| AM32013 |
| AMA RESEARCH MARKET REPORT : The UK Electronic Access Control Market Report January 2003 |
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BRIEF DESCRIPTION
| The report overviews the overall security industry, highlighting underlying trends & key influences on each of the main product sectors including intruder alarms, closed circuit television (CCTV) & access control. It quantifies access control market size in value terms 1995-2002, analyses factors influencing future market potential & presents forecasts to 2006. It establishes market shares by product type, including proximity, magnetic stripe/keypad, biometric & smart card systems, & considers product features, advantages & disadvantages. It analyses trends & shares by end-use sector, reviews specification & installation issues, & examines the main channels of distribution. It reviews key companies & concludes by assessing future market prospects, |
| The report includes a detailed review of recent trends and developments in addition to the future prospects of the market. The report answers the need for both a comprehensive review of quantitative market developments combined with analysis of the qualitative background reasons and influences affecting the UK electronic access control market. |
| Key areas covered include:- |
| Overall electronic access control market size and key trends in recent years. |
| Key product trends and end-use application. |
| Main suppliers to the market and key distribution channels. |
| Key market influences and future prospects for the access control industry. |
| Key issues of particular interest: - |
| Rapid market growth is easing reflecting increasing competition and falling costs of technology. |
| Technological developments fuelling the trend towards integrated systems. |
| Greater emphasis on reliability and ease of use fuelling the growth of some systems in recent years. |
| Growth of replacement products in key end-use sectors. |
| Longer-term emphasis on servicing and maintenance contracts to secure revenue. |
| The report content includes:- |
| THE MARKET |
| Overview of the overall security industry, underlying trends and key influences on each of the main sectors of the security market including intruder alarms, CCTV and access control. |
| Historical background of electronic access control systems - development of the market, influencing factors, economic influences etc. |
| Market size by value - development from 1995-2002, with long term market prospects and factors influencing future growth potential with forecasts up to 2006. |
| Key influences and trends on the development of the market. The impact of technological developments, price competition and trends within the manufacturing sector and construction. |
| PRODUCT MIX |
| Mix of audio/video, proximity, magnetic stripe and keypad, biometric and smart card systems share by value, background and current trends in addition to the future trends within the various sectors. |
| Product features and trends, advantages and disadvantages offered by the various types of technology and key application areas. |
| APPLICATION AREAS |
| Principal end use sectors - share taken by key sectors including commercial, industrial, public sector, health and education. |
| Trends within the key end-use sectors and related products, e.g emphasis on additional services including after-sales support. |
| Review of specification and installation issues and an overview of the major installers involved in the electronic access control market. |
| SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURES |
| Main channels of distribution including direct supply, specialist distributors, electrical wholesalers etc. |
| Review of the major channels and trends. |
| Key suppliers, by market share for leading companies. |
| Review of key companies - company information, turnover, key characteristics. |
| FUTURE PROSPECTS/KEY INFLUENCES |
| Key influences on the electronic access control market including macro and micro economic issues. |
| Future developments in terms of the overall market - product trends, end use sectors and economic influences, in addition to other influences such as technology, price competition and changes in the supply structure. |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
| The electronic access control market has experienced rapid growth throughout the 1990's with market value almost doubling, albeit from a low base. In recent years, growth levels have stabilised to around 5% to an estimated value of £267m in 2002. |
| The technological developments in the access control industry along with the heightened security awareness and the need to protect buildings, people and assets have fuelled the market throughout the 1990's. Other factors include the low level of penetration and the high level of construction leading up to the Millennium, particularly in the commercial and leisure sectors which boosted the requirement for electronic access control products. |
| The higher levels of penetration and the high number of suppliers in the access control market have inevitably affected the levels of growth since the Millennium. New construction in the industrial and commercial sectors has remained fairly static, while growth in the new house build sector has been affected by the lack of available land and the lengthy planning process. |
| As a result, replacement products and technological developments are fuelling growth to a larger extent than new installations. Manufacturers are increasingly seeking ways to differentiate from competitors, particularly as the majority of access control products invariably offer similar features. As a result the level of price competition is increasing, which has subdued market growth during the last year or two. |
| In the medium-term future, the market is likely to be influenced by the low levels of growth within the commercial construction market and the declining level of industrial construction. In addition, the low levels of business confidence in the IT and financial sectors is likely to impact both new installations and level of replacement. |
| The potential for market growth through product innovation still exists as the focus shifts to PC based access control systems, which are capable of integrating a variety of security and building management functions. However, the falling cost of computer hardware and software is gradually making it more difficult for suppliers to rely on product development to maintain margins. Consequently, suppliers are more likely to place a greater emphasis on building long term relationships with buyers of access control systems including after-sales support packages and long term service agreements. |
| The shift towards higher levels of technology and the greater emphasis on reliability and user-friendliness have impacted favourably on the proximity and smart card sectors of the electronic access control market in recent years. Proximity token/card systems are estimated to have gained share in 2002. Magnetic card systems have lost share to proximity systems in recent years. Despite the increased exposure regarding the benefits of smart card systems, these still only account for a small share of the market, while biometrics remains a niche sector. |
| Non-domestic applications, in particular the commercial sector continue to dominate sales of electronic access control systems accounting for a 64% share. However, construction levels within the commercial and industrial sectors have slowed since the Millennium and the share taken by these sectors has remained fairly static. Subsequently, the relatively high penetration of access control systems in these sectors has increased the reliance on replacement products and upgrading existing systems to more sophisticated control systems. In addition, the economic instability has particularly impacted the financial services and the IT and telecomm sectors contributing to lower levels of business confidence. |
| Installations in the public sector accounted for around 23% of the electronic access control market in 2002. This sector has gained share in recent years and is forecast to grow, albeit at a modest rate as demand for more sophisticated systems, particularly within the higher education sector increases. |
| Other sectors include infrastructure, with a focus on airport security in recent years following the increased threat of terrorism and a series of raids at Heathrow. While the need to upgrade security at airports has been recognised, the process remains in the early stages of planning but this sector is expected to provide opportunities for electronic access control systems in the future. |
| The number of suppliers within the electronic access control industry has increased in recent years. Access control suppliers are now offering a wider range of products and services, with some companies forming agreements with related suppliers in order to facilitate the integration of security systems and other building management functions. Key manufacturers include Bewator, PAC, Kaba, ASSA, Cardkey, Paxton, Group 4, Newmark, Bell, TDSI and TSSI. |
| Access Control products are mainly supplied through specialist security distributors and installers, with only a small proportion supplied direct to end-users. Manufacturers and suppliers tend to retain close links with specialist distributors and installers to ensure that a high standard of service and technical knowledge is maintained. Key distributors include Norbain, Gardiner, SRS, Sabre and Viking. |
| In the case of larger projects, some manufacturers may supply direct to the installer or even direct to the end-user to ensure a high level of service and technical support, although only a small proportion of systems are supplied in this way. Other channels include the electrical wholesalers and electronic component distributors. Key installers include ADT, Chubb, Initial and Allgood. |
| The distribution of access control systems in the future is likely to be influenced by the trend towards fully integrated systems. The gradual shift to more technical electronic access control systems and the integration of these systems with other security products and building management systems is likely to result in the greater involvement of facility management companies. |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
| 1. INTRODUCTION 6 |
| 2. SUMMARY 7 |
| 2.1 OVERALL MARKET 7 |
| 3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11 |
| 3.1 GENERAL 11 |
| 3.2 GDP 11 |
| 3.3 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 12 |
| 3.4 UNEMPLOYMENT & CONSUMER SPENDING 12 |
| 3.5 CONSTRUCTION 13 |
| 3.6 STERLING 13 |
| 3.7 CONCLUSIONS 14 |
| 4. ELECTRONIC SECURITY PRODUCTS MARKET 15 |
| 4.1 MARKET BACKGROUND 15 |
| 4.2 MARKET SIZE 15 |
| 4.3 PRODUCT GROUPS 18 |
| 4.3.1 Intruder Alarms 18 |
| 4.3.2 CCTV 19 |
| 4.3.3 Electronic Access Control Systems 20 |
| 4.4 INDUSTRY REGULATIONS 20 |
| 4.4.1 Security Inspectorates 21 |
| 5. ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 23 |
| 5.1 MARKET DEFINITION 23 |
| 5.2 MARKET SIZE 24 |
| 5.2.1 Market Background 24 |
| 5.2.2 Current Situation 26 |
| 5.2.3 Future Prospects 28 |
| 6. PRODUCT MIX 31 |
| 6.1 PRODUCT TRENDS 31 |
| 6.2 PRODUCT FEATURES OF ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL SYSTEMS 33 |
| 6.2.1 Readers & Cards 35 |
| 6.2.2 Controllers 39 |
| 6.2.3 PC's 39 |
| 6.2.4 Physical Devices and Fittings 39 |
| 7. END USE APPLICATION AREAS 41 |
| 8. SPECIFICATION AND INSTALLATION 46 |
| 8.1 SPECIFICATION 46 |
| 8.2 INSTALLERS 47 |
| 9. SUPPLIERS 49 |
| 10. DISTRIBUTION 62 |
| 11. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 66 |
| 11.1 MANUFACTURING AND INDUSTRY 66 |
| 11.1.1 Output & Exchange Rates 66 |
| 11.2 CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 68 |
| 11.2.1 The Construction Market 68 |
| 11.2.2 Contractors Output 70 |
| 11.2.3 Value of New Orders 71 |
| 11.3 THE HOUSING MARKET 72 |
| 11.3.1 New Housebuilding Sector 72 |
| 11.4 MACRO ECONOMIC INFLUENCES 76 |
| 11.4.1 Interest Rates And Inflation 76 |
| 11.4.2 Employment/Unemployment 77 |
| 11.4.3 GDP Growth 79 |
| 12. FUTURE PROSPECTS 80 |
DIAGRAMS
| CHART 1 THE UK ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 1997-2006 (£M AT END-USER PRICES) 7 |
| CHART 2 THE ELECTRONIC SECURITY MARKET 2002 16 |
| TABLE 3 THE UK ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 1995-2000 (£M AT END-USER PRICES) 25 |
| TABLE 4 THE UK ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL MARKET 2000-2006 (£M AT END-USER PRICES) 26 |
| CHART 5 MIX OF ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL SYSTEMS BY VALUE - 2002 31 |
| CHART 6 VALUE BREAKDOWN OF AN AVERAGE ACCESS CONTROL SYSTEM BY COMPONENT- 2002 34 |
| CHART 7 MIX OF ACCESS CONTROL INSTALLATIONS BY END USE APPLICATION AREA 2002 BY VALUE 41 |
| TABLE 8 SHARE BY VALUE OF THE MAJOR ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL MANUFACTURERS 2002 50 |
| CHART 9 ELECTRONIC ACCESS CONTROL DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE 62 |
| TABLE 10 LEVEL OF UK MANUFACTURING OUTPUT 1997-2002 (1995 = 100) 66 |
| TABLE 11 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1994-2002 - DM, DOLLARS, AND THE ECU TO THE POUND STERLING, SPOT RATES (END YEAR) 67 |
| TABLE 12 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 1995-2004 70 |
| TABLE 13 NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS 1990-2002 - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 71 |
| TABLE 14 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS (000'S DWELLINGS) 1995-2005 IN GREAT BRITAIN 73 |
| TABLE 15 HOUSING STARTS 1995-2005 IN GREAT BRITAIN BY SECTOR ('000) 74 |
| TABLE 16 UK VALUE OF HOUSEBUILDING CONTRACTORS OUTPUT AT CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 1990-2001 75 |
| CHART 17 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1995-2005 77 |
| CHART 18 NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN EMPLOYMENT GB - JUNE 1990-01 (MILLIONS) 78 |
| TABLE 19 GDP PERCENTAGE CHANGE PER ANNUM 79 |
Text © 2003 AMA Research
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Last updated by Amanda Porteous March 2004
