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AM26124
AMA RESEARCH Market Report : UK Decking and Landscaping : November 2004
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BRIEF DESCRIPTION

AMA Research have recently published the 3rd Edition of the Domestic Decking and Landscaping Market – UK 2004.  The report incorporates original input and primary research and represents an up-to-date and informed review of this fast-growing market.
 
The UK Domestic Landscaping market has experienced major changes in terms of new product sectors, supply and distribution channels etc. in recent years, particularly in the growth of decking.  With little in-depth information available on the UK decking market, the report offers a comprehensive and up-to date analysis of the domestic decking market, assessing key market and product trends, as well as reviewing other key sectors within the overall domestic UK landscaping market.
 
The report contains:
 
DETAILED ASSESSMENT OF THE £600 MILLION+ DOMESTIC MATERIALS MARKET - Reviews the relevance of each of the key sectors in the UK landscaping market, including, non-domestic and domestic hard and soft landscaping, labour and materials. Market values, trends and influences are reviewed for these sectors. Domestic Hard Landscaping products are brought into particular focus for review.
 
FOCUS ON DECKING -An in depth review of the UK decking market, illustrated in context within the overall UK domestic and non-domestic landscaping market. Market size, timber, concrete and PVC decking issues, key influences and supply and distribution are analysed in depth.
 
KEY PRODUCT SECTORS - a review of the main product sectors in the UK Domestic Landscaping Market, with market size, past and future performance, product mix, distribution and supply issues reviewed for each sector, including:-
 
* Timber / PVC / other Decking 
 
* Paving / Walling
 
* Bulbs / Seeds 
 
* Aggregates
 
* Nursery Stock 
 
* Fencing / Trellis / Pergolas etc
 
* Bedding Plants 
 
* Pots / Planters
 
* Lighting 
 
* Water / Decorative Products.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The total UK Landscaping market is currently estimated to be valued at over £3 billion when including specialist sectors such as golf courses, grounds maintenance, tree surgery, motorway projects etc.  The market has performed well since 1996 showing some consistently good levels of growth.  However defining and evaluating the market at this level is complicated by the wide range of products, services and end use sectors and influences.
 
Hence, within the definition given by this report, the UK landscaping market is estimated to be worth almost £1.5bn.  This report focuses primarily on the domestic landscaping materials market, which excluding labour costs is estimated to be worth over £850m at manufacturers selling prices.
 
High levels of growth in the domestic sector have been experienced in recent years, supported by the introduction of decking which has seen a substantial rise in popularity since the introduction of the product in 1997.  Other factors that have underpinned growth in the sector over the last few years have included a buoyant economy, low inflation and interest rates, rising house prices and higher investment in marketing activities by outlets such as DIY multiples.  From the late 1990s onwards, there has also been a high amount of media coverage given to gardening and landscaping activities, especially through television, which has helped to stimulate public awareness in the sector, as well as encouraging consumers to undertake more adventurous landscaping activities themselves.
 
Consumer trends have also had an influence on the overall performance of the market with the view of the garden as a “room outside” or demand for “instant effect” gardening, both of which have stimulated growth in the sector.  Outlets such as Garden Centres and DIY multiples are also offering higher levels of information in relation to consumers undertaking landscaping projects.
 
As indicated above, decking has grown rapidly in popularity over the last 5-6 years, primarily due to heavy media support. While there are tentative signs of a slowing down in the market, it is difficult to forecast at this stage whether the trend is a ‘fad’ or a more sustainable ‘new product’ that will outlast any downturn in media interest.
 
2003 was a good year for the domestic landscaping materials market with the good weather and extended summer conditions providing relatively high levels of growth for many product sectors.  However, poor weather conditions seen over key trading periods earlier in the year as well as over the summer months look set to reduce the rate of growth in 2004, and our forecasts above may prove optimistic if there is no recovery in late 2004. 
 
Distribution of domestic landscaping products is dominated by the DIY multiples, Garden Centres and Builders Merchants.  Other channels such as mail order/internet, high street stores and grocery multiples are also involved in the distribution of landscaping products in the domestic sector, but not for ‘heavy’ materials.
 
The future prospects for the sector look reasonably optimistic with a number of issues supporting underlying growth in the medium term future.  However, factors such as good or poor weather can have positive or negative effects on year-on-year growth, as illustrated in 2004, whilst consumer trends will also affect different product sectors.  In addition, any further rises in interest rates will have a negative impact on the housing market, which may affect consumer confidence and restrict the scale and amount spent on landscaping projects in short term future.

Companies mentioned

54 Lingarden , Moolenaar , Unwins, Wichester Growers, OA Taylor & Sons, Mr Fothergill, Unwins, Suttons, Johnsons, Russells, Wilkinsons, Woolworths, L B Plastics, Deceuinck, Fontier, Richard Burbridge, Board Walk, Larch Lap, Archadeck , Arbordeck, Forest Garden Holdings, RK Timber, Drenagh Sawmills , Dundonnell Timber, A J Smith & Son, BSE Timber, Montague.L.Meyer, Q-Deck by Hoppings, Snows Timber, Tradelink Wood Products, Badshot Lea Garden Centre, Tarmac Concret Products, Marshalls, Supreme oncrete, Lakeland Concrete, RMC Concrete Productts, Ibstock Building Products, Plasmor, Bowland Stone, Brett Paving, McMillan Rome, Minster Paving, Supamix, Aggregate Industries UK Ltd, Garstang Timber, And Plywood, Bouchier Fencing, Wilfirs Fencing Specialists, Clifford Jones Timber, Forest Garden, Intersolar, Hazelock, Harcostar Garden Products, Micromart, GE Lighting, Fitzgerald Lighting, Lightform UK, Eterna, B&Q, Homebase, Focus Do It All, Wickes, Great Mills, Jewsons, Wyevale / Country Gardens, Notcutts, Garden & Leisure, Klondyke, Squires, Brigemere, Van Hage, Dobbies, Gibbs & Dandy, Jacksons Building Centres, Hillier Nurseries, Glyndley Garden Centre, Findley Clark, Dobbies Garden Centre, Booker Garden Centre, Bridgemere Garden World, Webbs of Wychbold.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION
2 SUMMARY
3 ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
3.1 GDP
3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES
3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT
3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION
3.6 STERLING
3.7 POPULATION PROFILE
3.8 CONCLUSIONS
4 OVERALL LANDSCAPING & DECKING MARKET
4.1 DEFINITION
4.2 OVERALL MARKET SIZE
4.2.1 Market Size and Recent History
4.2.2 Current Situation
4.3 END USE APPLICATIONS MIX
5 DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MARKET
5.1 DEFINITION & BACKGROUND
5.2 MARKET SIZE
5.3 MIX OF PRODUCTS IN DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING
5.4. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES
5.4.1 Population Profile
5.4.2 Households
5.4.3 Housing Transactions
6 ‘SOFT’ LANDSCAPING MARKET
6.1 DEFINITION & BACKGROUND
6.2 MARKET SIZE
6.3 PRODUCT MIX
6.3.1 Nursery Stock / Bedding Plants
6.3.2 Bulbs / Seeds
6.4 SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION
7 DOMESTIC DECKING MARKET
7.1 DEFINITION & BACKGROUND
7.2 MARKET SIZE BY VALUE AND VOLUME
7.3 MIX OF PRODUCTS IN DOMESTIC TIMBER DECKING MATERIALS SECTOR
7.4 MATERIALS IN THE UK DECKING MARKET
7.5 KEY INFLUENCES & TRENDS
7.6 SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
8 HARD LANDSCAPING PRODUCTS
8.1 DEFINITION & BACKGROUND
8.2 MARKET SIZE
8.3 MIX OF PRODUCTS IN DOMESTIC HARD LANDSCAPING MATERIALS
8.3.1 Paving / Walling
8.3.2 Aggregates
8.3.3 Fencing / Arches / Pergolas / Trellis
8.3.4 Pots / Planters
8.3.5 Decorative Products / Fountains / Water Products
8.3.6 Lighting
9 DISTRIBUTION
9.1 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE
9.2 ROLE OF THE WHOLESALERS / DISTRIBUTORS
9.3 RETAIL DISTRIBUTION SHARES
9.3.1 DIY Multiples
9.3.2 Builders Merchants
9.3.3 Garden Centres
9.3.4 High Street / Supermarkets
9.3.5 Direct Sell
9.3.6 Mail Order / Catalogue Stores / Internet
10 FUTURE PROSPECTS
10.1 OVERALL TRENDS
10.2 DECKING
10.3 OTHER HARD LANDSCAPING
10.4 SOFT LANDSCAPING

Tables and Charts

CHART 1 OVERALL DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 1996-2007 (£M)
CHART 2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (CPI) FROM 1990-2006
CHART 3 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO AT CURRENT PRICES 1990-2006
TABLE 4 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1997-2005 - THE POUND STERLING TO THE DOLLARS, AND THE ECU, SPOT RATES
CHART 5 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 2001 (‘000)
CHART 6 OVERALL UK DOMESTIC/NON-DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 1996-2007 (£M)
CHART 7 MIX OF NON-DOMESTIC / DOMESTIC & LABOUR SECTORS WITHIN THE UK LANDSCAPING MARKET – 2003
CHART 8 DOMESTIC/NON-DOMESTIC MIX IN THE UK LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 2003
CHART 9 UK DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 1997-2003 (£M) MSP
TABLE 10 THE UK DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 1997-2007
CHART 11 UK DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MARKET SOFT/HARD LANDSCAPING - % MIX 1992 & 2003
CHART 12 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 2001 (‘000)
TABLE 13 STOCK OF DWELLINGS GREAT BRITAIN - 1998-2004
TABLE 14 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS (000’S DWELLINGS) 1994-2006 IN GREAT BRITAIN
TABLE 15 NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND AND WALES 1996-2003
TABLE 16 UK DOMESTIC SOFT LANDSCAPING MATERIALS MARKET 1996 - 2007
CHART 17 THE UK DOMESTIC NURSERY STOCK & BEDDING PLANTS MARKET 1996-2007
TABLE 18 UK DOMESTIC BULBS AND SEEDS MARKET 1996-2007 (£M MSP)
CHART 19 UK SOFT LANDSCAPING MARKET - CHANNELS OF DISTRIBUTION 2003
CHART 20 UK DOMESTIC DECKING MARKET 1997-2007 (£M) MSP
CHART 21 UK DECKING MARKET MIX OF COMMERCIAL AND DOMESTIC INSTALLATIONS BY % VALUE
CHART 22 UK DOMESTIC DECKING MARKET 1997-2007 VOLUME OF DECKS SOLD (000’S)
CHART 23 MIX OF PRODUCTS IN DOMESTIC TIMBER DECKING MARKET 2003 BY VALUE
CHART 24 MIX OF MATERIALS IN DOMESTIC DECKING MARKET 2003
CHART 25 MIX OF HARDWOOD AND SOFTWOOD USED IN DECKING INSTALLATIONS - % SHARE BY VALUE 2003
TABLE 26 POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE ISSUES AFFECTING TIMBER DECKING
TABLE 27 ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF PVC DECKING PRODUCTS
TABLE 28 UK DOMESTIC CONSERVATORY MARKET 1990-2003 BY VOLUME
CHART 29 UK HARD LANDSCAPING MARKET 1996-2007 (£M) MSP
CHART 30 MIX OF MATERIALS IN DOMESTIC HARD LANDSCAPING MARKET 2003
TABLE 31 UK DOMESTIC PAVING & WALLING MARKET 1996-2007 (£M) MSP
TABLE 32 UK GARDEN LEISURE MARKET 1994-2004 £M RSP
CHART 33 UK DOMESTIC AGGREGATES MARKET 1995-2007 (£M) MSP
CHART 34 UK DOMESTIC WOOD PRODUCTS MARKET 1996-2007 (£M) MSP
TABLE 35 UK DOMESTIC POTS AND PLANTERS MARKET 1996 – 2007 (£M) MSP
TABLE 36 UK DOMESTIC DECORATIVE / WATER PRODUCTS & FOUNTAINS MARKET 1996-2007 (£M MSP)
CHART 37 UK DOMESTIC GARDEN LIGHTING MARKET 1996-2007 (£M MSP)
CHART 38 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE OF THE UK DOMESTIC LANDSCAPING MARKET
CHART 39 RETAIL DISTRIBUTION OUTLETS SHARES BY VALUE 2003
CHART 40 DISTRIBUTION OF GARDEN PRODUCTS 2003 BY VALUE BY MULTIPLE
CHART 41 B & Q PRODUCT MIX - SHARE BY VALUE 2003
CHART 42 HOMEBASE PRODUCT MIX - SHARE BY VALUE 2003
CHART 43 FOCUS PRODUCT MIX - SHARE BY VALUE 2004
CHART 44 WICKES PRODUCT MIX – SHARE BY VALUE 2004
TABLE 45 GARDEN CENTRE MARKET SHARES 2003 BY VALUE

Text © 2004 AMA Research

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