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AM32000 AMA ELECTRONIC SECURITY & FIRE ALARM SYSTEMS MARKET NOVEMBER 1999

This report covers: security systems, access control, Intruder Alarms, CCTV, closed circuit television, Cameras, Recorders, Monitors, distribution structure for security and fire alarm products, Contractors, Installers, fire protection, extinguishing systems, alarms, extinguishers, sprinkler systems, smoke detectors,

Companies covered include: ADT, Thorn Security, Williams Holdings, Menvier Swain, Shorrocks

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KEY AREAS

THE MARKET

SECURITY SYSTEMS

FIRE PROTECTION/EXTINGUISHING SYSTEMS

DISTRIBUTION AND SUPPLY - SECURITY & FIRE

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Overall, the 1990s have been a period of steady growth for the electronic security and fire protection market, to a present-day value estimated at £1.4bn per annum at manufacturers' selling prices.

Throughout the 1990s, all parts of the security market, but in particular those relating to electronic security, enjoyed considerable growth. This was fuelled largely by rising crime levels and, perhaps as importantly, the public's perception of the threat of burglary, both in a domestic and commercial setting. In addition, the replacement market was boosted in the early to mid-1990s by the ACPO policy regarding false alarms, but this policy has largely worked its way through the affected properties. The intruder alarm sector is now a mature market, and is more sensitive to economic factors such as the rate of addition to the building stock and, to a far lesser extent, house-moving activity. These latter considerations are also influential to the fire protection and detection sector, which has, grown only modestly through the 1990s.

Penetration of the domestic sector, driven by distribution in the DIY stores with simple and affordable electronic security alarms, has greatly increased in the 1990s, in spite of the ACPO policy introduction. This presence in the DIY stores has eroded much of the professional installers potential market and was made possible by developing easy to install wire-free systems, coupled with manufacturing volume to bring the unit cost down.

The greatest growth in the overall security market in the 1990s has been in the CCTV and access control sectors. At the outset, the usage of CCTV was made controversial by the 'infringement of liberty' lobbyists, but these have been largely overcome by the growth of evidence that they are effective in reducing crime rates in the areas under surveillance. The value of CCTV systems has latterly been given a high profile through the use of CCTV footage of criminals being 'caught in the act', serving as popular prime-time television 'entertainment'. CCTV now enjoys widespread usage in public places such as shopping precincts and other key locations in town and city centres. Their provision was encouraged by funding from the Conservative Government in the mid-1990s. In July 1998, the Labour Government launched a £250m 3-year 'crime reduction programme' (although much of it is targeted at vehicle crime). A further expenditure of £170m was announced in March 1999, of which around half will be allocated for reducing crime and improving house security, effectvely extending the scope of CCTV systems to such places as high-risk residential estates.

Employee safety and the economic need to make opportunistic theft more difficult, particularly within commercial premises, are the main factors which have contributed to growth in the access control systems sector. As these systems have become more affordable the scope of potential end use applications has widened. Access control systems have experienced rapid technological evolution, providing end-users with additional benefits such as the ability to collect employee attendance data.

In the UK, fire protection is now a mature market sector. Service and maintenance contracts provide a stream of revenue, but the volume of new business is heavily reliant upon new construction activity. Thus the fire protection systems market followed the construction industry into recession in the early 1990s, but has gradually recovered with improvements in commercial and industrial new build.

In the domestic sector, sales of smoke detectors enjoyed rapid growth during the early 1990s because of high levels of media attention, but the domestic sector has reached saturation point and sales are forecast to decline over the next few years, being largely dependent on installations in new homes.

Although many households have smoke detectors, few have extinguishers or fire blankets and virtually none have sprinkler systems. Therefore, the fortunes of the extinguisher and sprinkler sector follow those of the non-domestic construction sector, with sprinkler systems usually installed at the time of construction of a new building. The ban on halon-based fire extinguishers in 1994 led to a mini-boom in terms of volume sales, but for many companies competing in this market benefits were tempered by competitive pricing strategies in the commercial sector.

In terms of the supply structure, the main feature of the electronic security and fire protection systems market in the mid- and late-1990s has been the volume of mergers and acquisitions, to the extent that supply is polarised. At one 'pole' are conglomerates with interests in all areas of this diverse market, and at the other are relatively small companies specialising in niche markets.

The major players in the UK market are Williams plc, which continues to trade under the well-known names of its subsidiaries, which include Chubb, Kidde, Yale and Angus Fire Armour, and ADT Fire and Security formed recently from the merger of ADT Security Systems, Modern Security Systems and Thorn Security. ADT Fire and Security is part of Tyco International, a Bermuda-registered worldwide company. Tyco is the world's largest manufacturer and installer of fire protection systems, and the largest provider of electronic security systems to the European and North American markets. Other leading companies in this field include Menvier Group (owned by Coopers Inc), and Shorrocks.

Companies within the fire sector include Apollo Fire Detectors (owned by the Halma Group), Caradon Gent, Wormald Fire Systems and the smaller Grinnell Manufacturing (also owned by Tyco International), How Fire and Preussag Fire Protection. Companies within the electronic security and CCTV sector are more numerous and include Blick, Johnson Control Systems, Ademco Microtech, Dedicated Micros, Norbain and Sensormatic Camera, as well as companies from the 'traditional' video arena such as JVC, Sanyo and Panasonic.

The major companies often compete within several market sectors and have activities spanning the whole spectrum, from manufacturing to installation and maintenance, and the management of their own alarm receiving centres (ARCs). Firstly as installers (frequently of their own brand) and secondly as major suppliers, these players are influential in the distribution network, tending to reduce sales opportunities for specialist distributors. Nevertheless, the specialist knowledge which these distributors possess enables them to retain their share of the distribution channels and it is now thought that now less than 10 percent of the UK's electronic security and fire protection systems products pass through the electrical wholesalers' channel.

Fire alarm and electronic security systems are professionally installed either by specialist contractors or electrical contractors. Many of the specialist contractors will have gained approval from one of the relevant inspectorates; such certification is often extremely important to the end user, either because it is a specified condition of cover provision by their insurers or because a discount is offered on their premium if this condition is fulfilled.

The overall outlook for the industry is generally optimistic, underpinned by steady improvement in both the domestic and non-domestic construction markets and continued government funding of 'community' security projects.

However, fire protection companies will become increasingly reliant on technological advances to add value to their products and gaining share in a mature market sector. The access control market is growing less rapidly than in the mid-1990s, whereas the CCTV market remains buoyant reflecting public spending by local authorities, health and education establishments.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.

INTRODUCTION

6

2. SUMMARY 7
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11
3.1 GDP Growth 11
3.2 Interest Rates & Inflation 12
3.3 Investment 12
3.4 Unemployment & Consumer Spending 12
3.5 Sterling 13
4. ELECTRONIC SECURITY PRODUCTS MARKET 14
4.1 Market Background 14
4.2 Market Size 17
4.2.1 Overall Market 17
4.2.2 Security Systems - Intruder Alarms 21
4.2.3 Household Ownership Levels 27
4.3 Product Mix 28
4.4 Domestic/Non-Domestic Installations 31
4.4.1 Introduction 31
4.4.2 Domestic Market 32
4.4.3 Non-Domestic Market 35
4.5 Closed Circuit Television (CCTV) 38
4.5.1 Background 38
4.5.2 Market Size 38
4.5.3 Product Mix 43
4.5.4 End-Use Application Areas 45
4.6 Access Control 47
4.6.1 Background 47
4.6.2 Market Size 48
4.6.3 Product Mix 50
4.6.4 End Use Application Areas 52
5. FIRE PROTECTION SYSTEMS 54
5.1 Market Background 54

5.3

Household Ownership Levels of Fire Protection Equipment 56
5.4 Product Range 58
5.4.1 Alarm Systems 58
5.4.2 Fire Extinguishing Equipment 61
6. SPECIFICATION AND BUYING PROCESS 64
7. DISTRIBUTION 68
7.1 Channels of Distribution 68
7.2 Major Suppliers 77
7.2.1 Major Groups 77
7.2.2 Fire Protection Systems 80
7.2.3 PIR Detectors and Control Panels 82
7.3 DIY Sector 83
7.4 Imports and Exports 86
8. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 88
8.1 The Housing Market 88
8.2 House Moving 89
8.3 Contractors Output - Industrial and Commercial 90
8.4 Households 93
8.5 Population Age Profile 94
8.5 Personal Disposable Income & Savings Ratio 96
8.6 Crime Rates 98
8.6.1 Statistics and Perceptions 98
8.6.2 Arson 101
8.7 Insurers 102
9. FUTURE PROSPECTS 103
9.1 Market Growth Prospects 103
9.2 Product Trends 104
9.3 Market Structure 104

Tables and Charts

Chart 1 Security & Fire Protection Market 1992-2003 7
Table 2 UK Security & Fire Protection Systems Market 1997-2003 (£M MSP) 18
Chart 3 Volume Of Installations Of Intruder Alarms 1980-1999 22
Table 4 UK Security Alarm Market 1990-2003 (£M RSP) 24
Table 5 UK Household Ownership Levels Of Intruder Alarms (1970-1999) 27
Chart 6 Product Mix By Signal Type 1999 (By Volume) 29
Chart 7 UK Intruder Alarm Market - Domestic/Non-Domestic Installations 1999 By Volume 32
Chart 8 Professionally & DIY Fitted Intruder Alarms 1999 By Volume 33
Chart 9 DIY Fitted Alarm Market - Domestic Applications 1987-1999 By Volume 34
Table 10 Non-Domestic Installations Of Intruder Alarm Systems 1987-1999 By Volume 35
Chart 11 Non-Domestic Alarm Installations By End-Use Application Area - 1999 36
Table 12 UK CCTV Market - 1990-2003 (£M At Installed Prices) 39
Chart 13 Cost Structure Of A Typical CCTV System 1999 43
Chart 14 Mix Of CCTV Installations By End-Use Application Area 1999 By Value 45
Table 15 UK Access Conrol Market 1990-2003 (£M At Installed Prices)

48

Chart 16 Mix Of Access Control Systems By Value - 1999 50
Chart 17 Mix Of Access Control Installations By End Use Application Area 52
Chart 18 UK Fire Protection Market 1999 By Major Product - Value £M MSP 55
Table 19 Household Ownership Of Fire Protection/Detection Equipment 1999 57
Chart 20 UK Market For Fire Alarm Systems 1990-1999 (£M MSP) 59
Table 21 UK Market For Fire Extinguishing Equipment 1990-2003 (£M MSP) 62
Table 22 Range Of Security Equipment Installed By Contractors 64
Table 23 Range Of Fire Equipment Installed By Contractors 65
Table 24 Average Number Of Employees 66
Chart 25 Security & Fire Detection Systems Market Structure 68
Table 26 Source Of Supply For Security And Fire Alarm Systems 70
Table 27 Frequency Of Usage Of Alternative Sources Of Supply - Intruder Alarm Systems 71
Table 28 Frequency Of Usage Of Alternative Sources Of Supply - CCTV Equipment 75
Table 29 Exports & Imports Of Fire & Burglar Alarms - 1991-1996 (£M MSP) 86
Table 30 Exports & Imports Of Fire Extinguishers 1992-1996 (£M MSP 87
Table 31 Housing Completions 1990-1998 Great Britain (‘000) 88
Table 32 Number Of Property Transactions In England And Wales 1990-1998 89
Table 33 Contractors Output - New Work And RMI Non Housing - Current Prices (£M) 90
Table 34 New Orders Obtained By Contractors Commercial Sector' - Current Prices (£M) 1990-1997 92
Table 35 New Orders Obtained By Contractors - Current Prices 93
Table 36 Stock Of Dwellings UK - 1988-1996 94
Table 37 Age Distribution Of Resident Population - June 1995 95
Chart 38 PDI & Savings Ratio 97
Table 39 Notifiable Offences Recorded By The Police In England & Wales - 1987-1997 (000’s) 98
Table 40 Fear Of Crime - 1996 England And Wales 100
Table 41 Ownership Of Home Security Devices 1997 101

Text © 2000AMA Research

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 26th February 2000