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MARKET SIZE
PRODUCT MIX
APPLICATION AREAS
SUPPLY & DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURES
FUTURE PROSPECTS/KEY INFLUENCES
The report contains over 30 tables and charts, incorporating ORIGINAL research and comment on the UK ceramic tile market, providing incisive and thought provoking views on the industrys development.
AMA Research are specialist publishers of a wide range of reports in home improvement markets including Builders Merchants, DIY Multiples, Wallcoverings, Floorcoverings, Contract Floorcoverings, Conservatories, Showers, Bathrooms etc.
The UK Ceramic Tiles Market is relatively fragmented in terms of end-use sectors, but is becoming more concentrated in the manufacturing and distribution sectors.
The total market in 1999 is estimated to be approximately £329m at manufacturers' selling prices, which represents an increase of around 6 percent over the previous year.
Following a difficult period in the early-1990's, both the domestic and contract sectors of the market enjoyed significant growth from around 1995. Although the domestic sector experienced a difficult trading environment in 1998, by the later part of 1999 the domestic market is showing signs of positive growth, driven by a number of factors. These include fashion, home improvement interest stimulated by television programmes, the availability of a wide range of colourful and artistic designs, and generally improving consumer confidence in the economy as a whole, benefiting both new building and refurbishment.
In the contract sector, growth in 1999 has been attributed to a modest recovery in construction activity, a trend towards higher specification/higher value products, and strong growth in the leisure sector, accelerated by lottery funding and the impending millennium 'dead line'.
In general, prospects for the overall market's performance in 1999 look reasonably optimistic, for the reasons mentioned above.
Projected growth for the overall ceramic tiles market 1999-2004 has been forecast at around 5-6 percent, taking into account growth prospects for the UK economy and influences in the various end-use sectors. Views differ as to whether the UK market may ever reach Scandinavian or other European levels of penetration which are very high, but in any event a trend towards higher penetration levels would be positive.
In the contract sector, there are several key areas offering prospects for growth over the next five years, for example:
Durability, low-maintenance, ease of cleaning, water impermeability, fire-retardancy and the inert nature of tiles, are all issues which will collectively benefit ceramic tiles for floor and wall use. Increasing emphasis on health and safety issues by specifiers and end-users is also having a major impact, to the benefit of ceramic tiles which are inherently hygienic.
In the domestic sector, consumer confidence is returning, which should result in an improving environment for home improvement products in the short and medium term. As previously mentioned, interest in home decor, interior design, fashion and home improvement projects has been stimulated by the media, impacting favourably on ceramic tile demand. >From the supply side, the continuing availability of new tile designs, materials and shapes from designers, manufacturers and importers, provides an expanding product range offering for new and refurbishment operations, with these factors tending to underpin domestic growth in the period 2000-2004. Substantial growth in showers and conservatories will also strongly motivate the domestic sector in the short to medium term.
A negative effect is the current high level of sterling which is regarded as damaging to the performance of UK manufacturers in both domestic and overseas markets, and this factor is likely to continue in the short to medium term.
The competition from solid and laminated wood floor-coverings could also have an adverse effect upon ceramic floor tiles in 'non-wet' areas in the short term. However, the general trend to hand floor-coverings may ultimately benefit tiles.
In the field of wall tiles, paints are one of the major competing products, and have recently enjoyed considerable popularity, driven by programmes such as 'Changing Rooms'. It is anticipated that increased applications of ceramic tiles such as the tiling of display and working surfaces will continue to motivate the overall market.
In 1999, the supply structure of the UK market was dominated by importers and by two major local manufacturers, H.R. Johnson and Pilkington's, whilst British Ceramic Tile have recently opened a large factory and are likely to become a major force in the UK market. Other UK manufacturers include Dennis Ruabon, Marlborough Tiles, Hawkins, etc.
The distribution structure for floor and wall tiles is relatively complex, reflecting a mix between contract and domestic sales. In the domestic sector, the DIY multiples continue to lead the refurbishment market whilst in the contract sector distributors and the direct channel predominate. The increasing involvement in tile distribution by leading builders merchants indicates that this channel is likely to increase their level of activity in the medium to long term.
|
1. |
INTRODUCTION |
7 |
|
2. |
Summary |
8 |
|
3. |
economic environment |
11 |
|
3.1 |
GDP Growth |
11 |
|
3.2 |
Interest Rates and Inflation |
12 |
|
3.3 |
Unemployment And Consumer Spending |
12 |
|
3.4 |
Construction |
13 |
|
3.4.1 |
Housing |
13 |
|
3.4.2 |
Commercial Construction |
13 |
|
3.5 |
Sterling |
13 |
|
4. |
The UK Market for Ceramic tiles |
15 |
|
4.1 |
Market Definition |
15 |
|
4.2 |
The Ceramic Tile Market in Perspective |
15 |
|
4.3 |
Ceramic Tile Market Size and Trends |
18 |
|
4.3.1 |
Historical and Current Situation |
18 |
|
4.3.2 |
Market Outlook |
22 |
|
4.3.3 |
The Ceramic Tiles Market At Constant Prices |
25 |
|
4.4 |
International Trade In Ceramic Tiles |
26 |
|
5. |
Product TRENDS |
30 |
|
5.1 |
Product Mix |
30 |
|
5.1.1 |
Overall Mix |
30 |
|
5.1.2 |
Wall Tiles |
31 |
|
5.1.3 |
Floor Tiles |
32 |
|
5.2 |
Factors Influencing Floor and Wall Tiles |
33 |
|
5.2.1 |
Installation and Replacement |
33 |
|
5.2.2 |
Hygiene |
34 |
|
5.2.3 |
Size |
34 |
|
5.3 |
Characteristics of Floor and Wall Tiles Relative to Other Decorating Media |
35 |
|
5.3.1 |
Strengths |
35 |
|
5.3.2 |
Competing Decoration Media |
35 |
|
5.4 |
Application Areas |
37 |
|
5.4.1 |
Overall Application Mix |
37 |
|
5.4.2 |
Contract Applications |
38 |
|
5.4.3 |
Domestic Applications |
41 |
|
6. |
Distribution |
42 |
|
6.1 |
Distribution Structure |
42 |
|
6.2 |
Major Channels |
44 |
|
6.3 |
DIY Multiples |
45 |
|
6.4 |
Distributors and Independent Retailers |
47 |
|
6.4.1 |
Distributors |
47 |
|
6.4.2 |
Independent Retail Stores |
49 |
|
6.5 |
Builders Merchants |
51 |
|
6.6 |
Others |
53 |
|
6.7 |
Trends in Domestic/Retail Ceramic Tiles Distribution |
54 |
|
6.8 |
Contract Sector |
55 |
|
7. |
Suppliers |
58 |
|
7.1 |
Introduction |
58 |
|
7.2 |
Market Shares |
58 |
|
7.3 |
Major Suppliers |
59 |
|
8. |
Key Market Influences |
63 |
|
8.1 |
UK Economy |
63 |
|
8.2 |
Construction |
64 |
|
8.2.1 |
Construction - New House Build |
64 |
|
8.2.2 |
House-Moving |
65 |
|
8.2.3 |
The Commercial and Industrial Construction Market |
66 |
|
8.3 |
Population Profile |
68 |
|
8.4 |
Personal Disposable Income |
69 |
|
8.5 |
Employment/Unemployment |
70 |
|
8.6 |
Interest Rates and Inflation |
71 |
|
8.7 |
Households |
72 |
|
8.8 |
Industrial Sectors |
74 |
|
8.8.1 |
Fixed Investment in the Engineering Manufacturing Industry |
74 |
|
8.8.2 |
Short Term Trends In The Performance Of The Engineering Manufacturing Industry |
75 |
|
8.8.3 |
Medium-Term Trends in Engineering Output |
76 |
|
8.9 |
Exchange Rate Fluctuations |
79 |
|
9. |
Future Prospects |
80 |
LIST OF TABLES AND CHARTS
|
UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET 1995-2004 AT £M MSP |
8 |
|
|
Chart 2 |
UK DOMESTIC DECOR MARKET PRODUCT MIX BY VALUE, 1998 |
16 |
|
Table 3 |
UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT FLOOR-COVERINGS 1998 MIX BY TYPE BY VALUE |
17 |
|
Table 4 |
THE SIZE OF THE UK MARKET FOR CERAMIC TILES 1995-1998 (£M MSP) |
18 |
|
Chart 5 |
UK HOUSEHOLD PENETRATION OF SHOWERS 1990-1998 |
20 |
|
Chart 6 |
CONSERVATORY MARKET BY VOLUME 1990-2000 (000S) |
21 |
|
Table 7 |
THE UK MARKET FORECAST (£M MSP) FOR CERAMIC TILES 1998-2004 |
23 |
|
Chart 8 |
THE UK CERAMIC TILE MARKET AT CONSTANT 1995 PRICES £M MSP |
25 |
|
Table 9 |
UK OVERSEAS TRADE IN GLAZED/UNGLAZED CERAMIC FLAGS & PAVING, HEARTH OR WALL TILES & GLAZED/UNGLAZED MOSAIC CUBES 1995-1999 |
27 |
|
Chart 10 |
SOURCES OF TILE IMPORTS 1998 percent BY VALUE |
28 |
|
Chart 11 |
COUNTRIES FOR TILE EXPORTS 1998 |
29 |
|
Chart 12 |
UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET - MIX OF WALL & FLOOR APPLICATIONS |
30 |
|
Chart 13 |
DOMESTIC & CONTRACT MIX OF THE UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET 1998 BY VALUE |
37 |
|
Table 14 |
UK CONTRACT FLOOR-COVERINGS 1998 MARKET BY TYPE OF APPLICATION |
39 |
|
Table 15 |
UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT FLOOR-COVERINGS 1998 MIX BY TYPE BY VALUE |
40 |
|
Chart 16 |
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN THE DOMESTIC/RETAIL SECTOR OF THE CERAMIC TILES MARKET |
43 |
|
Table 17 |
DISTRIBUTION CHANNEL SHARES BY VALUE OF THE UK CERAMIC TILES MARKET |
44 |
|
Chart 18 |
DIY MULTIPLES MARKET SHARE |
45 |
|
Table 19 |
UK DIY MULTIPLES - NUMBER OF OUTLETS |
46 |
|
Chart 20 |
MERCHANTS MARKET SHARES |
52 |
|
Chart 21 |
DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN THE CONTRACT SECTOR OF THE CERAMIC TILES MARKET |
56 |
|
Table 22 |
SUPPLIER SHARE BY VALUE OF THE UK CERAMIC TILE MARKET 1998 |
59 |
|
Table 23 |
NEW HOUSING COMPLETIONS 1990-1998 GREAT BRITAIN ('000) |
64 |
|
Table 24 |
NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND AND WALES 1990-1998 |
65 |
|
Table 25 |
CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£M) |
66 |
|
Table 26 |
NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS 1990-1998 CURRENT PRICES (£M) |
67 |
|
Chart 27 |
AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 1997 (000) |
68 |
|
Chart 28 |
PDI & SAVINGS RATIO |
69 |
|
Chart 29 |
NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN EMPLOYMENT GB - JUNE 1981-98 (MILLIONS) |
70 |
|
Chart 30 |
BASE RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2000 |
71 |
|
Table 31 |
STOCK OF DWELLINGS GREAT BRITAIN 1983-1998 |
72 |
|
Table 32 |
AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD SIZE FOR GREAT BRITAIN 1971-1996 |
73 |
|
Table 33 |
ENGINEERING SALES OUTPUT CHANGES |
75 |
|
Table 34 |
COMPARISON OF ENGINEERING SECTOR OUTPUT BY SIC CODE (1990=100) 1996-2000 |
76 |
|
Table 35 |
COMPARISON OF ENGINEERING SECTOR OUTPUT BY SIC CODE 1996-2000 (1990=100) |
78 |
|
Table 36 |
EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1994-1998 - DM, DOLLARS, AND THE ECU TO THE POUND STERLING, SPOT RATES |
79 |
Text © 2000 AMA Research
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Last updated by Jacob van Eldik 26th February 2000