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AM26092 AMA CERAMIC TILES MARKET AUGUST 2002

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KEY AREAS

AMA Research have published the 3rd edition of the 'UK Ceramic Tiles Market Report 2002'. Incorporating original input and primary research, it represents an up to date, comprehensive and informed assessment of this market.
The report contains in detail:-
Market Review - Size, recent growth, review of recent developments, role of imports and future prospects.
Product Sector Mix - Floor tile and wall tile mix, design trends, comparisons with other wall and floorcoverings future prospects.
Application Mix - Domestic and Commercial, trends, mix of end-use application areas in the commercial sector.
Suppliers - Key suppliers and market shares.
Distribution - Structure in the contract and domestic sectors, channel shares, growth prospects, etc.
The ceramic tiles market has shown good growth during the last 5 years. This new report assesses the current situation and forecasts the likely market development over the next four years.
AMA are specialists in decor and building products and provide an analysis of the market incorporating both quantitative and qualitative assessment. The report contains 75 pages and 33 tables and charts, incorporating ORIGINAL research and comment on the UK ceramic tile market, providing incisive and thought provoking views on the industry's development.
Report Contents in Detail:-
MARKET SIZE
Market definition and overall market size for ceramic tiles in the UK, by value. Forecasts for the ceramic tile industry in the UK up to 2005.
Key influences and trends on the development of the market. Impact of leisure sector, influences of television programmes/home interest magazines etc. Key application areas showing growth - conservatory, showers, en-suite sectors.
Outlook for the overall industry, long term underlying advantages of tiles versus other floor and wall coverings, prospects through to 2005.
International trade in ceramic tiles, key importing countries etc.
Mix of domestic and commercial applications by value.
The ceramic tile market in perspective - in relation to the overall home decor and contract floorcoverings markets.
PRODUCT MIX/APPLICATION AREAS
Mix of wall and floor tiles by value, trends in each sector.
Wall Tiles - Issues and trends, strengths, opportunities and threats (e.g. growth of pod manufacturers)
Floor Tiles - Issues and trends, strengths, opportunities and threats.
Principal end use sectors - contract floorcoverings market by application, growth of conservatory, shower and en-suite/cloakroom markets etc. - volumes, trends etc.
Contract floorcoverings market by floor type/by value.
Growth of ceramic tiles relevant to other decorating media - growth of panelling systems, laminated wood flooring etc.
Sales performance comparisons 1995-2004 - floor tiles, carpets, vinyl, laminated wood - wall tiles, paint and wallpaper.
SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURES
Commercial and domestic channel structures.
Channel shares and trends.
Review of the major channels - DIY multiples, builders merchants, distributors, tile specialists, independents, etc.
Key tile suppliers, - market share for leading companies.
Review of key companies - company information, turnover, market positioning, distribution strengths.
FUTURE PROSPECTS/KEY INFLUENCES
Key influences on the contract and domestic sectors of the ceramic tiles market.
Future prospects for the contract and domestic sectors.
AMA Research are specialist publishers of a wide range of reports in home improvement markets including Builders Merchants, DIY Multiples, Wallcoverings, Floorcoverings, Contract Floorcoverings, Conservatories, Showers, Bathrooms etc.

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The UK Ceramic Tiles Market is relatively fragmented in terms of end-use sectors, but is becoming more concentrated in the manufacturing and distribution sectors.
The total market in 2001 is estimated at approximately £351m at manufacturers selling prices, which represents an increase of around 4 percent over the previous year.
Following the growth of the market in 1997, the sector experienced more difficult conditions in 1998 and 1999 following interest rate increases and lower levels of consumer confidence. The market showed some recovery in the latter half of 1999 and was particularly buoyant throughout 2000. The market has been supported by the growth of conservatories, the increasing penetration of showers, in addition to a buoyant housing market and the high level of DIY. The wider use of floor tiles have also boosted the overall value of the market.
The improving business confidence led to greater commercial activity with businesses targeting the consumer, including hotels, leisure centres etc. In particular the growth of the leisure sector within hotels was strong during this period, with obvious ramifications for tiles. In addition, the house-builders were becoming more discerning in the features offered in a new house, with most offering an en-suite facility and many offering a downstairs cloakroom and utility room.
Overall, sales are estimated to have grown by around 24 percent between 1997-2002, reflecting positive developments in the construction, industrial and domestic environments, as well as specific developments within the ceramic tile market.
The popularity of wooden flooring is likely to have acted as a 'catalyst' for tiles, continuing the hard floor theme throughout the home in areas where wooden flooring is less appropriate, e.g. bathrooms, cloakrooms etc. Under-floor heating may slowly have an impact on the ceramic tile market and increase the attractiveness of tiles, eliminating the cold feel.
In the medium term, value growth is likely to be affected by the lower levels of growth in the construction market following the rapid growth leading up to the Millennium. The high level of imports may also constrain value growth in addition to the popularity of alternative floor-coverings including wooden flooring and other smooth materials. Nevertheless, projected growth for the overall ceramic tiles market for 2002-2005 has been forecast at around 3-4 percent, taking into account growth prospects for the UK economy and influences in the various end-use sectors. It is unlikely that the UK market may ever reach European levels of penetration which are very high, although increasing penetration levels of floor tiles in particular are likely.
In the domestic sector, the media has impacted favourably on ceramic tile demand as a result of home improvement television programmes and magazines. >From the supply side, the continuing availability of new tile designs, materials and shapes from designers, manufacturers and importers, provides an expanding product range for new and refurbishment operations, with these factors tending to underpin domestic growth in the medium term.
In the field of wall tiles, panelling systems are a major competing product, particularly in the commercial sector with some panelling products targeted at the domestic bathroom sector also. However, the key benefits of ceramic tiles include durability, a low level of maintenance, ease of cleaning, impervious to water and fire-retardant. Increasing emphasis on health and safety issues by specifiers and end-users is also having a major impact, to the benefit of ceramic tiles which are regarded as hygienic.
In 2001, importers, in particular Porcelanosa, dominated the supply structure of the UK market. The two major UK manufacturers are H & R. Johnson and Pilkington's, and other UK manufacturers include BCT, Marlborough Tiles, Daniel Platt, etc.
The distribution structure for floor and wall tiles is relatively complex, reflecting a mix between commercial and domestic sales. In the domestic sector, the DIY multiples and the Tile Specialists lead the refurbishment market whilst in the contract sector distributors and the direct channel predominate. The strength of the distributors reflects the high level of imports which account for around 65 percent of the overall market.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

UK Ceramic Tiles Market 2002 - Contents
1 INTRODUCTION 7
2 SUMMARY 8
3 ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 11
3.1 GDP GROWTH 11
3.2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION 12
3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT AND CONSUMER SPENDING 12
3.4 CONSTRUCTION 13
3.4.1 Housing 13
3.5 STERLING 13
3.6 CONCLUSIONS 14
4 THE UK MARKET FOR CERAMIC TILES 15
4.1 MARKET DEFINITION 15
4.2 THE CERAMIC TILE MARKET IN PERSPECTIVE 15
4.2.1 Domestic Applications 15
4.3 CERAMIC TILE MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS 16
4.3.1 Market Background 16
4.3.2 Current Situation 18
4.3.3 Future Prospects 23
4.3.4 The Ceramic Tiles Market - Constant Prices 26
4.4 CONTRACT APPLICATIONS 27
4.5 INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN CERAMIC TILES 31
5 PRODUCT TRENDS 34
5.1 PRODUCT MIX 34
5.1.1 Overall Mix 34
5.1.2 Wall Tiles 35
5.1.3 Floor Tiles 37
5.2 FACTORS INFLUENCING FLOOR AND WALL TILES 38
5.2.1 Installation and Replacement 39
5.2.2 Hygiene 39
5.2.3 Size 40
5.3 CHARACTERISTICS OF FLOOR AND WALL TILES RELATIVE TO OTHER DECORATING MEDIA 40
5.3.1 Strengths 40
5.3.2 Competing Decorative Products 41
6 SUPPLIERS 45
6.1 INTRODUCTION 45
6.2 MARKET SHARES 45
6.3 MAJOR SUPPLIERS 46
7 DISTRIBUTION 49
7.1 DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE 49
7.2 MAJOR CHANNELS 51
7.3 DISTRIBUTORS AND INDEPENDENT RETAILERS 52
7.3.1 Distributors 52
7.3.2 Independent Retail Stores 54
7.4 DIY MULTIPLES 56
7.5 BUILDERS MERCHANTS 59
7.6 OTHERS 61
7.7 CONTRACT/COMMERCIAL SECTOR 61
8 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 65
8.1 CONSTRUCTION 65
8.1.1 Construction - New House Build 65
8.1.2 House-Moving 67
8.1.3 The Commercial and Industrial Construction Market 68
8.2 POPULATION PROFILE 72
8.3 PERSONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME 74
8.4 EMPLOYMENT/UNEMPLOYMENT 75
8.5 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION 76
8.6 HOUSEHOLDS 78
8.6.1 Housing Stock 78
9 FUTURE PROSPECTS 81
TABLES & CHARTS
TABLE 1 UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET 1997-2005 AT £M MSP 7
CHART 2 UK DOMESTIC WALL & FLOORCOVERINGS MARKET PRODUCT MIX BY VALUE, 2001 15
TABLE 3 UK MARKET FOR CERAMIC TILES - BY VALUE 1995-2001 (£M MSP) 16
CHART 4 UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SHOWERS 1990-2000 19
CHART 5 UK DOMESTIC CONSERVATORY MARKET 1995-2004 BY VOLUME 21
TABLE 6 THE UK MARKET FORECAST FOR CERAMIC TILES 2001-2005 (£M MSP) 22
CHART 7 THE UK CERAMIC TILE MARKET AT CONSTANT 1995 PRICES £M MSP 25
CHART 8 DOMESTIC & CONTRACT MIX OF THE UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET 2001 BY VALUE 27
TABLE 9 UK CONTRACT FLOOR-COVERINGS 2001 - MARKET BY SECTOR OF APPLICATION 28
TABLE 10 UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT FLOORCOVERINGS - 2001 MIX BY TYPE BY VALUE 29
TABLE 11 UK OVERSEAS TRADE IN GLAZED/UNGLAZED CERAMIC FLAGS & PAVING, HEARTH OR WALL TILES & GLAZED/UNGLAZED MOSAIC CUBES 1995-2001 30
CHART 12 SOURCE COUNTRIES FOR IMPORTED CERAMIC TILES 2001 percent BY VALUE 31
CHART 13 MAIN EXPORT DESTINATIONS OF UK CERAMIC TILES 2001 percent BY VALUE 32
TABLE 14 percent SHARE BY VALUE OF WALL AND FLOOR CERAMIC TILES 1995-2001 33
CHART 15 COMPARISON OF CARPET, CERAMIC FLOOR TILES, VINYL AND WOOD - 1995 TO 2004 (SALES INDEX 1995 = 100) 41
CHART 16 COMPARISON OF PAINT, CERAMIC WALL TILES AND WALLPAPER - 1995 TO 2004 (SALES INDEX 1995=100) 43
TABLE 17 SUPPLIER SHARE BY VALUE OF THE UK CERAMIC TILE MARKET 2001 45
CHART 18 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN THE DOMESTIC CERAMIC TILES MARKET 49
TABLE 19 DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL SHARES - DOMESTIC SECTOR BY VALUE OF THE UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET 2001 50
CHART 20 DIY MULTIPLES MARKET SHARE 2001 55
TABLE 21 UK DIY MULTIPLES - NUMBER OF OUTLETS 57
CHART 22 MERCHANTS MARKET SHARES 2001 59
CHART 23 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN THE CONTRACT SECTOR OF THE CERAMIC TILES MARKET 62
TABLE 24 NEW HOUSING COMPLETIONS 1990-2003 GREAT BRITAIN ('000) 64
TABLE 25 HOUSING STARTS 1993-2002 GREAT BRITAIN ('000) 65
TABLE 26 NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND AND WALES 1994-2002 66
TABLE 27 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 68
TABLE 28 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - COMMERCIAL SECTOR NEW WORK - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 69
TABLE 29 NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS 1992-2002 CURRENT PRICES 70
CHART 30 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION JUNE 1999 ('000) 72
CHART 31 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO 73
CHART 32 NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN EMPLOYMENT GB - JUNE 1990-2001 (MILLIONS) 74
CHART 33 BASE RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2003 75
TABLE 34 STOCK OF DWELLINGS IN GREAT BRITAIN 1971-2000 77
TABLE 35 AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE FOR GREAT BRITAIN 1991-2000 78

Text © 2002 AMA Research

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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik November 2002