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AM26061 AMA ABRASIVES MARKET SEPTEMBER 2001

This report covers: UK Abrasives, Market, market report, Coated (including non-wovens), Bonded, Superabrasives, Coated Abrasive Products, Bonded Abrasive Products, Superabrasive Products, Mechanical Abrading Non-Woven Web Abrasives, Bonded Grinding Wheels,

Companies covered include: 3M, Hermes, Marcrist, Diamant Boart/Wendt, Tyrolit, Arrow, Klingspor, Saint-Gobain Abrasives, Unicorn, British Nimbus, Norton, Flexovit, Cora, Carbo Plc, Carborundum,

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About AMA Research reports

KEY AREAS

AMA Research have published the third edition of the 'UK Abrasives Market Report'. Incorporating original input and primary research, the report represents an up to date and informed review of the market and is excellent value for money.

Key issues covered in the report are:-

The Abrasives market is complex and fragmented in terms of end-use applications and distribution channels. As a result, trends in the market are influenced by many issues ranging from engineering production, automotive re-finishing and aero-engine manufacturing, to DIY, woodworking, woodflooring and general construction.

The 80+ page report reviews developments within the industry, with emphasis on both QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE market assessment - both essential requirements to good marketing planning. Recent trends, key influencing factors and forecasts of future developments are assessed.

Of particular interest:-

Key areas of coverage in the report include:- THE MARKET

PRODUCTS

SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION

FUTURE PROSPECTS/GENERAL

The Report contains 87 pages and 35 tables and charts of ORIGINAL research on the UK Abrasives Market and provides incisive and thought provoking views on its future development.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION 5
2 SUMMARY 7
3 ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT 10
3.1 GDP 10
3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES 10
3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT & CONSUMER SPENDING 11
3.4 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION 11
3.5 STERLING 12
3.6 CONCLUSIONS 13
4 OVERVIEW OF THE MARKET FOR ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 14
4.1 MARKET DEFINITION 14
4.2 MARKET SIZE 15
4.2.1 Background 15
4.2.2 Current Situation 16
4.2.3 Future Prospects 17
4.3 INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 20
4.4 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES 23
4.4.1 Construction - Industrial and Commercial 23
4.4.2 Manufacturing and Industry 25
4.4.3 Macro-Economic Influences 35
5 PRODUCT SEGMENTATION 39
5.1 DEFINITION 39
5.1.1 'Coated Abrasive Products' 39
5.1.2 'Bonded Abrasive Products' 39
5.1.3 'Superabrasive Products' 39
5.2 COATED ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 40
5.2.1 Flexible Sheets 41
5.2.2 Belts, Discs and Shaped Sheets for Mechanical Abrading 42
5.2.3 Non-Woven Web Abrasives 46
5.3 BONDED ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 47
5.3.1 Grinding Wheels 47
5.3.2 Off Hand Grinding Wheels 48
5.3.3 Bonded Grinding Wheels Attached to Machine Tools 50
5.3.4 "General-Purpose" Bench/Pedestal Grinding Wheels 53
5.4 SUPERABRASIVES 53
6 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS 58
6.1 DISTRIBUTION OF ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 58
6.1.1 Structure & Distribution 58
6.2 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS 61
6.2.1 Industrial Sector 61
6.2.2 Automotive Outlets 63
6.2.3 Building & DIY 65
6.2.4 Other Channels 73
7 MAJOR SUPPLIERS OF ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 74
7.1 SUPPLY STRUCTURE 74
7.1.1 Market Shares 74
7.1.2 Coated Products 76
7.1.3 Bonded Products 77
7.1.4 Superabrasives 78
7.2 MAJOR SUPPLIERS 79
8 FUTURE PROSPECTS 85
TABLES AND CHARTS
CHART 1: UK ABRASIVES MARKET 1994-2005 AT £M MSP 7
TABLE 2: THE UK MARKET FOR ABRASIVES 1994-2005 £M MSP 15
CHART 3: THE UK ABRASIVES MARKET AT CONSTANT 1995 PRICES £M 19
TABLE 4: IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF SELECTED CATEGORIES OF ABRASIVE PRODUCTS FOR 2000 20
TABLE 5: IMPORTS OF SELECTED CATEGORIES OF ABRASIVE PRODUCTS BY COUNTRY £M 21
TABLE 6: EXPORTS OF SELECTED CATEGORIES OF ABRASIVE PRODUCTS BY COUNTRY £M 22
TABLE 7: CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 1995-2004 24
TABLE 8: LEVEL OF UK MANUFACTURING OUTPUT 1997-2002 (1995 = 100) 25
TABLE 9: EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1994-2002 - DM, DOLLARS, AND THE ECU TO THE POUND STERLING, SPOT RATES (END YEAR) 26
TABLE 10: THE PRODUCTION OF CARS & COMMERCIAL VEHICLES IN THE UK 1993-2000 29
TABLE 11: THE UK WOODWORKING MARKET £BN MSP 1995-2001 31
CHART 12: WOODEN FLOORING MARKET 2000 - percentMIX BY VALUE 32
TABLE 13: NUMBER OF PROPERTY TRANSACTIONS IN ENGLAND AND WALES 1994-2002 33
CHART 14: NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES IN EMPLOYMENT GB - JUNE 1981-01 (MILLIONS) 35
CHART 15: INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2003 36
CHART 16: PDI & SAVINGS RATIO 37
CHART 17: SEGMENTATION OF THE UK ABRASIVES MARKET - 2001 40
CHART 18: PRODUCT MIX FOR COATED ABRASIVES 2001 BY VALUE 41
TABLE 19: THE UK PORTABLE POWER TOOL MARKET 1996-2002 (£M MSP) 44
CHART 20: DIY / PROFESSIONAL PURCHASES OF PORTABLE SANDERS 45
CHART 21: PORTABLE POWER TOOLS MIX IN THE CUTTING & GRINDING SECTOR 48
CHART 22: DIY AND TRADE/PROFESSIONAL PURCHASES OF PORTABLE GRINDERS 49
TABLE 23: MAIN TYPES OF SUPERABRASIVES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS 54
TABLE 24: 2001 ESTIMATED SUPERABRASIVES SALES AT MSP, UK MARKET 55
CHART 25: PRINCIPAL DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS AND OUTLETS FOR ABRASIVE PRODUCTS 59
TABLE 26: CHANNEL SHARE BY APPLICATION AREA 60
CHART 27: MARKET SHARE OF KEY SUPPLIERS 2000 66
TABLE 28: MARKET SHARES OF THE UK PLANT HIRE OPERATORS - 2000 68
TABLE 29: MARKET SHARES OF LEADING UK TOOL HIRE COMPANIES BY VALUE 2000 69
CHART 30: DIY MULTIPLES MARKET SHARE 1999 70
TABLE 31: UK DIY MULTIPLES - NUMBER OF OUTLETS 1992-2000 71
TABLE 32: MARKET SHARES OF THE ABRASIVE PRODUCTS MARKET IN 2000. 75
TABLE 33: KEY SUPPLIERS - COATED PRODUCTS 2000 76
TABLE 34: KEY SUPPLIERS' - BONDED PRODUCTS 2000 77
TABLE 35: KEY SUPPLIERS - SUPERABRASIVE PRODUCTS 2000 78

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

In the two years under review since our last report, the UK Abrasives Market has experienced a period of adverse trading conditions, although certain sectors have performed better than others. In general terms, the UK abrasives industry is characterised by increasing concentration and foreign involvement, with pressure on prices and profit margins a continuing trend.

The total market in 2001 is estimated to be worth some £314 million at manufacturers' sales prices, which represents a marginal decrease compared to 2000.

The chart below illustrates the history of the abrasives market from 1994 to 2000, with forecast annual sales up to 2005:

UK Abrasives Market 1994-2005 at £m MSP

Source: AMA Research/Trade Estimates

From the chart it can be seen that positive growth in the period 1994-1997/8 was followed by a period of flatter demand in 1998 due to the effects of the South East Asian Crisis, the strength of the Pound Sterling, and difficult conditions in the UK economy, particularly the manufacturing and overall construction sectors.

Although 1999 and 2000 witnessed an underlying improvement in construction in particular and the economy in general, the continuing high level of Sterling, weak manufacturing sector and restructuring in the automotive and steel industries resulted in flat or relatively stable conditions. Furthermore, the situation was exacerbated by adverse short-term factors such as the fuel crisis, flooding, and inflated transport costs and delivery periods.

The current situation in 2001 is forecast at slightly below the level of 2000, with an improving construction sector counterbalanced by the deterioration in manufacturing and the export markets such as America, Germany and Japan. Additionally, foot and mouth disease is still continuing with the necessary movement restrictions delaying the progress of construction and building projects in affected areas.

Whilst our forecasts for the years 1999 to 2002 indicate a declining market, the level of future projections will depend upon the timing of an improvement in the manufacturing sector, and a reduction in the level of the Pound Sterling given that construction trends are likely to remain positive in the medium to longer term.

There appears to be a lack of consensus as to when manufacturing will improve, there are difficulties in assessing the direction of long-term market projections 2003-2005. Whilst a level of recovery is feasible, it is unlikely to be dramatic and has been conservatively forecast at 1 percent per annum or 3 percent over the three years 2003 to 2005 inclusive, representing net real growth below the presumed levels of inflation.

The three key sectors of the UK abrasives market are classified as 'coated' (including 'non-wovens'), 'bonded' and 'superabrasives'. Superabrasives and coated (including non-wovens) are considered to account for the larger shares by value at 38 percent and 36 percent respectively, whilst bonded is estimated to have a 26 percent share. Compared with the figures in our 1999 report, coated is estimated to have declined in share by 1 percent, bonded by 2 percent, but superabrasives have increased by 3 percent.
The largest market shares of coated products were achieved by 3M, Unicorn, Hermes and S.I.A. The principal suppliers to the bonded market were assessed as Unicorn and Carborundum, whilst in the superabrasives field Unicorn (including Nimbus) and Tyrolit were identified as the major players. As mentioned below, Unicorn and British Nimbus are owned by Saint-Gobain.

In overall terms, major players include 3M, Hermes, Marcrist, Diamant Boart/Wendt, Tyrolit, Arrow, Klingspor etc. The Saint-Gobain Abrasives Division consists of Unicorn, British Nimbus, Norton, Flexovit, and Cora.

Historically, there is a trend towards greater supplier concentration in the abrasives industry. For example, between 1996 and 1998, Carbo Plc acquired a number of abrasives manufacturers, suppliers and distributors, whilst Unicorn was acquired by Saint Gobain in 1997, and Flexovit the following year. Cora Abrasives are also owned by Saint Gobain.

Distribution of abrasive products is served by a wide range of dealers and trade outlets reflecting the fragmented end uses of abrasives, for example outlets for sandpaper include the DIY Multiples, independent retailers and builders merchants, whilst grinding wheels for manufacturing purposes are catered for by the Engineers Merchants, and abrasives specialists, etc.

Plant and Tool hire outlets represent a major distribution channel for abrasive products. Throughout the UK there are an estimated 2500 to 3000 Plant Hire outlets, and 2000 Tool Hire outlets, growing at the estimated yearly rates of approximately 3-4 percent, with market leaders such as Hewden Stuart/Finning, A-Plant, HSS, etc.

One of the largest abrasives manufacturers - Carborundum - own Anglo Abrasives, whilst Unicorn and 3M pre-pack DIY and trade products, distributing (in this market segment) through DIY Multiples, Builders Merchants etc.

Major distribution channels include Abrasives specialists, Engineers Merchants/Factory Supply Stockists, DIY Multiples, Builders Merchants, Automotive.

Text © 2001 AMA Research

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Last updated by Paul Tucker 22nd september 2001