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AM20124
AMA RESEARCH Market Report : UK Contract Furniture Market May 2004
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BRIEF DESCRIPTION

AMA Research have recently published the second edition of the "Contract Furniture Market - UK 2004" report. The report incorporates original research and provides a comprehensive review of the demand for a range of furniture products in non-domestic applications.
 
Product areas covered in the report include: -
 
Beds
 
Bedroom Furniture
 
Dining Furniture
 
Educational Furniture
 
Upholstered Furniture
 
Others - Storage/Occasional
 
The contract furniture market is estimated at over £700 million at manufacturers prices and has experienced relatively moderate growth over the past two years. Key end use applications include leisure, education and healthcare sectors.

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The contract furniture sector is primarily influenced by the level of commercial and construction activity within the economy and is subject to general levels of business and consumer confidence. 
 
The contract furniture market is worth an estimated £658 million in 2001 and current forecasts indicate growth levels of 3-4% per annum, with the market expected to reach an estimated £759 million in 2005.
 
The sector tends not to be as volatile as the domestic furniture sector but is still susceptible to downturns in economic activity and overall levels of commercial and industrial growth.
 
Recent performance has been a little subdued compared to the buoyant performance during 1997/98. However, some sectors are performing better than others resulting in reasonable growth rates overall. The market was affected by the economic slowdown experienced in 1998, which resulted in a fall in the level of new construction orders and a significant reduction in refurbishment and new build activity in the leisure sector.
 
A wide range of Millennium projects helped boost the market during 2000. However, the leisure market has suffered from lower margins and postponement of refurbishment and new build developments during the second half of 2000 and 2001, due to the impact of the fuel crisis, severe flooding, foot and mouth epidemic, slowdown in tourism and the recent terrorist attacks in the US.
 
Prospects for 2002/03 are reasonably optimistic with pent-up demand and postponed refurbishment expected to feed through into the second half of 2002 and 2003. Medium term prospects indicate growth rates of 3-4% to reach an estimated £759 million by 2005. Expectations are that the market will benefit from a number of PFI projects within the healthcare sector, higher government expenditure in the education sector, and greater investment in image in many application areas.
 
Contract dining furniture dominates the market in terms of product mix and is estimated to account for 28% of the market in value terms in 2001. Key influences include substantial growth in the UK restaurant, pubs and clubs markets, and an emphasis on investment in image, new styles and designs.
 
Upholstered furniture is estimated to account for 21% of value share of the contract furniture market, due to the increased demand within hotel/leisure and entertainment sectors. Beds and bedroom furniture combined were estimated to account for 23% of value share of the contract furniture market. Growth is underpinned largely by the substantial rise in student accommodation.
 
The remainder of the market is comprised of educational furniture, which accounts for approximately 13% and 'other sectors' which includes MOD, prisons etc, and accounts for an estimated 15% of the market.
 
In terms of key suppliers, the structure tends to differ between the major product sectors. The contract market for beds and upholstered furniture is similar to that of the domestic market, with a number of manufacturers supplying both sectors. In the bedroom and dining furniture market, the supply structure is highly fragmented and educational furniture suppliers tend to be more specialised and, in many cases, also offer office furniture.
 
In terms of end-use application, the leisure sector is dominant accounting for approximately 45% of the market and is likely to remain the leading sector within the foreseeable future. Education accounts for approximately 30% of the market due to the substantial increases in student numbers and accommodation requirements, and growing competition experienced within the sector. The health sector is also significant, accounting for 15% of the market, with 'others' accounting for 10% of the market. The healthcare and education sectors are expected to benefit in the short to medium term from substantial increases in PFI projects and government funding, which should increase their importance as end-use applications over the next 5 years.
 
Overall, the distribution of furniture within the contract sector is dominated by direct supply to end-users. However, depending on the end-user, the distribution channel is likely to change accordingly. For example, the leisure industry are more likely to use architects, interior designers, contract furnishers and hotel buying groups. Conversely, the healthcare sector tend to use a central buying group as the market is highly fragmented and the education sector, such as state schools, will use central buying groups or specialist catalogue suppliers.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION
2 SUMMARY
3 ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
3.1 GDP
3.2 INFLATION & INTEREST RATES
3.3 UNEMPLOYMENT
3.4 HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
3.5 HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION
3.6 STERLING
3.7 POPULATION PROFILE
3.8 CONCLUSIONS
3.9 KEY MARKET INFLUENCES
4 CONTRACT FURNITURE MARKET OVERVIEW
4.1 DEFINITION
4.2 MARKET SIZE
4.3 INTERNATIONAL TRADE
4.4 PRODUCT MIX
5 CONTRACT BEDS
5.1 DEFINITION
5.2 SECTOR OVERVIEW
5.3 HOTELS
5.4 HEALTH
5.5 EDUCATION
5.6 OTHERS
5.7 CONTRACT BED SUPPLIERS
6 CONTRACT BEDROOM FURNITURE
6.1 DEFINITION
6.2 SECTOR OVERVIEW
6.3 HOTELS
6.4 EDUCATION
6.5 HEALTH
6.6 OTHER
6.7 CONTRACT BEDROOM FURNITURE SUPPLIERS
7 EDUCATIONAL FURNITURE
7.1 DEFINITION
7.2 SECTOR OVERVIEW
7.3 GENERAL CLASSROOM FURNITURE
7.4 STORAGE FURNITURE
7.5 LIBRARY FURNITURE
7.6 UPHOLSTERED STATIC CHAIRS/RECEPTION AREAS
7.7 COMPUTER BENCHING & WORKSTATIONS
7.8 TECHNOLOGY - CRAFT/LABORATORY/SCIENCE
7.9 EDUCATIONAL FURNITURE SUPPLIERS
8 CONTRACT DINING FURNITURE
8.1 DEFINITION
8.2 SECTOR OVERVIEW
8.3 RESTAURANTS
8.4 PUBS AND CLUBS
8.5 HOTELS
8.6 HEALTHCARE
8.7 DINING FURNITURE SUPPLIERS
9 CONTRACT UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE
9.1 HOTELS
9.2 PUBS AND CLUBS
9.3 HEALTH
9.4 EDUCATION
9.5 COMMERCIAL OFFICE
9.6 UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE SUPPLIERS
10 OTHERS - STORAGE/OCCASIONAL
11 END USE SECTORS
11.1 PRIVATE SECTOR LEISURE MARKET
11.1.1 Hotels
11.1.2 Restaurants
11.1.3 Pubs and Clubs
11.1.4 Other leisure activities
11.2 PUBLIC SECTOR
11.2.1 Private Finance Initiative (PFI) & Public Private Partnerships (PPP)
11.2.2 UK Education market
11.2.3 Health Market
11.2.4 MOD
11.2.5 Prisons
11.2.6 Asylum
12 DISTRIBUTION
13 SUPPLIERS
14 FUTURE PROSPECTS

Tables and Charts

CHART 1 CONTRACT FURNITURE MARKET, 1998-2007 BY VALUE (£ MILLION)
CHART 2 INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION (RPI) FROM 1990-2005
CHART 3 PDI & SAVINGS RATIO 1980-2005
TABLE 4 EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS 1997-2004 - DOLLARS, AND THE ECU TO THE POUND STERLING, SPOT RATES
CHART 5 AGE DISTRIBUTION OF THE RESIDENT UK POPULATION 2001 ('000)
TABLE 6 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK AND RMI NON HOUSING - CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION) 1995-2003
TABLE 7 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK COMMERCIAL SECTOR CURRENT PRICES (£M) 1992-2003
TABLE 8 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK PUBLIC SECTOR CURRENT PRICES (£M) 1992-2003
TABLE 9 NEW ORDERS OBTAINED BY CONTRACTORS 1992-2003 CURRENT PRICES (£ MILLION)
TABLE 10 UK FURNITURE MARKET - DOMESTIC/CONTRACT MIX 2003 BY VALUE
TABLE 11 UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT FURNITURE (£ MILLION AT MSP) 1998-2007
TABLE 12 IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF UK 'OTHER FURNITURE' 1999 - 2003 COMPARISON BY VALUE - (£MILLION)
TABLE 13 PRODUCT MIX UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT FURNITURE - 2003 BY VALUE
TABLE 14 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT BEDS (£ MILLION AT MSP) 1998-2007
CHART 15 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT BEDS - SECTOR SPLIT 2003
TABLE 16 TOTAL NUMBER OF HOSPITAL BEDS IN THE UK BY SECTOR 1998-2005
TABLE 17 NUMBER OF STUDENTS IN COMMUNAL ACCOMMODATION UK 1998-2007
TABLE 18 UK BED MANUFACTURERS MARKET SHARES - BY VALUE 2003
TABLE 19 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT BEDROOM FURNITURE (£ MILLION AT MSP) 1998-2007
CHART 20 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT BEDROOM FURNITURE - BY END-USE SECTOR 2003
TABLE 21 THE UK MARKET FOR EDUCATIONAL FURNITURE 1998-2007
TABLE 22 AVERAGE EXPENDITURE ON FURNITURE BY TYPE OF ESTABLISHMENT 2002-04 COMPARISON
CHART 23 AVERAGE LIFE EXPECTANCY OF FURNITURE IN EDUCATIONAL ESTABLISHMENTS
CHART 24 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR EDUCATION FURNITURE - PRODUCT MIX 2003
TABLE 25 SUPPLIERS TO THE UK EDUCATIONAL FURNITURE SECTOR 2003
TABLE 26 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT DINING FURNITURE (£ MILLION MSP) 1998-2007
CHART 27 TOTAL UK MARKET FOR CONTRACT DINING FURNITURE - SPLIT BY PRODUCT 2003
TABLE 28 THE UK CONTRACT UPHOLSTERED FURNITURE MARKET 1998-2007 (£M MSP)
TABLE 29 THE UK 'OTHER' CONTRACT FURNITURE MARKET 1998-2007 (£M MSP)
CHART 30 SHARE BY END-USE APPLICATION FOR CONTRACT FURNITURE - 2003 BY VALUE
CHART 31 HOTELS - NUMBER OF ENTERPRISES (SIC 5510*) 1995 - 2007
CHART 32 HOTELS - NUMBER OF ROOMS 1998 - 2007
TABLE 33 UK VAT BASED ENTERPRISES IN THE HOTEL SECTOR (SIC5510*) BY TURNOVER 1998/2003
CHART 34 NUMBER OF OVERSEAS VISITORS TO UK ('000) & EXPENDITURE £M 1998 -2003
CHART 35 UK SERVICED ACCOMMODATION OCCUPANCY LEVELS 1995-2002 BY COUNTRY (%)
CHART 36 TURNOVER & NET CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN HOTELS SECTOR 1995- 2003
CHART 37 RESTAURANTS - NUMBER OF ENTERPRISES (SIC 5530) 1998 - 2007
TABLE 38 UK VAT BASED ENTERPRISES IN THE RESTAURANT SECTOR (SIC5300) BY TURNOVER & EMPLOYMENT SIDEBANDS 2003
CHART 39 TURNOVER & NET CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN RESTAURANT & CAFE SECTOR (SIC 5530) 1995 -2003
TABLE 40 KEY TRENDS IN EATING OUT 1997 & 2001
CHART 41 NUMBER OF COMPANIES IN THE UK PUBS / CLUB MARKET (SIC 5540) 1995- 2007
TABLE 42 UK VAT BASED ENTERPRISES IN THE PUBS/BAR SECTOR (SIC5400) BY TURNOVER & EMPLOYMENT SIZEBANDS 2003
CHART 43 TURNOVER & NET CAPITAL EXPENDITURE IN PUBS & CLUBS SECTOR £M 1995- 2003
TABLE 44 NUMBER OF CINEMA EXHIBITORS UK 1996-2003
TABLE 45 UK EDUCATIONAL ESTABLISHMENTS BY TYPE 2002/2003
TABLE 46 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK PUBLIC/PRIVATE SECTOR EDUCATION* (£M)
TABLE 47 EXPENDITURE BY TYPE OF ESTABLISHMENT 2001/02
TABLE 48 CONTRACTORS OUTPUT - NEW WORK PUBLIC/PRIVATE SECTOR HEALTH (£M)
TABLE 49 PRISON POPULATION FOR THE UK 1996-2002
CHART 50 KEY DISTRIBUTION STRUCTURE OF UK CONTRACT FURNITURE MARKET
TABLE 51 CONTRACT FURNITURE SUPPLIERS BY RELEVANT END USE SECTOR

Text © 2004 AMA Research

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