemented with additional purchases. Bathroom fittings (soap dishes, toothbrush holders etc.) take 27 percent of the market followed by shower accessories, toilet seats and covers, scales and mirrors, bath panels and splash backs and heated towel rails with the balance.

Furniture also offers substantial growth opportunities, particularly fitted bathroom furniture, though this growth is likely to continue to be mainly through contractors/builders and the bathroom boutiques and is likely to be slow. The market is dominated by free-standing cabinets and vanity units, though fitted furniture is gaining share.

Whirlpools/Spas have traditionally been viewed as an expensive luxury but are fast becoming more affordable for the mass market. As awareness and distribution expands, this market is likely to exhibit substantial growth.

Key suppliers of accessories include Croydex, (including the recently acquired Jacques Marisa), Cavalier Bemis, Celmac, NewTeam, Aqualona, Allibert, Coram/Laconite and Metlex. Key furniture suppliers include Cloverleaf (including K J Bushill), Allibert, Roper Rhodes, Keter and Laconite with Shades (Berglen), Armitage Shanks, Ideal Standard and Be Modern strong in the fitted furniture sector.

Distribution of accessories and free-standing furniture is heavily biased to the DIY multiples, who take around half the retail share. Fitted furniture and whirlpool/spa distribution is biased to Merchants and Bathroom Specialists as neither are yet widely regarded as DIY products.

This comprehensive report represents a detailed assessment of the market, reviewing major trends, key factors influencing developments and future prospects for the sector. Analysis is both quantitative and qualitative, based on our substantial experience of the building and home improvement markets.

Text © 1997 AMA Research

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