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AM26077 AMA BRICKS & BLOCKS MARKET NOVEMBER 1997

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION 6
2. SUMMARY 7
3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 10
3.1 INTEREST RATES 10
3.2 INFLATION 10
3.3 PUBLIC SPENDING, GDP AND UNEMPLOYMENT 11
4. REVIEW OF CONSTRUCTION SECTOR 13
4.1 CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT 14
4.2 NEW HOUSE BUILD 17
4.3 THE GROWTH OF THE SELF BUILD MARKET 29
4.4 CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY FORECASTS 30
5. BRICKS 32
5.1 MARKET DEFINITION 32
5.2 MARKET SIZE 34
5.3 MARKET HISTORY 36
5.4 THE CURRENT SITUATION 38
5.5 PRODUCT MIX 40
5.6 MATERIAL MIX 44
5.7 MARKET FORECASTS 47
5.8 EXPORTS/IMPORTS 56
5.9 MAJOR BRICK SUPPLIERS 57
6. BLOCKS 67
6.1 MARKET DEFINITION 67
6.2 MARKET SIZE 69
6.4 MARKET HISTORY 71
6.5 PRODUCT MIX 73
6.6 FUTURE PROSPECTS 78
6.8 EXPORTS/IMPORTS 81
6.9 MAJOR SUPPLIERS 82
7. CONCRETE BLOCK PAVING 91
7.1 MARKET DEFINITION 91
7.2 MARKET SIZE 92
7.3 THE CURRENT SITUATION 92
7.4 DISTRIBUTION 93
7.5 FUTURE TRENDS 94
7.6 MAJOR SUPPLIERS 96
8. DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS 100
8.1 DIRECT SUPPLY 102
8.2 BUILDERS MERCHANTS 103
8.3 FACTORS 108
8.4 OTHERS 110
9. THE HOUSEBUILDERS 112
9.1 DEFINITION 112
9.2 MIX OF HOUSEBUILDER GROUPS 113
9.3 NATIONAL HOUSEBUILDERS 114
9.4 REGIONAL COMPANIES 129
9.5 LOCAL COMPANIES 133
10. KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 134
10.1 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION LEVELS 134
10.2 PDI AND SAVINGS RATIOS 135
10.3 POPULATION MIX 137
Appendix 1 139
Brick Production, Despatches And Stocks By Type Of Use 1973 - 1997
Appendix 2 140
Brick Production, Despatches And Stocks By Material (Millions)
Appendix 3 141
Concrete Building Blocks (Thousand Sq M)
TABLES & CHARTS
CHART 1: BRICKS & BLOCKS MARKET 1990-1997 BY VOLUME (INDEX 1990=100)
CHART 2: VOLUME OF CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT GB - 1985-1996
TABLE 3: NEW BUILD WORK ( percent CHANGES YEAR ON YEAR)
TABLE 4: VALUE OF CONSTRUCTION ORDERS FOR NEW WORK IN GREAT BRITAIN 1985-1996 (£BN)
TABLE 5: VALUE OF HOUSE BUILDING OUTPUT AT CURRENT PRICES 1985-1999 (£M)
TABLE 6: HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS IN GREAT BRITAIN ('000S) 1980-1997
TABLE 7: UK HOUSE BUILDING STARTS ('000S DWELLINGS) 1986-2000
CHART 8: MIX OF HOUSEHOLDS BY SECTOR percent
TABLE 9: HOUSE BUILDING STARTS BY REGION
TABLE 10: THE UK MARKET FOR BRICKS BY VOLUME 1985-97 (MILLIONS)
CHART 11: UK MARKET FOR BRICKS BY VOLUME 1985-97 (1985=100)
CHART 12: BRICK DESPATCHES 1950-95 BY VOLUME (BILLIONS)
TABLE 13: THE UK MARKET FOR BRICKS 1991 - 1997 PRICE INDICES 1990 = 100
CHART 14: MIX OF BRICK SALES - SHARE BY PRODUCT TYPE 1996
TABLE 15: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF FACING BRICKS (MILLIONS) 1987-1996
TABLE 16: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF COMMON BRICKS 1987-1997 (MILLIONS)
TABLE: 17: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF ENGINEERING BRICKS 1987-1997 (MILLIONS)
TABLE 18: BRICK SALES (DESPATCHES) BY MATERIAL (MILLIONS & percentAGE OF TOTAL PRODUCTION)
TABLE 19: BRICK MARKET BY VALUE & VOLUME 1995-2000
TABLE 20: UK CLADDING MARKET BY PRODUCT TYPE 1996
TABLE 21: CLAY BRICKS: VALUE OF OVERSEAS TRADE (CURRENT PRICES £'000S)
TABLE 22: MAJOR SHARE BY VOLUME 1996 OF UK BRICK SUPPLIERS
TABLE 23: THE UK MARKET FOR BLOCKS BY VOLUME (THOUSAND SQ M)
CHART 24: UK MARKET FOR BLOCKS BY VOLUME 1986-97 (1986=100)
TABLE 25: THE UK MARKET FOR BLOCKS BY VALUE £M
CHART 26: BLOCKS MARKET - SHARE BY VOLUME 1996
TABLE 27: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF AERATED BLOCKS 1986 - 1997 (THOUSAND SQ M)
TABLE 28: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF DENSE BLOCKS 1986 - 1996 (THOUSAND SQ M)
TABLE 29: SALES (DESPATCHES) OF LIGHTWEIGHT BLOCKS 1986 - 1997 (THOUSAND SQ M)
TABLE 30: UK BLOCK MARKET 1996-2000 BY VOLUME & VALUE
TABLE 31: CONCRETE BLOCKS & BRICKS: VALUE OF OVERSEAS TRADE (CURRENT PRICES £'000S)
TABLE 32: MAJOR UK BLOCK SUPPLIERS
TABLE 33: UK PAVING BLOCK SUPPLIERS (MARKET SHARE)
TABLE 34: DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS FOR BRICKS & BLOCKS
CHART 35: MERCHANTS MARKET SHARES 1997
CHART 36: percentAGE OF MERCHANTS STOCKING BY PRODUCT GROUP
CHART 37: DIY BUILDING MATERIALS SHARE BY MAJOR MULTIPLE
CHART 38: MIX OF NATIONAL, REGIONAL & LOCAL HOUSEBUILDERS 1991 & 1996
TABLE 39: MARKET SHARES OF THE LEADING HOUSEBUILDERS IN THE UK 1996
CHART 40: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2000
CHART 41: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO TABLE 42: DISTRIBUTION OF UK RESIDENT POPULATION JUNE 1995

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The depressed state of the construction industry since 1990 has resulted in difficult trading conditions for manufacturers of bricks and blocks. Unlike previous post-recession periods, construction has played virtually no part in the UK economic recovery, reflecting the high level of caution within the industry following the excessive boom of the late-1980s.

The total market for bricks and blocks is estimated at over £1 billion. Bricks have experienced a poorer market performance than blocks over the last decade, reflecting a gradual substitution of bricks. Facing bricks, however, have performed well increasing their share of the sector to over 75 percent in 1996. This growth has been at the expense of common bricks which have declined from 25 percent of sales in 1987 to less than 15 percent now.

In terms of supply, Hanson and Ibstock have consolidated their leading positions in the market with a combined share approaching 65 percent. Baggeridge, Chelwood and Ambion all have estimated shares around 7-9 percent, with the rest of the market accounted for by a declining number of independent manufacturers.

The blocks market also declined during the early-1990s but is forecast to experience stronger recovery in 1997/98. Demand for blocks has been buoyed by increasing substitution for bricks and development of new applications. Higher thermal and noise insulation standards have resulted in growth in demand for dense blocks, which now account almost 50 percent of sales, with aerated and lightweight products accounting for around 30 percent and 20 percent shares respectively.

Leading suppliers of blocks include Marley, Celcon, Tarmac, Marshalls, ARC Conbloc, RMC/Durox and Camas (now Aggregate Industries).

Distribution of bricks and blocks is highly concentrated with Builders Merchants accounting for an estimated 50-55 percent share, with direct supply and factors accounting for the majority of the rest. Wolseley, Jewson, Graham and Travis Perkins are the leading Merchant groups, with Jewsons emerging as clear market leaders following their acquisition of Harcros.

The factors sector is dominated by Taylor Maxwell, while direct supply to the major housebuilders and commercial developers also account for significant shares.

The housebuilding market has also experienced a substantial degree of rationalisation in recent years. Wimpey are now clear market leaders with around 7 percent following their acquisition of Tarmac's housebuilding operations. Barratt, Beazer and Persimmon each have 3-4 percent market share, with further changes in market structure likely as regional builders are acquired by larger national groups.

Prospects for bricks and blocks over the next few years are more optimistic than they have been this decade. Housing starts and new orders for commercial and industrial buildings are all relatively buoyant, which should continue into the near future.

The service sector of the economy is particularly strong which should feed through into good order books for new commercial properties. In addition, major new projects funded by the National Lottery and Millennium celebrations have been developed, while the Private Finance Initiative is finally gaining some momentum with public sector projects.

As a result, the next 2-3 years should see sustained growth in demand for bricks and blocks until the end of the decade at least, with longer term prospects more likely to be influenced by Government policy and the impact on the economy of attempting to achieve convergence with other European economies prior to joining EMU.

This comprehensive report represents a detailed assessment of the market, reviewing major trends, key factors influencing developments and future prospects for the sector. Analysis is both quantitative and qualitative, based on our substantial experience of the building and home improvement markets.

Text © 1997 AMA Research

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