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AM29037 AMA BUILDING MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS JULY 1997

This report covers:

Companies covered include:

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 5
2. SUMMARY 6
2.1 OVERALL 6
2.2 MARKET STRUCTURE 7
2.3 PRODUCTS 7
2.4 DISTRIBUTION 8
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 9
3.1 INTEREST RATES 9
3.2 INFLATION 9
3.3 PUBLIC SPENDING, TAXATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT 10
3.4 CONSTRUCTION 10
4. THE UK BUILDING MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS MARKET 12
4.1 DEFINITION 12
4.2 MARKET SIZE 12
4.3 MARKET STRUCTURE 20
4.4 STRENGTHS, WEAKNESSES, OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS 23
5. PRODUCTS 28
5.1 OPERATIONAL STRUCTURE OF BMS 28
5.2 PRODUCT TRENDS AND KEY ISSUES 33
6. SUPPLY STRUCTURE 35
6.1 SUPPLY COMPANIES 35
6.2 DISTRIBUTION 42
6.3 END USE APPLICATION AREAS 44
7. BUILDING SERVICES PRODUCT TRENDS 48
7.1 NON-DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING 48
7.2 VENTILATION PRODUCTS 51
7.3 AIR CONDITIONING 54
7.4 LIGHTING 56
7.5 SECURITY SYSTEMS 59
7.6 FIRE PROTECTION AND DETECTION SYSTEMS 62
8. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 65
8.1 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL 65
8.2 POPULATION FIGURES 69
8.3 PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME 70
8.4 INTEREST RATES & INFLATION 72
9. FUTURE PROSPECTS 73
9.1 OVERALL 73
9.2 MARKET STRUCTURE 75
9.3 PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT 75
LIST OF TABLES AND CHARTS
TABLE 1: THE UK BUILDING MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS MARKET 1990-1997 (£M MSP)
TABLE 2: THE UK ADVANCED CONTROL PRODUCT MARKET 1990-1997 (£M MSP)
TABLE 3: THE UK BUILDING MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS MARKET - FORECASTS 1996-2002 (£M MSP)
TABLE 4: THE UK ADVANCED CONTROL PRODUCT MARKET - FORECASTS 1996-2002 (£M MSP)
CHART 5: THE UK BMS MARKET AT CONSTANT 1990 PRICES
CHART 6: THE UK ADVANCED CONTROL PRODUCT MARKET AT CONSTANT 1990 PRICES
CHART 7: HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE OF INTEGRATED BUILDING MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS
CHART 8: OPERATION OF A TYPICAL MODERN BMS
CHART 9: COST STRUCTURE OF A TYPICAL BMS - 1996
CHART 10: MIX OF DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS FOR INTELLIGENT CONTROL PRODUCTS BY VALUE 1996
CHART 11: MIX OF BMS SALES 1996 - BY VALUE
CHART 12: UK MARKET FOR NON-DOMESTIC SPACE HEATING 1990-2000 (£M)
CHART 13: MIX OF NON-DOMESTIC HEATING SALES BY VALUE
CHART 14: UK MARKET FOR VENTILATION PRODUCTS 1990-2000 (£M)
CHART 15: THE UK AIR CONDITIONING MARKET 1990-2000 - £M
CHART 16: UK LIGHTING MARKET 1990-2000 - £M
CHART 17: UK MARKET FOR SECURITY SYSTEMS 1990-2000 - £M
CHART 18: UK FIRE PROTECTION / DETECTION MARKET 1990-2000 - £M
TABLE 19: CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK & RMI NON HOUSING CURRENT PRICES £M
TABLE 20: CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK COMMERCIAL SECTOR - CURRENT PRICES £M
TABLE 21: NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS - CURRENT PRICES £M TABLE 22: AGE DISTRIBUTION OF RESIDENT POPULATION - JUNE 1995
CHART 23: PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME AND SAVINGS RATIO
CHART 24: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2000

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The overall market for building management systems has shown good growth over the last few years to a value of £325m in 1996 at manufacturers selling prices. A significant proportion of the cost of a complete system is accounted for by design, installation and commissioning costs, with the value of the advanced control product market valued at £93m in the same year.

The market showed a decline during the early 1990's due to the marked downturn in levels of commercial and industrial new build and RMI, during the recession. Despite only a modest upturn in subsequent construction levels, the Building Management Systems (BMS) market has shown positive growth since 1993 largely driven by the growing emphasis on energy efficiency and environmental issues.

The outlook for the market is one of good growth influenced by a number of key factors including:-

However, there are a number of factors which may act to constrain market growth, chiefly a further reduction in product prices as the market continues to mature, as well as the trend towards building services products supplied with integral controls.

The structure of the BMS market is complex, resulting from the production of systems involving design, installation and commissioning, in addition to the manufacture of controls and other hardware products.

The companies who compete in the market fall into a number of broad categories including Controls Manufacturers, many of whom supply complete turnkey installations as well as advanced controls, System Integrators who buy in controls and other hardware products but carry out design, software engineering, installation and commissioning, M & E Contractors some of whom have the ability to develop as well as install and commission systems, Contract Energy Management Systems suppliers and Panel Builders.

The market is dominated by the controls manufacturers, with key companies including Honeywell, Johnson, Satchwell, Landis & Staefa and Trend, as well as TA Controls, Automatrix, York, Serck, Thorn Security and Andover. Systems Integrators have grown their influence on the market over the last few years, with several dozen companies led by MSI Group, Synchronised Systems and E-Squared.

Whilst early systems primarily controlled only Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC), there has been a trend towards fully integrated building management systems which control the full range of building services including HVAC, Lighting, Fire, Security and Access, as well as data and telecommunications. This trend is likely to continue as these systems offer more efficient management and maintenance of the growing range of services installed within modern buildings.

A key issue affecting the market is the development of a standard communications protocol which would facilitate the development of fully integrated BMS, as well as reducing the complexity and cost of extending or amending systems.

Despite industry discussions over a period of some years, no agreement has been reached as to which of a number of protocols should be formally adopted, although Echelon's 'Lonworks' has become the 'de facto' industry standard. However, there may be a disadvantage to manufacturers in the introduction of a standard communications protocol as it may result in reduced feature differentiation and greater competition between manufacturers, thus placing a downward pressure on product pricing.

Another key product trend is the development of systems incorporating outstation control by means of Direct Digital Controllers (DDC's). This has produced rapid growth in sales of DDC's over the last few years, a trend which is expected to continue at least in the short to medium term, driven largely by the greater emphasis placed on local control.

The distribution of intelligent control products is highly concentrated. The most common route to market is direct to the end user from the manufacturer, with systems integrators also representing a significant distribution channel. Other distribution channels include via M & E contractors and OEM companies.

The commercial sector represents the most significant end use sector accounting for some 60 percent of sales, with key end users including offices, hotels, shops and leisure facilities. The public sector currently accounts for some 25 percent of installations but is expected to provide better future potential due to greater uptake of PFI schemes by private sector investors and an upturn in government expenditure on hospitals and schools at least in the short to medium term.

This comprehensive report represents a detailed assessment of the market, reviewing major trends, key factors influencing developments and future prospects for the sector. Analysis is both quantitative and qualitative, based on our substantial experience of the building and home improvement markets.

Text © 1997 AMA Research

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